Asks if AI is in a bubble given the massive capital allocation and ecosystem involvement
Leslie Picker
Kim Posnett
AI will be absolutely transformative and value-creating across industries over time with parallels to internet revolution but greater scale and speed
Kim Posnett
Goldman research found 75% of major tech innovation periods led to equity bubbles but current environment not yet in AI bubble
Kim Posnett
AI path will be up and to the right over time but not a straight line - will have ups, downs, winners and losers
Questions if massive debt issuance by hyperscalers indicates things are getting overextended
Leslie Picker
Kim Posnett
Hyperscalers have enormous EBITDA, cash flow and balance sheet capacity with very healthy credit metrics even after capital raises
Kim Posnett
Heavy debt supply is impacting credit spreads which have widened slightly but this is just recalibration to larger aggregate debt quantum
Asks if circular deals between model companies, infrastructure providers and hyperscalers merit caution like 1999-2000
Leslie Picker
Kim Posnett
Strategic partnerships in AI ecosystem are merited by opportunity size but interconnectedness creates elevated risk in correction
Kim Posnett
Improving macro backdrop with pro-growth administration, constructive regulation, Fed easing cycle, equity markets near highs driving CEO confidence and M&A/IPO activity