• Introduces Ed Sedel, CEO of EGSI Financial, and asks why he's confident the economy is heading in the right direction despite a down market day.
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    Cites strong durable goods orders (metals, machinery, computers) and CPI inflation at 2.4% (below expectations) as evidence the economy is heading in the right direction. States they are 'pretty bullish on the economy going forward.'
  • Asks for takeaways from Fed minutes and if they changed his base case.
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    Focuses on CPI data and the proposed new Fed Chair 'Warsh' (Waller). Likes Waller for being hawkish on inflation. Argues the Fed's $16B injection is inflationary, but with Waller, they are 'heading in the right direction.' Expects rate cuts once he's confirmed.
  • Asks for his base case on rate cuts, given market pricing shows low odds for March/April but up to 60% for June.
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    Expects 75 to 125 basis points of cuts this year. Believes 100bps is not just possible but probable if the economy continues heading in the right direction.
  • Asks how quickly 100bps of cuts would translate to consumer relief.
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    Lower rates will help small businesses take on debt, expand, hire, and create higher-paying jobs. Notes auto rates near 7% and mortgages already dropping.
  • Asks where he sees opportunities given heavy market rotation (tech yesterday, rotating again today).
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    1) Gold and silver: Expecting a pullback but sees them as a 'really good play,' increasing over next 12-24 months. 2) AI/data centers/energy: Likes nuclear as a long-term play due to electricity demand. 3) Advocates for a well-balanced portfolio to weather volatility and geopolitical risk.
  • Asks about AI worries and whether huge rallies in nuclear names (Cameco, Oklo, Constellation) give him pause.
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    Attributes volatility to emotion, profit-taking, and FOMO. Advises having a good plan and strategy, emphasizing 'time in the market' over 'timing the market.'
  • Asks what risks or flags in gold, silver, and energy would make him rethink his strategy.
    speaker1
  • Ed Sedel
    For precious metals: Key risk is the US debt and spending not being controlled. Near-term risk is if 'Warsh' (Waller) strengthens the dollar, dropping gold/silver value. For energy: Could see a big drop-off short-term (6-12 months) but is a 3-10 year play.
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