Wang sees strong fundamental support from earnings growth, not valuation expansion, but warns expectations are high and concentrated, creating fragility. The AI cycle has 1-2 years to run with massive capex, but the key question is whether investments turn into sustainable profit. She raised US growth forecast to 3% for 2027 due to AI productivity gains, above consensus of 2%.

implicit

explicit
RUT

implicit
Metals
USD
Vanguard Group
9.0
Asset Manager $8000.00B
Qian Wang 9.0
Asset Manager $8000.00B
Qian Wang 9.0
6/25/2026 1:12:38 AM
ndx
the AI trade is powerful and has further legs to run, but it's fragile and volatile
wti
She cites the oil shock as a stagflationary shock, implying near-term downward pressure on oil from demand concerns.
yields
She notes inflation is firmer and central bank is tighter, implying upward pressure on yields in the near term.
Sherman attributes the bond rally to oil-driven inflation relief, but warns core inflation remains sticky with a 3-handle. He sees the Fed bias tilted toward a hike, not a cut, but political constraints may delay action. DoubleLine remains significantly underweight AI, citing high valuations in both equities and bonds, and sees the AI bond market as still in early innings.

explicit

explicit
RUT

implicit
Metals
USD
Doubleline
8.5
Asset Manager $130.00B
Jeffrey Sherman 9.0
Asset Manager $130.00B
Jeffrey Sherman 9.0
6/25/2026 1:12:38 AM
ndx
we're staying significantly underweight to AI story
wti
He notes oil's relief down to $70 but warns of challenges with Strait traffic and supply, implying uncertainty and potential volatility.
yields
the bias should be toward a hike at this point
Munster argues we are earlier in the AI cycle than most believe — now in the 'second inning.' Micron's 340% revenue guide shows sustainability despite large numbers. Hyperscaler capex growth expectations have risen from 15% to 22% for next year, and the street is getting comfortable with 40%+ growth rates. Next chapters: personalized AI (late 2025-2028) and physical AI/autonomy.
Yields

explicit

Oil
Metals
USD
Deepwater Asset Management
6.0
Hedge Fund
Gene Munster 8.5
Hedge Fund
Gene Munster 8.5
6/25/2026 1:12:38 AM
ndx
we are earlier than most expect... the AI buildout has more legs to go
rut
He discusses broadening of AI trade beyond mega-caps to companies like Qualcomm, implying potential for broader market participation.
Oden argues AI-driven capex is a structural growth engine, but near-term markets are driven by oil/rate volatility. Investors embrace AI as a tool but still rely on human advisors (80% of decisions). She warns rate hikes could pressure chips, while easing oil/strait tensions relieve inflation and support equities. Long-term AI bull case tempered by short-term macro risks.

implicit

implicit
RUT

explicit
Metals
USD
HSBC
8.2
Investment Bank $1686.00B
Racquel Oden 7.5
Investment Bank $1686.00B
Racquel Oden 7.5
6/25/2026 1:12:38 AM
ndx
She emphasizes long-term AI structural growth but warns short-term rate hikes could pressure chips, implying cautious optimism for tech over the long run.
wti
opening of the Strait and peace treaty... oil prices drop again
yields
She highlights interest rate direction as a key short-term volatility driver, implying yields are uncertain and data-dependent.