ECB raised rates by 25bp unanimously to combat broadening inflation from energy shock, with risks to the upside. Growth forecast revised down slightly. Lagarde emphasized data-dependence, no pre-set path, and that the decision is robust across all scenarios including a milder one. Second-round effects not yet visible but wage projections included.

explicit
NDX
RUT

explicit
Metals
USD
European Central Bank 9.0
Central Bank
Christine Lagarde 8.5
6/11/2026 9:11:11 PM
wti
If energy prices were to rise by more and for longer than currently expected, euro area inflation would increase further.
1 calls
+35
reliable positive edge across multiple calls
yields
The Governing Council today decided to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points.
1 calls
-8
slightly worse than random
Bruce Richards calls SpaceX the biggest rising star of all time, highlighting its refinancing of $17.5B high-yield debt at 12% to a $20B facility at ~4.6%, making it effectively net debt zero with an IG rating. He argues chip depreciation is overstated, sees strong demand for AI compute, and expects the Fed to hold rates despite inflation driven by energy supply issues.

explicit

implicit
RUT

implicit
Metals
USD
Marathon Asset Management 8.0
Hedge Fund $22.00B
Bruce Richards 9.0
6/11/2026 9:11:11 PM
ndx
Bruce is bullish on AI infrastructure and SpaceX, which are heavily represented in NDX. He sees strong demand for compute and chips, supporting tech valuations.
wti
He notes oil is getting through the Strait despite conflict, but reserves are running low. The situation is sustainable for now but could change quickly.
yields
The Fed will be in a holding pattern for a while. Slightly higher rates in terms of treasuries for a bit longer.
2 calls
+10
slightly better than random