Kevin Warsh is sworn in as Fed Chair. Analysts Michael McKee and Stuart Paul discuss his hawkish stance, the likelihood of rate hikes over cuts due to persistent inflation and the Iran war, and his desire to move away from forward guidance and the dot plot. The consensus is that Warsh will prioritize independence and price stability, keeping rates on hold or higher.

implicit

inferred


implicit

inferred

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Federal Reserve
9.0
Central Bank
Kevin Warsh 9.5
Central Bank
Kevin Warsh 9.5
5/22/2026 11:52:24 PM
dxy
A hawkish Fed stance (potential rate hikes) typically supports the US dollar. The DXY is likely to see cautious upward pressure.
metals
Spot gold is down slightly, but there is no explicit discussion of metals. Given the focus on inflation and potential rate hikes, gold may trade sideways as real rates rise.
ndx
The S&P 500 is on track for its longest weekly winning streak since 2023, and the Nasdaq 100 is up 0.8% on the day. However, the macro outlook of potential rate hikes and persistent inflation suggests a cautious upward trend.
rut
The Russell 2000 is outperforming on the day, up just over 1%. However, the broader macro risks (inflation, potential rate hikes) suggest a cautious upward trend.
wti
Oil is swinging between gains and losses as traders assess the outlook for a peace deal to end the US-Iran war. The uncertainty around the war's resolution creates a volatile environment for WTI.
yields
Analysts discuss that the Fed may need to raise rates, and financial conditions are already tightening with 2-year and 10-year yields up 75 basis points. This implies a cautious upward pressure on yields in the near term.
Nakul Duggal discusses Qualcomm's expanded partnership with Stellantis to deploy its Snapdragon Digital Chassis across all Stellantis brands starting in model year 2028. This includes AI-powered in-cabin experiences and self-driving capabilities. He sees automotive as a key growth area, with the business growing 25%+ annually, and expects AI to drastically accelerate in cars over the next two years.
Yields

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RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Qualcomm
3.0
Information Technology
Nakul Duggal 8.5
Information Technology
Nakul Duggal 8.5
5/22/2026 11:52:24 PM
ndx
Qualcomm's strong automotive growth (25%+ annually) and major partnership with Stellantis, along with the broader AI acceleration in cars, supports a positive outlook for the Nasdaq 100, which is heavily weighted towards tech.
Stu Leonard Jr. reports that sales are brisk but customers are complaining about high food prices and overall expenses. Prices at his store are up about 3% year-over-year, driven by meat costs. He notes consumers are switching to cheaper proteins like chicken and pork. He is optimistic that beef and fuel prices will come down once the Middle East situation resolves, but warns that labor costs are sticky and will remain inflationary.
Yields
NDX
RUT

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USD
Stu Leonard's
2.5
Consumer Staples
Stu Leonard Jr. 6.0
Consumer Staples
Stu Leonard Jr. 6.0
5/22/2026 11:52:24 PM
metals
No mention of metals; focus is on food and fuel inflation.
wti
I really think fuel prices are going to come down once we get things straightened out in the Middle East, which cannot be forever.