explicit

implicit

implicit

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implicit
U.S. Treasury 8.0
Government Agency
Scott Bessent 7.0
10/27/2025 10:05:11 PM
ndx
Tech stocks and AI investments continue to show strength with demand expected for at least two years. Strong earnings, especially in AI and software sectors, along with rising revenues and stable costs, imply short-term upward momentum in Nasdaq 100.
yields
The budget deficit falling from 6.5% to 5.9% reduces pressure on the Fed, which is good news for the market; avoiding extraordinary measures like yield curve control. Reduced fiscal deficit eases borrowing pressure, thereby limiting the need for aggressive Fed action, suggesting yields may cautiously rise.
22 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
9/18/2025 10:51:52 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.19% -0.10%
9/16/2025 3:17:11 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/16/2025 3:02:16 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/15/2025 1:01:21 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +2.91% -1.45%
9/11/2025 10:26:45 PM long term cautious down 60 days later +1.45% -0.73%
9/3/2025 6:57:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
8/27/2025 12:58:21 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +1.66% +0.83%
8/14/2025 12:59:39 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.74% +1.11%
8/14/2025 11:22:41 AM short term down 5 days later -0.74% +0.74%
8/14/2025 11:10:44 AM medium term sharp down 20 days later -3.51% +5.27%
8/14/2025 9:15:11 AM medium term sharp down 20 days later -3.51% +5.27%
8/14/2025 7:47:16 AM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.74% +1.11%
8/13/2025 11:25:02 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/13/2025 4:15:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.21% -0.10%
8/13/2025 3:45:12 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.91% +0.96%
8/13/2025 3:10:28 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/6/2025 7:18:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.14% +0.07%
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