Julian sees a short trading window for European equities in H2 2026, driven by reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and broadening of markets beyond AI. He favors tech/IT and healthcare. He sees UK gilts as attractive above 5% yields, with politics more important than BOE.

explicit

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Barclays 9.0
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Julian Le Farq 8.5
7/1/2026 1:32:38 PM
ndx
Julian sees AI trade broadening but US equities look overbought; cautious near term but positive on AI infrastructure.
yields
Anything above 5% on the 10-year gilt is a good entry point.
10 calls
+1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
Peter expects continued but more moderate equity gains in H2 2026, driven by earnings growth rather than valuation expansion. He sees a 'postmodern cycle' with less globalization, more government spending, and a super-cycle in capex (AI infrastructure, defense, supply chains). Europe holds up well despite lower tech exposure.

implicit

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Goldman Sachs 9.2
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Peter Oppenheimer 9.5
7/1/2026 1:32:38 PM
ndx
Peter expects continued earnings growth from tech, though more moderate. AI capex super-cycle supports medium-term upside.
yields
Higher government borrowing and cost of capital are features of the postmodern cycle, implying upward pressure on yields.
Jane Foley expects the dollar to remain strong given Fed hawkishness and resilient US data. She sees the yen as undervalued but lacks a clear trigger for reversal; BOJ credibility is key. She notes Kevin Worsh may try to shift dovish over time but must maintain credibility.
Yields
NDX
Oil
Metals

implicit
Rabobank 7.0
Commercial Bank $683.00B
Jane Foley 7.5
7/1/2026 1:32:38 PM
dxy
Jane Foley expects the dollar to remain strong given Fed hawkishness and resilient US data, implying dollar strength in the near term.
rut
No explicit mention of RUT; inferred from cautious market tone ahead of Worsh and NFP.
Tunde reports 88% of organizations are experimenting with AI, 36% see P&L impact, but only 6% see major benefits. The shift from piloting to scaling is happening now. Key is reimagining work and managing token costs. AI is likely to increase hiring overall, not reduce it, with a 6-12 month lag.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
McKinsey & Co. 6.0
Management Consulting
Tunde Olanrewaju 8.0
7/1/2026 1:32:38 PM
Axel welcomes the new EU steel quota measure as historic, preserving 15 million tons of capacity and 200,000 jobs. But more is needed: level playing field on energy costs, faster renewable deployment, and global cooperation to tackle Chinese overcapacity. Demand is weak but defense and infrastructure spending could help.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
European Steel Association (EUROFER) 2.5
Trade Association
Axel Eggert 7.0
7/1/2026 1:32:38 PM