explicit

implicit
RUT

inferred

inferred

implicit
antimony sharp up
U.S. Treasury 8.0
Government Agency
Scott Bessent 7.0
8/13/2025 11:25:02 PM
yields
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen explicitly called for the Fed to cut rates by at least 1.5 percentage points, suggesting imminent rate cuts starting with 50 basis points in September.
22 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/13/2025 4:15:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.21% -0.10%
8/13/2025 3:45:12 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.91% +0.96%
8/13/2025 3:10:28 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/6/2025 7:18:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.14% +0.07%
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