Eugenia Victorino views the sharp selloff in Asian equities as a healthy correction rather than the end of the AI trade, noting the KOSPI still holds over 60% gains for the quarter. She sees it as a buying opportunity. On currencies, she notes Asian currencies haven't benefited from US-Iran peace prospects due to recalibrated Fed expectations, with an October hike fully priced in and potential for another, keeping depreciation pressures on.
Yields

explicit
RUT
Oil
Metals

implicit
SEB 7.0
Commercial Bank
Eugenia Victorino 7.5
6/26/2026 10:38:46 AM
dxy
An October Fed hike is fully priced in, with potential for another in 2026, which will keep the dollar strong and maintain depreciation pressures on Asian currencies.
ndx
It's too early to say that [the peak of the AI trade has been seen]. We're just at the beginning of the structural uptick in AI usage.
Robert Lee attributes Apple's 6% drop to price hikes from memory chip shortages, but notes the broader context of rising US inflation (PCE at 4.1%) driving dollar strength and negative risk sentiment for tech. He contrasts Micron's benefit from the shortage with questions about its sustainability, given the cyclical nature of the memory chip sector. On the AI bubble, he argues that while infrastructure providers like Nvidia profit, the return on investment for AI users remains unclear, citing extreme stock performance of companies like Dupeau AI that lose money.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals

explicit
Bloomberg Research 7.0
Financial Media
Robert Lee 7.0
6/26/2026 10:38:46 AM
dxy
The PCE increase will likely drive a continued rally in the US dollar in theory.
ndx
Rising inflation and dollar strength are negative for tech sentiment. Apple's price hikes and questions about AI sustainability add to caution.
Stuart Livingstone Wallace discusses the attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, viewing it as a warning from Iran to maintain control over shipping routes. He notes the fragility of the situation and Iran's willingness to escalate. On OPEC, he highlights frustration among members over quota systems, with Iraq's potential exit being a negotiation tactic rather than a genuine threat, but questions the value of OPEC membership if major producers leave.
Yields
NDX
RUT

implicit
Metals
USD
Bloomberg 7.0
Financial Media
Stuart Livingstone Wallace 5.0
6/26/2026 10:38:46 AM
wti
The attack in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's willingness to escalate suggest ongoing volatility in oil prices, despite recent declines.
Matt Stanley argues the oil market has become too complacent, pricing in almost no geopolitical risk despite the fragile situation in the Strait of Hormuz. He notes physical flows take longer to recover than market prices, creating a lag. On OPEC, he believes Iraq's potential exit is a negotiation tactic, not a genuine threat, and OPEC still matters for supply management, especially for countries reliant on oil revenues. He also highlights that refined product prices remain elevated, and the key story for H2 will be refinery capacity.
Yields
NDX
RUT

explicit
Metals
USD
Kpler 1.0
Other
Matt Stanley 7.0
6/26/2026 10:38:46 AM
wti
The market has become too complacent... Brent has retraced to pre-conflict levels, which is a touch optimistic. Physical flows take longer to recover than the market does.
4 calls
+6
slightly better than random