Strong May jobs report (172k vs 80k expected) raises probability of Fed rate hike to 70% for December, challenging new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's view that strong growth doesn't cause inflation. Market sold off on good news as rate hike expectations rose.
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Financial Media
Steve Liesman 4.0
Financial Media
Steve Liesman 4.0
6/8/2026 8:36:09 PM
ndx
The market didn't like what it saw and the implications of it on Friday. The NASDAQ fell more than 4% on Friday, its worst day since April of last year.
yields
Probability of Fed rate hike this year at 70% this morning for December up from 44% before the Friday report
| 5/13/2026 3:58:23 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +4.62% |
| 1/14/2026 4:01:24 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.76% | +2.76% |
| 12/19/2025 9:52:12 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 12/12/2025 10:10:57 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.31% | -0.31% |
| 12/8/2025 8:08:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.10% | -0.10% |
| 12/2/2025 10:26:40 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.76% | +2.76% |
| 11/14/2025 10:02:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/13/2025 9:40:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.36% | -0.36% |
| 10/31/2025 9:02:06 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +0.10% | +0.15% |
| 10/30/2025 1:11:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +0.68% |
| 10/28/2025 3:55:04 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.18% | -0.59% |
| 10/15/2025 9:48:44 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.33% | -0.16% |
| 10/9/2025 8:36:27 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.12% | -0.06% |
| 10/2/2025 9:51:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 10/1/2025 7:40:01 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 9/26/2025 9:43:54 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/25/2025 9:42:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.93% | -2.90% |
| 9/12/2025 1:09:47 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +1.35% |
| 9/11/2025 9:43:20 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 9/11/2025 4:21:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.18% |
| 9/5/2025 8:42:13 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/2/2025 5:53:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.92% | +1.96% |
| 9/2/2025 5:00:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -3.92% | -1.96% |
| 8/26/2025 5:10:10 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.00% | +2.50% |
| 8/20/2025 6:15:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/20/2025 4:19:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/15/2025 9:51:48 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.52% | -1.52% |
| 8/14/2025 3:53:08 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.74% | -1.11% |
| 8/7/2025 6:28:51 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.10% | +0.55% |
| 8/6/2025 10:00:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.15% | -0.58% |
| 8/6/2025 12:29:47 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.15% | -0.58% |
| 8/4/2025 4:22:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.88% | -0.94% |
| 7/21/2025 5:52:01 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.94% | -1.94% |
