• Even as you're pricing in two rate cuts next year, it is pretty much data dependent, can't be so sure.
    Haslinda Amin
  • Marcella Chow
    During the meeting tomorrow, most likely Chairman Powell is going to highlight it's going to be a meeting by meeting approach. The dot plot should be roughly similar to last time. Market will pay attention to risk assessment going forward - if more balanced, it might set a more hawkish tilt.
  • The rate cuts we're anticipating is pretty unusual - usually Fed cuts when growth is slow and inflation is low, not the situation right now.
    Haslinda Amin
  • Marcella Chow
    It is pretty divided since previous few meetings. It seems right now as a risk management move and they are focusing more on the labor market weakness from recent few data points.
  • Where do you see Fed funds by end of 2026, bearing in mind Trump wants the long end of the curve to be much lower.
    Haslinda Amin
  • Marcella Chow
    Right now we are expecting two more after tomorrow, probably two more 25 basis point cuts by middle of 2026. Expect the rate to reach neutral level around 3% by mid-2026.
  • 30-year yields expected to rise to above 5% and perhaps stay above 5% - what's your take?
    Haslinda Amin
  • Marcella Chow
    Going forward with Fed chair election process still in progress, focus will still be there. Also because of fiscal deficit or Fed independence remains in question.
  • Some say we might see tale of two halves in 2026 - stronger first half and weaker second. How would you deploy capital?
    Haslinda Amin
  • Marcella Chow
    Given current earnings momentum and economic growth still relatively resilient, that should sustain for first half of 2026 and be constructive on equities. As fiscal support wanes and inflation remains sticky in second half, we advise investors to move to more balanced stock-bond portfolio and look for alternative income assets.
  • Which sectors see best opportunities? Do we still play AI theme in 2026 as big as 2025?
    Haslinda Amin
  • Marcella Chow
    For AI, we remain constructive on data centers and computing power. But difference to 2025 - there will be more divergence going forward. Identifying or being active in company selection remains key.
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