Ed Yardeni interprets Kevin Worsh's first FOMC meeting as a hawkish surprise, prioritizing price stability over the dual mandate. He sees a 'do nothing Fed' for now, but a potential 25-50bp hike if inflation persists. Yardeni views the economy as resilient, with normalized bond yields at 4.5%, and believes a rate hike would not derail the 'Roaring 2020s'.

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implicit
RUT

explicit
Metals
USD
Yardeni Research 4.0
Financial Media
Ed Yardeni 8.5
6/18/2026 8:54:00 PM
ndx
Yardeni says the economy is 'resilient' and a rate hike would not spoil the 'Roaring 2020s' or equity enthusiasm. He implies equities (including NDX) can remain supported, but with caution due to potential rate hikes.
wti
The price of oil's coming down... the price of gasoline is coming down.
4 calls
+26
reliable positive edge across multiple calls
yields
Yardeni says bond yields at 4.5% are 'normal' and 'normalized'. He expects the Fed to potentially hike 25-50bp if inflation persists, which would push yields higher. He also notes the bond market might rally on a hike, but overall direction is cautiously up.
Norman Roule views the US-Iran interim peace deal as a 'high-value pause' that buys time but not trust. It shifts from military conflict to a tenuous diplomatic process, relieving pressure on energy markets. He warns the deal is narrow, reversible, and requires early proof of progress, especially on nuclear, missile, and militia issues.
Yields
NDX
RUT

explicit
Metals
USD
Center for Strategic & International Studies 7.0
Policy Institute
Norman Roule 7.5
6/18/2026 8:54:00 PM
wti
The diplomatic process immediately relieves pressure on the world energy markets.
Claudia Sahm argues Kevin Worsh made a mistake by not participating in the Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot), leaving 'huge blanks' in communication. She says the Fed needs to explain its current decisions, not just avoid forward guidance. The lack of clarity could increase market volatility and uncertainty, costing investors. She also notes the divided committee (9 of 18 see a hike as appropriate) signals a big shift in monetary policy.

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implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
New Century Advisors 3.0
Financial Advisory
Claudia Sahm 8.0
6/18/2026 8:54:00 PM
ndx
Sahm highlights a divided FOMC with 9 members seeing a hike as appropriate, which is a 'big shift' in policy. This hawkish tilt, combined with increased uncertainty and volatility, could weigh on equity valuations like the NDX.
yields
More uncertainty about what the Federal Reserve is going to do, which is going to lead to potentially more volatility in interest rates.