AI is still early in a secular cycle; volatility is healthy repositioning. Lower oil prices support global growth and earnings. PCE may show high watermark for inflation, but Fed reaction likely muted.

implicit

explicit
RUT

implicit
Metals

implicit
J.P. Morgan Asset Management 9.2
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Kerry Craig 9.0
6/25/2026 7:26:53 AM
dxy
Strong dollar is a factor pressuring non-AI assets and the yen; Fed rate hikes are already priced in.
ndx
AI remains a main driver of the markets over the coming six months.
8 calls
+11
slightly better than random
wti
Oil may lift a bit from current lows as political risk premium is reassessed, but soft Chinese demand and supply diversification cap upside.
yields
PCE may be high watermark, shelter costs declining, lower energy prices should reduce inflation, leading to lower yields.
Asian tech markets saw panic selling of $9B but are rebounding on Micron's 85% margins. Oil's return to pre-war levels and a strong dollar are easing inflation fears, but non-AI assets face headwinds.
Yields
NDX
RUT

explicit

implicit

explicit
Bloomberg 7.0
Financial Media
Anthony Stephens 3.0
6/25/2026 7:26:53 AM
dxy
The dollar at a seven-month high... any non-AI trade will be challenged by a strong dollar.
68 calls
-1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
metals
Gold broke key technical levels as dollar rallied and AI trade dominates attention, though sovereign buying provides some support.
wti
Oil is pricing in a return to normalcy... spot oil price trading right back where it was before the oil crisis.
296 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
Micron's strong quarterly forecast and long-term contracts signal sustained AI-driven demand, with supply constraints expected through 2028. Qualcomm's entry into data center chips expands competition and addressable market.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg Research 7.0
Financial Media
Jake Silverman 4.0
6/25/2026 7:26:53 AM
ndx
Strong Micron and Qualcomm results, long-term contracts, and sustained AI demand point to continued upside for tech-heavy Nasdaq.
Micron's 85% margins are unprecedented but need to be tested over a full cycle. Free cash flow and buybacks add confidence, but volatility and anxiety around AI demand will persist.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Susquehanna 1.0
Other
Mehdi Hosseini 8.5
6/25/2026 7:26:53 AM
ndx
AI trade is broadening into macro, but volatility and anxiety around demand forecasting will persist. Structural margin profile needs cycle testing.