• Asks how to interpret mixed labor data (JOLTS, claims, layoffs) - is it more nuanced than 'low hire, low fire'?
    Sam
  • Liz Ann Sonders
    Labor data is nuanced. Layoffs were concentrated (Amazon, UPS). Initial claims pop might be weather-related one-off. Key question is whether we're seeing cracks in the 'low firing' part of equation, which needs more data.
  • Notes upcoming payrolls/CPI, asks about ISM surveys - highlights elevated prices paid and potential PPI stickiness translating to PCE.
    Sam
  • Liz Ann Sonders
    Strong ISM manufacturing headline (contraction to expansion) contrasts with dour verbatim comments mentioning tariffs. Similar to consumer confidence being weighed down by inflation experience despite strong growth.
  • Shifts to micro - asks about her 'three C's' (create, catalyze, cultivate) in context of Microsoft/Alphabet spending plans and tech sell-off.
    Sam
  • Liz Ann Sonders
    Adds 'disruption' phase. AI market broadening: from hyperscalers (create) to build-out (catalyze) to disruption/beneficiaries (cultivate). Multi-prong story with underlying strength but pockets of weakness.
  • Asks about market rotation from tech to other areas (real economy, staples) and whether it's sustainable.
    Sam
  • Liz Ann Sonders
    Momentum is in rotation trade. Traders (retail & institutional/CTAs) looking for opportunities both long and short. Broadening has fundamental underpinnings: equal-weight earnings trajectory improving, MAG7 growth decelerating while other 493 direction is higher, small-cap earnings more stable, cyclical strength explains international equity performance.
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