Best case for UK markets under Burnham: a centrist chancellor like Wes Streeting and creative fiscal policy (e.g., war bonds). BOE's next move is more likely a cut than a hike, contrary to market pricing, as the UK labor market is weaker than 2022. Tech remains a cornerstone asset but is liable to pullbacks after extreme concentration and hot flows.

implicit

explicit
Oil
Metals
USD
Saxo Bank 7.0
Commercial Bank
Neil Wilson 7.0
6/23/2026 9:48:26 AM
ndx
Some of these stocks have been highly leveraged to the AI trade and are liable to pullbacks.
rut
Wilson's focus is on UK politics and BOE policy; no strong directional view on US small caps, implying a neutral/rangebound outlook.
yields
Wilson notes that a left-leaning chancellor could cause gilt selloffs, and that the market was wrong to price in BOE hikes, implying yields may not rise as much as feared but remain elevated.
All four major central banks (Fed, ECB, BOJ, BOE) are raising rates, pushing Treasury yields higher and raising discount rates on equities, setting the stage for a correction in fully-valued Nasdaq/S&P. UK gilt yields could spike further if a left-leaning chancellor like Ed Milliband is appointed.

explicit

explicit
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg MLIV 7.0
Financial Media
Ven Ram 5.0
6/23/2026 9:48:26 AM
ndx
The Nasdaq and S&P are more than fully valued, so the stage is set for a correction.
6 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
rut
Ram's broad equity correction thesis applies to the Russell 2000 as well, given rising discount rates and fully-valued markets.
yields
If the Fed keeps raising rates and the 10-year Treasury yield keeps going higher...
8 calls
-+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
SpaceX's 16% drop is driven by passive fund rebalancing, quick return to market for debt after equity raise, huge capital needs, and short-dated options activity. Longer-term investors still buy the opportunity, but near-term volatility is high until August earnings.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg 7.0
Financial Media
Neil Campling 4.0
6/23/2026 9:48:26 AM
ndx
Campling notes that SpaceX (a major tech name) is seeing extreme short-term volatility driven by leveraged ETFs and short-dated options, and that 'volatility is a factor that's going to be in play for quite some time.' This implies near-term tech market turbulence.