explicit

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals

explicit
U.S. Treasury 8.0
Government Agency
Lawrence H. Summers 8.5
8/27/2025 12:58:21 AM
dxy
The dollar went down because the market judged it as going to be a less valuable currency over time due to money printing by a politicized Fed.
5 calls
-+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/14/2025 7:47:16 AM short term down 5 days later +0.38% -0.38%
yields
Short-term interest rates went down because people thought the Fed would cut more; long-term interest rates went up because people expected more inflation. The market showed a mixed reaction with short rates down but long rates up, reflecting uncertainty about Fed policy and inflation expectations.
22 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/14/2025 12:59:39 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.74% +1.11%
8/14/2025 11:22:41 AM short term down 5 days later -0.74% +0.74%
8/14/2025 11:10:44 AM medium term sharp down 20 days later -3.51% +5.27%
8/14/2025 9:15:11 AM medium term sharp down 20 days later -3.51% +5.27%
8/14/2025 7:47:16 AM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.74% +1.11%
8/13/2025 11:25:02 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/13/2025 4:15:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.21% -0.10%
8/13/2025 3:45:12 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.91% +0.96%
8/13/2025 3:10:28 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/6/2025 7:18:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.14% +0.07%
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