• Asks if AI is in a bubble given the massive capital allocation and ecosystem involvement
    Leslie Picker
  • Kim Posnett
    AI will be absolutely transformative and value-creating across industries over time with parallels to internet revolution but greater scale and speed
  • Kim Posnett
    Goldman research found 75% of major tech innovation periods led to equity bubbles but current environment not yet in AI bubble
  • Kim Posnett
    AI path will be up and to the right over time but not a straight line - will have ups, downs, winners and losers
  • Questions if massive debt issuance by hyperscalers indicates things are getting overextended
    Leslie Picker
  • Kim Posnett
    Hyperscalers have enormous EBITDA, cash flow and balance sheet capacity with very healthy credit metrics even after capital raises
  • Kim Posnett
    Heavy debt supply is impacting credit spreads which have widened slightly but this is just recalibration to larger aggregate debt quantum
  • Asks if circular deals between model companies, infrastructure providers and hyperscalers merit caution like 1999-2000
    Leslie Picker
  • Kim Posnett
    Strategic partnerships in AI ecosystem are merited by opportunity size but interconnectedness creates elevated risk in correction
  • Kim Posnett
    Improving macro backdrop with pro-growth administration, constructive regulation, Fed easing cycle, equity markets near highs driving CEO confidence and M&A/IPO activity
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