U.S. Treasury sells $22B in 30-year bonds

yields

The yield at this 22 billion Dutch auction 4.734%. The when issued market was hovering right around 4.73. So the actual Dutch auction had a slightly higher yield, which means a slightly lower price. Despite a solid auction and strong demand indicated by a low dealer take down, yields moved slightly higher, suggesting cautious short-term upward pressure on yields.

33 calls

no reliable edge (random outcomes)

10/2/2025 9:51:20 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	+0.24%	-0.12%
10/1/2025 7:40:01 PM	short term down	5 days later	+0.95%	-0.95%
9/26/2025 9:43:54 PM	short term cautious up	7 days later	+0.51%	+0.25%
9/25/2025 9:42:20 PM	short term sharp up	5 days later	-1.93%	-2.90%
9/12/2025 1:09:47 AM	short term cautious up	7 days later	+2.70%	+1.35%
9/11/2025 9:43:20 PM	short term up	5 days later	+0.37%	+0.37%
9/11/2025 4:21:20 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	+0.37%	-0.18%
9/5/2025 8:42:13 PM	short term down	7 days later	-0.30%	+0.30%
9/2/2025 5:53:30 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	-3.92%	+1.96%
9/2/2025 5:00:10 PM	short term cautious up	5 days later	-3.92%	-1.96%
8/26/2025 5:10:10 PM	medium term cautious down	20 days later	-5.00%	+2.50%
8/20/2025 6:15:09 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	-1.66%	+0.83%
8/20/2025 4:19:17 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	-1.66%	+0.83%
8/15/2025 9:51:48 PM	short term up	7 days later	-1.52%	-1.52%
8/14/2025 3:53:08 PM	short term sharp up	5 days later	-0.74%	-1.11%
8/7/2025 6:28:51 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	-1.10%	+0.55%
8/6/2025 10:00:41 PM	short term cautious down	5 days later	+1.15%	-0.58%
8/6/2025 12:29:47 AM	short term cautious down	5 days later	+1.15%	-0.58%
8/4/2025 4:22:01 PM	medium term cautious down	20 days later	+1.88%	-0.94%
7/21/2025 5:52:01 PM	short term down	6 days later	+1.94%	-1.94%

Show all 20 yields results

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