Van Ram argues markets are too complacent, particularly in Treasuries, as oil prices near $100/bbl. He expects front-end yields to push higher as the reality of persistent inflation from elevated oil prices and the Fed's natural inclination toward higher rates dawns on markets. He sees the recent yield decline as a buying opportunity in duration, but not at the front end.

explicit
NDX
RUT

implicit
Metals

implicit
Bloomberg 5.5
Financial Media
Van Ram 7.0
5/26/2026 2:13:56 PM
dxy
His strong bearish view on the yen (shorting it) implies a view for a stronger dollar (DXY up) as the yen weakens.
52 calls
-1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
wti
He states oil is 'catching up to reality' near $100/bbl and that markets are not pricing in a 'higher for longer' scenario, implying a continued upward bias.
176 calls
+7
slightly better than random
yields
I think that front end yields will push higher in the coming weeks.
136 calls
-+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
Katrina Dudley highlights that persistent high energy prices are feeding into inflation expectations and causing consumer fragility, evidenced by sticker shock at the pump and grocery store. She sees competing forces (deglobalization vs. AI job losses) making the market non-directional. She advises a balanced portfolio approach, noting that strong earnings growth (over 30% in 2026) supports equities, making valuation a poor reason to sell.

implicit

explicit
RUT

implicit
Metals
USD
Franklin Templeton 7.8
Asset Manager $1300.00B
Katrina Dudley 8.5
5/26/2026 2:13:56 PM
ndx
Earnings growth expectations for 2026 are over 30%... This strong earnings growth is what drives you and keeps you into equities... it's never a reason to sell.
4 calls
+6
slightly better than random
rut
Deglobalization is bringing jobs onshore to the US, which is positive for domestic small caps. Earnings growth is broad-based across sectors.
wti
She states the energy price increase has been 'persistent' and is driving inflation expectations and consumer fragility, implying a view that prices will remain elevated or move higher.
1 calls
+31
reliable positive edge across multiple calls
yields
She sees competing forces (inflation vs. employment) and advises a balanced portfolio, implying no strong directional conviction on yields in the near term. She notes the market is not directional.
2 calls
+2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
Matt Bloxham discusses Samsung's $27B bonus dispute, noting the chip division generates most profits so the payout is justified and unlikely to be blocked. On AI trainers making $25k/day, he contextualizes it as ~$1k/employee for a class, highlighting the big disconnect between AI capability and staff ability to harness it. On China tech, Huawei is closing the gap on TSMC towards 1.4nm technology by 2031 vs TSMC's 2028, but TSMC remains dominant for high-end chips. Xiaomi faces margin pressure from rising memory costs as it's harder to pass on costs at mid-price points.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg 5.5
Financial Media
Matt Bloxham 6.5
5/26/2026 2:13:56 PM