Sonders warns of complacency on oil price spikes due to low stockpiles and Strait of Hormuz risks, noting an inverse correlation with stocks. She flags multiple red flags in sentiment data (consumer, business, NFIB) but sees a disconnect with hard data, suggesting an inflationary boom that could weaken growth. She expects a correction via rotation, not index-level decline, as average S&P member drawdown is -22% and Nasdaq -38%.
inferred
explicit
explicit
Metals
USD
Charles Schwab
7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Liz Ann Sonders 9.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Liz Ann Sonders 9.0
6/9/2026 7:27:19 PM
ndx
Average member maximum drawdown in the Nasdaq is -38%.
| 5/20/2026 9:00:35 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.19% | +2.19% |
| 5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 5/9/2026 5:00:57 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +4.07% | +4.07% |
| 5/8/2026 7:01:43 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.11% | -0.56% |
| 5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 3/17/2026 1:00:03 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.97% | -0.97% |
| 3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.89% | +1.89% |
| 3/10/2026 1:00:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.24% | -1.24% |
| 3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.21% | -1.21% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.50% | +0.50% |
| 2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.72% | -0.36% |
| 2/5/2026 2:00:23 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.50% | -0.50% |
| 2/4/2026 2:00:00 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.36% | -2.36% |
| 1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.09% | -1.09% |
| 11/20/2025 7:30:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.11% | +4.11% |
| 11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 11/7/2025 3:01:02 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | -1.05% | -1.05% |
| 11/5/2025 8:18:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.61% | +0.80% |
| 11/3/2025 6:30:01 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.69% | +0.35% |
| 11/1/2025 1:00:33 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.39% | -1.39% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.15% | -0.15% |
| 10/23/2025 3:00:52 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.00% | +1.50% |
| 10/8/2025 1:00:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.07% | +1.03% |
| 10/1/2025 5:00:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.21% | -0.21% |
| 9/13/2025 1:29:51 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.92% | +1.92% |
| 8/11/2025 5:30:31 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.53% | -0.53% |
rut
Sonders discusses broad market weakness via rotation, and small caps (RUT) are typically more sensitive to economic weakness and sentiment red flags she highlights.
wti
Without a relatively imminent opening of the Strait of Hormuz, oil could spike to $150 in a matter of a few weeks.
| 5/28/2026 3:30:30 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +9.91% | +4.96% |
| 5/27/2026 7:19:54 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +5.47% | -5.47% |
| 5/26/2026 4:30:11 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +3.92% | -3.92% |
| 5/21/2026 4:30:11 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -8.20% | -4.10% |
| 5/20/2026 3:30:13 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.55% | +2.55% |
| 5/19/2026 4:00:55 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.69% | -0.84% |
| 5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.52% | +9.79% |
| 5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +3.78% |
| 5/12/2026 3:43:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +7.56% |
| 5/11/2026 6:01:37 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.34% | +6.34% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.34% | +3.17% |
| 5/11/2026 3:30:59 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.34% | +3.17% |
| 5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +7.77% | +7.77% |
| 5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.77% | -3.89% |
| 5/1/2026 6:30:15 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -7.85% | +3.92% |
| 5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -7.85% | +3.92% |
| 5/1/2026 4:30:29 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 4/27/2026 6:00:43 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +6.49% |
| 4/27/2026 4:30:46 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +6.49% |
| 4/27/2026 3:45:31 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +3.25% |
| 4/24/2026 7:01:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +12.75% | +6.38% |
| 4/24/2026 3:30:34 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +10.43% | -5.21% |
| 4/17/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/17/2026 6:00:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/17/2026 3:32:53 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/17/2026 1:00:06 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/13/2026 4:31:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -1.83% |
| 4/11/2026 2:00:47 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -9.56% | +14.34% |
| 4/3/2026 2:00:27 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -11.86% | -17.79% |
| 4/3/2026 12:14:01 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -11.86% | -17.79% |
| 3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +9.26% |
| 3/24/2026 6:00:01 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 3/24/2026 4:30:32 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.91% | +6.95% |
| 3/24/2026 2:00:29 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +13.91% | -6.95% |
| 3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +7.29% | +3.64% |
| 3/20/2026 7:58:07 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +16.74% | +16.74% |
| 3/19/2026 3:39:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.14% | -8.14% |
| 3/19/2026 2:34:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -8.14% | -4.07% |
| 3/18/2026 5:00:40 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -5.91% |
| 3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.50% | -8.50% |
| 3/17/2026 2:31:24 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.50% | -8.50% |
| 3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -5.74% | -5.74% |
| 3/9/2026 6:15:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +12.04% |
| 3/9/2026 5:30:33 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +12.04% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +40.40% |
| 1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 12/30/2025 10:30:10 PM | long term down | 61 days later | +24.05% | -24.05% |
| 12/22/2025 5:01:11 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.51% | -0.51% |
| 12/17/2025 4:30:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.97% | +3.97% |
| 12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.29% | +0.64% |
| 9/25/2025 6:01:25 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -6.00% | -6.00% |
| 8/7/2025 12:00:18 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.93% | -1.93% |
yields
Inflationary boom scenario and potential weaker growth create conflicting pressures on yields, suggesting volatility.
