Asks about notable volatility and pullback in precious metals (gold, silver, copper, platinum) to start 2026 after a strong 2025.
Sam Bis
George Noble
Speculators (degen crowd) migrated from Bitcoin to SLV and GLD; silver is a smaller market, easier to push around. Liquidity is sloshing and finding a home in precious metals.
George Noble
Don't get caught up in daily volatility; zoom out. Gold and silver are still up 18-19% this year. The trend is up.
George Noble
There's a chance silver goes up so much more than anybody thinks.
George Noble
A big Chinese speculator pushed silver price down deliberately, creating a big short in the market.
George Noble
Silver is up and people will be surprised by how much. Recent drop was macro tourists (Johnny-come-lately) getting flushed out.
Asks why he believes silver will keep going, noting use cases in renewables, EVs, AI data centers.
Sam Bis
George Noble
Risk is substitution if silver price goes up too much (like semiconductors). But silver has industrial demand and store of value.
Asks for overall take on market rotation into picks/shovels and international markets.
Sam Bis
George Noble
Seen this movie before with Japan in the 80s. Japanese market peaked in 1989, then for 25 years all you had to do was avoid Japan.
George Noble
The Mag 7 and US tech stocks have sucked all the air out of the room. US reached ~70% of global market cap.
George Noble
Now, reflationary policies elsewhere are driving growth. Money will migrate from tech into the '493' (rest of S&P) and from US into other markets.
George Noble
Tech stocks could be an absolute disaster; they could crash.