Market wisdom at a glance * SignalTube

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Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Robert Kaplan (90)

(85) Leaning towards a September rate cut despite weak job market, says Goldman's Robert Kaplan

8/12/2025 8:12:01 PM

Robert Kaplan leans towards a rate cut in September due to a weak job market and disinflationary forces, but believes it won't start a cutting cycle.

Kaplan highlights the disparity between headline unemployment and actual job market conditions, suggesting a cautious approach to rate cuts.

The weak job market and disinflationary pressures suggest a need for rate cuts, but the uncertainty around tariffs and inflation dynamics requires a cautious approach.

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BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Rick Rieder (90)

(85) BlackRock's Rick Rieder: This is the best investing environment ever

8/12/2025 7:38:50 PM

ndx

Equity side versus the technicals and equities are crazy... earnings growth... For 2024... 54% year on year growth... So I'm bullish on stocks and urged to continue to look at stocks.

yields

I think the Fed can cut rates, but until then you got yield levels. You can get it down faster and more aggressively than where they are today.

Rick Rieder believes we are in the best investment environment ever, citing strong earnings growth, favorable yield levels, and low volatility in equities, while anticipating potential Fed rate cuts.

Rieder emphasizes the extraordinary investment environment driven by cash on the sidelines, buybacks, and earnings growth, alongside expectations for Fed rate cuts.

The combination of strong earnings growth, favorable yield levels, and low volatility creates an exceptional investment environment, with potential for Fed rate cuts to further enhance conditions.

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PIMCO (95)
Asset Manager $2100.00B
Mike Cudzil (90)

(85) Fed will begin cutting rates again in September, says PIMCO's Mike Zudzil

8/12/2025 7:24:43 PM

yields

We do think the fed does get underway. That recalibration that was hibernating comes out of hibernation. And they begin cutting in September. Given the expectation of the Federal Reserve starting rate cuts in September due to slowing labor market and inflation data, yields are expected to move sharply down in the short term.

Mike Cudzil from PIMCO discusses the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September, emphasizing the importance of labor market data and the potential for fixed income investments to perform well.

Cudzil highlights the Fed's potential rate cuts and the resilience of the economy, suggesting a cautious approach to interest rates.

The Fed is likely to start cutting rates due to a slowing labor market and manageable inflation, making fixed income investments attractive.

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Societe Generale (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Subadra Rajappa (90)

(85) July CPI not hot enough to change rate cut expectations for this year, says Subadra Rajappa

8/12/2025 10:13:12 PM

Subadra Rajappa discusses the current market dynamics, emphasizing concerns over inflation and the potential for the Fed to cut rates, while noting that yields are likely to remain rangebound.

Inflation pressures from tariffs are expected to ramp up, influencing Fed policy decisions.

The Fed may cut rates, but inflation concerns from tariffs will complicate the decision-making process, leading to a rangebound yield environment.

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Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
James Bullard (70)

(85) James Bullard: Tariffs don't really cause inflation

8/12/2025 8:24:12 PM

yields

So, they're ready to come down. I think they'll cut here in September. Probably again later in the year. And as I said last time, I think you could continue that into next year. So, you probably get a 100 basis points by this time next year.

James Bullard suggests that the Fed is likely to cut rates due to muted inflation effects and a return to a 2% inflation target.

Bullard believes the recent price increases are one-time events and not indicative of ongoing inflation, supporting a rate cut strategy.

The Fed is observing that recent price increases are likely one-time events and not a threat to the long-term inflation target, allowing for potential rate cuts.

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Barclays (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Pooja Sriram (90)

(85) US Core CPI Picks Up, India, China Build Ties | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 8/12/2025

8/12/2025 8:19:51 PM

Markets are reacting positively to inflation data, with expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, while geopolitical tensions and tariff impacts are influencing global trade dynamics.

Inflation data aligns with expectations, suggesting potential for Fed rate cuts, while geopolitical maneuvers, especially from China, are reshaping global trade.

The inflation data was in line with expectations, leading to speculation about a Fed rate cut, while geopolitical tensions, particularly with China, are influencing market dynamics.

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J.P. Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Gabriela Santos (90)

(85) JPM's Gabriela Santos: Inflation report shows very gradual passthrough of higher tariffs

8/12/2025 3:44:36 PM

Gabriela Santos discusses the impact of a tamer inflation report on market dynamics, emphasizing a cautious outlook on rate cuts and their effects on equities, particularly small caps.

The inflation report suggests localized pressures, with potential implications for margins in consumer staples and discretionary sectors.

The market is pricing in rate cuts, but a significant cut may not be beneficial for equities, especially if it signals a cooling economy.

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JPMorgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
David Kelly (90)

(85) Tax Refunds Will Trigger Inflation Next Year, Kelly Says

8/12/2025 1:29:28 PM

David Kelly discusses persistent inflation driven by fiscal stimulus and tariffs, predicting Fed rate cuts despite rising inflation.

Inflation is expected to remain above 3% due to fiscal stimulus and tariff impacts, with potential Fed rate cuts not aligning with inflation trends.

Inflation is being sustained by fiscal stimulus and tariff increases, leading to a potential surge in consumer spending and second-round inflation effects.

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cybersecurity up

Bank of America Global Wealth (95)
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Joseph Quinlan (90)

(85) Quinlan: Think of the U.S. economy as a great economic dynasty

8/12/2025 12:14:26 PM

Joseph Quinlan discusses the resilience of the U.S. economy, the importance of U.S.-China trade relations, and bullish sentiments on cybersecurity as a growth industry.

Quinlan emphasizes the long-term potential of the U.S. economy and the significance of ongoing U.S.-China trade discussions.

The U.S. economy is likened to a dynasty that will continue to attract talent and provide returns, while ongoing discussions with China are crucial for market stability. Cybersecurity is seen as a growth industry due to increasing threats and the need for investment.

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UBS (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Paul Donovan (90)

(85) US-China Trade Truce Extended; China Urges Firms to Avoid Nvidia Chips | Bloomberg Brief 8/12/2025

US; China

8/12/2025 11:26:32 AM

Market sentiment is cautious ahead of CPI data, with concerns about sticky inflation and its impact on consumer behavior and corporate pricing strategies.

The discussion highlights the complexities of inflation dynamics, particularly in relation to tariffs and consumer spending, suggesting a cautious outlook for the economy.

The market is facing potential inflationary pressures from tariffs and consumer behavior, leading to a cautious outlook on growth and pricing strategies.

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Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Ellen Zentner (90)

(85) There's now downside risks to the labor market, says Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner

8/12/2025 3:27:35 PM

Ellen Zentner discusses the potential for the Fed to cut rates in September due to downside risks in the labor market, while inflation remains manageable.

The Fed may find it easier to justify a rate cut in September given the current economic conditions and labor market concerns.

The Fed is likely to cut rates in September due to downside risks in the labor market, despite manageable inflation levels.

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Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Eli Gross (90)

(85) Morgan Stanley's Eli Gross: The backdrop sets up for continued rebound in dealmaking

8/12/2025 3:21:38 PM

Eli Gross discusses the resurgence of M&A activity and IPOs, driven by increased corporate confidence and a favorable regulatory environment.

The macro environment is improving, with strong earnings growth and a more predictable regulatory landscape encouraging M&A and IPO activity.

Increased corporate confidence, strong earnings growth, and a more favorable regulatory environment are driving M&A and IPO activity.

BofA Securities (95)
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Jill Carey Hill (80)

(75) Focus on high quality among mid and small caps, says BofA's Jill Carey Hill

8/12/2025 5:48:53 PM

Jill Carey Hill expresses caution on small caps, particularly the Russell 2000, due to tariff risks, Fed policy, and mixed earnings outlook.

Expectations for small cap earnings recovery have been pushed out, and the Fed's stance on interest rates remains a concern.

Small caps are sensitive to Fed policy and tariffs, and while there are some positive signs in earnings, the overall outlook remains cautious.

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Norges Bank Investment Management (90)
Asset Manager $1500.00B
Nicolai Tangen (90)

(85) Norway’s Wealth Fund Has Best Quarter Since 2023

8/12/2025 10:49:40 AM

Nicolai Tangen expresses cautious optimism about market returns, highlighting concerns over inflation and geopolitical risks, while emphasizing the importance of diversification and long-term investment strategies.

Tangen notes the strong earnings growth in the US tech sector but remains cautious due to geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures.

Tangen emphasizes the need for caution due to sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and the importance of a diversified long-term investment strategy in the current market environment.

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Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
James Bullard (70)

(80) Former St. Louis Fed Pres. Jim Bullard: The Fed could cut 100 basis points in the next year

8/12/2025 1:25:35 PM

James Bullard discusses potential interest rate cuts and the importance of maintaining dollar stability while addressing inflation risks.

Bullard emphasizes the need for low and stable inflation and suggests that the Fed may cut rates in the near future.

Bullard believes that the Fed's focus should be on maintaining low inflation and dollar stability, which may lead to interest rate cuts in the near future.

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Transmedics → 145
Okhla → 85

Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Horner (70)

(75) Technical Tuesday: SPX All-Time High, OKLO Bull Flags & TMDX Bullish SMA

SPX

8/13/2025 12:00:57 AM

The market shows resilience with new all-time highs, and small caps are leading, indicating potential for further gains.

The market's resilience is highlighted by the recovery from recent lows and the leadership of small caps, suggesting a bullish outlook.

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AB (80)
Asset Manager $800.00B
Jim Tierney (90)

(80) Market concentration is scary and it's all around AI, says AB's Jim Tierney

8/12/2025 6:31:57 PM

Jim Tierney discusses the concentration in the market driven by AI, highlighting the strong earnings of key companies like Nvidia and Microsoft, while expressing concerns about tariffs and their potential impact on corporate earnings.

The discussion emphasizes the dual nature of AI's impact on the market, with strong growth potential but also risks associated with market concentration and tariffs.

The concentration in the market around AI companies is concerning, but their strong earnings growth and cost efficiencies from AI spending may continue to drive market performance despite potential tariff impacts.

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S&P500 → 6500

UBS Global Wealth Management (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Brenda O'Connor Juanas (90)

(85) Stock Rally Stalls Ahead of CPI Inflation Report | The Close 8/11/2025

8/11/2025 10:54:41 PM

Brenda O'Connor Juanas from UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 6500 by next June, citing steady earnings guidance and potential tailwinds from tax-related factors.

The market is currently treading water ahead of key inflation data, with mixed sentiments about valuations and potential economic headwinds.

The market is experiencing a mix of optimism and caution, with earnings revisions being minimal and guidance remaining steady, while potential tax breaks and rate cuts could act as tailwinds.

S&P500 → 6400

Hightower Advisors (80)
Asset Manager $131.00B
Stephanie Link (70)

(75) Stocks, Inflation and the Fed: Gaming out the Fed's next move

8/12/2025 4:56:13 PM

The market is pricing in a high probability of a rate cut in September, but the need for cuts to drive market growth is debated. Strong revenue growth supports buying opportunities despite uncertainty.

The economy shows resilience with strong revenue growth, which may mitigate the need for aggressive rate cuts.

The market is resilient with strong revenue growth, and while rate cuts are anticipated, the market does not fundamentally require them to move higher.

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implicit

Mizuho Securities USA (90)
Investment Bank $2100.00B
Jordan Klein (90)

(85) US Extends China Truce, Open to Scaled-Back Blackwell Sales | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 8/11/2025

NVDA

8/11/2025 8:39:22 PM

ndx

higher growth and upward revisions for NVIDIA and AMD

Jordan Klein discusses the implications of AMD and NVIDIA's revenue sharing agreement with the US government on their Chinese sales, viewing it as a positive development for future revenue growth despite government intervention.

Klein believes that receiving 85% of revenue from Chinese sales is better than losing it entirely, and this arrangement could lead to higher growth and upward revisions in forecasts for AMD and NVIDIA.

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New York Life Investments (80)
Asset Manager $760.00B
Lauren Goodwin (70)

(75) Goodwin: 0.3% inflation now could mean 3.5% by year-end

8/12/2025 11:38:27 AM

Lauren Goodwin discusses inflation data and its implications for the market, emphasizing caution due to potential stickiness in services inflation and the impact of tariffs.

Goodwin highlights the importance of services inflation and the potential risks from tariff changes, suggesting a cautious approach to equity risk.

The market is currently at all-time highs, but there are risks from inflation data and tariffs that could lead to a cautious approach in equity investments.

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implicit

National Economic Council (70)
Government Agency
Daniel Hornung (70)

(75) Tariff impact on CPI likely to grow in months ahead, says fmr. NEC Deputy Director Daniel Hornung

8/12/2025 8:41:37 PM

Core CPI shows slight uptick, indicating potential inflationary pressures; tariffs may impact low-income households and consumer spending.

Concerns about inflation and economic growth due to tariffs and consumer spending patterns.

The uptick in core CPI and the impact of tariffs on low-income households may lead to economic pressures, affecting consumer spending and overall growth.

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Nuveen (70)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
Saira Malik (70)

(75) Stocks Spike After In-Line Consumer Price Data | Open Interest 8/12/2025

US-China

8/12/2025 7:20:40 PM

ndx

Saira Malik said 'We are bullish on technology and continued spending on artificial intelligence. That’s supportive for a stock market which I agree is trading at a worrying premium.'

CPI data came in line with expectations, leading to market optimism, but concerns remain about inflation in services and potential impacts on consumer spending.

The CPI data suggests inflation is stabilizing, but the shift from goods to services inflation could pose challenges for the Fed's rate-cutting plans.

CPI data indicates inflation is stabilizing, but the shift to services inflation could complicate the Fed's decision-making on rate cuts.

Walmart → 115
Walmart → 130

J.P. Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Chris Horvers (90)

(75) The retail trade earnings setup. JPMorgan's Chris Horvers breaks it down

8/11/2025 6:00:29 PM

Chris Horvers discusses the impact of tariffs on retail prices, highlighting cautious optimism for earnings due to low price elasticity and strong consumer wage growth, while warning of potential inflationary pressures in the second half of the year.

Retailers are facing tariff-related price increases, but consumer demand remains resilient. Caution is advised for the second half of the year due to potential inflation.

Despite tariff headwinds, the retail sector is showing resilience due to low price elasticity and strong wage growth, but caution is warranted for potential inflation in the latter half of the year.

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S&P500 → 6600

Citi (95)
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Drew Pettit (90)

(80) Pettit: Fed cut and steady data could push the market higher

8/11/2025 1:25:34 PM

Drew Pettit from Citi discusses the potential for the market to push higher with a Fed cut and stable economic data, while expressing a cautious short-term outlook.

The market is currently near record highs, with a need for lower interest rates and stable economic data to drive further growth.

The market needs lower interest rates without economic deterioration to continue its upward trajectory, while sentiment remains high.

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Ironsides Macroeconomics (60)
Investment Research Firm
Barry Knapp (90)

(85) The rally is driven by expectations the Fed will cut, says Ironside's Barry Knapp

8/12/2025 5:30:59 PM

yields

...that the Fed will likely start cutting rates by 50 basis points next month, reopening credit channels and easing policy.

Barry Knapp discusses the likelihood of rate cuts following a CPI report, suggesting a potential 100 basis points cut by year-end, starting with 50 basis points next month, which could benefit small caps.

Expectations of rate cuts are driving market sentiment, particularly benefiting small businesses and small banks.

The Fed is likely to cut rates due to a slower job creation rate and the need to reopen the credit channel for small businesses, which will benefit small caps.

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Invesco (90)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
Brian Levitt (80)

(75) Markets are still in the middle of the cycle, says Invesco's Brian Levitt

8/11/2025 8:16:28 PM

Brian Levitt discusses the current market cycle, indicating a slowdown but not a recession, with potential for policy easing and continued strength in quality stocks.

The market is in a slowdown phase, but not overleveraged, suggesting resilience and potential for growth without a recession.

The economy is slowing but not overleveraged, which supports quality stocks and suggests that any dips will be shallow and quickly bought.

S&P500 → 6600

Citigroup (95)
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Scott Chronert (80)

(75) Citi's Scott Chronert: Q2 results showed strong beat, second half projections mostly intact

8/11/2025 3:48:51 PM

Scott Chronert discusses the mixed market performance, strong earnings season, and the impact of tariffs and tax cuts on company margins, while indicating potential volatility ahead.

Expectations for earnings growth remain strong, but volatility is anticipated due to extended sentiment and inflation data.

Earnings season is strong, tariff concerns are mostly priced in, and tax cuts may help offset some negative impacts, but volatility is expected.

Nvidia up

Nvidia → 30

Wells Fargo (90)
Investment Bank $1900.00B
Aaron Rakers (80)

(75) Nvidia's China sales would be better than nothing hence price target raise: Wells Fargo's Rakers

NVDA

8/11/2025 7:13:51 PM

Aaron Rakers discusses Nvidia's revenue potential from increased sales to China, emphasizing the importance of macro trade dynamics and upcoming earnings.

The discussion highlights the significant impact of trade relations with China on Nvidia's revenue and the semiconductor sector.

Increased sales to China could significantly boost Nvidia's revenue, despite the additional payout to the US government, indicating a positive outlook for the stock.

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Deepwater Asset Management (60)
Hedge Fund $0.75B
Gene Munster (90)

(85) Apple will be one of the top two performing 'Mag 7s' over the next year: Deepwater's Gene Munster

$AAPL

8/12/2025 11:11:31 AM

ndx

I do Joe. And ultimately it's going to come down to growth rate next year. Street's looking for 5% just on this upgrade pool. ... I think Apple is going to be one of the top two performing mag sevens over the next year.

Gene Munster is optimistic about Apple's growth potential, particularly with upcoming products and AI developments, despite challenges in the tech landscape.

Munster believes Apple will perform well in the tech sector, especially with new product launches and leveraging AI capabilities.

Apple's growth is expected to improve due to a rebound in iPhone sales and upcoming product launches, despite challenges in AI and geopolitical issues.

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lithium sharp up

PIMCO (95)
Asset Manager $2100.00B
Yacov Arnopolin (80)

(75) Stocks Erase Gains as Hope Dims for Ukraine Talks; Nvidia, AMD to Pay US | The Pulse 8/11/2025

Nvidia; AMD

8/11/2025 10:22:21 AM

wti

Discussed factors such as geopolitical risks impacting oil prices, but no explicit prediction on 'wti' direction.

Emerging markets are seeing increased interest due to U.S. tariffs and a potential shift in investment strategies, with expectations of better returns in the coming years.

The discussion highlights the impact of U.S. tariffs on emerging markets and the potential for increased investment as conditions stabilize.

The U.S. tariffs are creating a unique environment for emerging markets, leading to a potential increase in investment as companies adapt to new trade dynamics.

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Bessemer Trust (80)
Asset Manager $140.00B
Jeff Mills (80)

(75) Quality is where to diversify outside of tech, says Bessemer's Jeff Mills

8/11/2025 5:39:37 PM

ndx

stocks are helping to power both the S&P and the Nasdaq higher right now Investors have an insatiable demand for quality and growth companies, particularly those executing on AI strategies.

Tech stocks, particularly Nvidia, are driving market gains, but investors should focus on quality and growth rather than indiscriminate buying.

Investors are seeking quality companies with strong cash flow and growth potential, rather than buying tech stocks indiscriminately.

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Apple → 260
Apple → 270

Schwab Network (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Paul Powers (70)

(75) From Bearish to Bullish: AAPL Focus on A.I. Changes Powers' Perspective

AAPL

8/11/2025 2:30:31 PM

ndx

The good news about Apple right now in the short term and why their stock is up, is beyond that. They're also performing well.

Paul Powers discusses Apple's recent stock performance, its commitment to AI, and the potential impact of tariffs, expressing a bullish outlook on the company's future.

Apple's focus on AI and tariff reprieve positions it well for growth despite competition.

Apple's commitment to AI and avoiding tariffs enhances its growth potential, despite competition in the tech space.

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[{"market": "Intuit", "target": "buying opportunity"}, {"market": "Monday.com", "target": "buying opportunity"}]

Jefferies (70)
Investment Bank $57.00B
Brent Thill (80)

(75) Investors are worried AI is going to eat software, says Jefferies Brent Thill

$MNDY

8/11/2025 10:18:35 PM

Investors are overly fearful about AI disrupting the software sector, leading to significant stock declines, but there are buying opportunities in application software.

The application software sector is currently undervalued despite the potential of AI, with some companies poised for recovery.

The fear surrounding AI's impact on software is exaggerated, and while some companies are struggling, there are strong buying opportunities in the application software sector.

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lithium sharp up

lithium → 100000

Lombard Odier (70)
Private Equity
John Woods (90)

(85) Nvidia, AMD to Pay US 15% of China AI Chip Sales | The China Show 8/11/2025

8/11/2025 4:12:22 AM

metals

John Woods mentioned sharp increases in lithium due to supply constraints, leading to potential sharp ups in the metals market short term.

Market sentiment is cautious as traders await key US and Chinese data, with a focus on inflation and earnings, particularly in the lithium sector.

The ongoing anti-evolution campaign in China aims to curb excessive competition and stabilize prices, which may impact growth and consumption.

The market is reacting to potential supply cuts in lithium due to regulatory scrutiny, which could lead to price increases amid a backdrop of cautious economic growth.

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Niles Investment Management (50)
Asset Manager
Dan Niles (90)

(85) Tech investor Dan Niles says Nvidia having access to the Chinese market is 'crucial'

Nvidia; AMD

8/11/2025 8:53:07 PM

ndx

I continue to believe there's going to be a melt up between now and Thanksgiving.

Dan Niles expects a market melt-up until Thanksgiving, followed by a potential 10-20% correction due to pulled-forward demand and rising tariffs.

Concerns about policy stability and potential market corrections due to inflated demand and tariff increases.

The market is experiencing a melt-up driven by positive sentiment around new IPOs, meme stocks, and potential Fed rate cuts, but a correction is expected as demand may not sustain.

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Truist Wealth (50)
Wealth Manager
Keith Lerner (90)

(85) Market is bifurcated below the surface, says Truist's Keith Lerner

8/11/2025 8:45:14 PM

The market is in a digestion phase after a strong run, with a focus on tech, communication services, and utilities, while small caps remain less favored due to structural changes.

The market is bifurcated, with only half of stocks above key moving averages, indicating a need for selectivity in investment.

The market has had a strong run, but now requires selectivity and may correct, with a focus on sectors that are still showing growth potential.

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Bernstein Research (60)
Investment Research Firm
Stacy Rasgon (80)

(75) Bernstein’s Stacy Rasgon on selling U.S. chips to China

8/11/2025 7:00:25 PM

Stacy Rasgon discusses the implications of US semiconductor companies selling to China and the potential risks of government intervention in the market.

Rasgon expresses concern over the precedent set by requiring US companies to pay extra to sell to China, suggesting it could lead to broader implications for US-China trade relations.

Rasgon believes that while selling to China is necessary for US semiconductor companies, imposing a tax to do so sets a dangerous precedent that could complicate future trade relations and market dynamics.

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Renaissance Macro Research (50)
Hedge Fund
Neil Dutta (90)

(85) We're in a no hire, slow fire labor market, says Renaissance Macro's Neil Dutta

8/11/2025 3:32:30 PM

Neil Dutta expresses concerns about the sluggish state of the economy outside of the AI sector, highlighting weaknesses in housing, consumer spending, and capital expenditures.

Dutta indicates that the economy is showing signs of weakness, particularly in housing and consumer spending, which could lead to a potential rate cut.

The economy is sluggish with declining housing prices and weak consumer spending, indicating potential for a rate cut.

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RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Helima Croft (90)

(85) Europe has authority and discretion over when sanctions come off Russia, says RBC's Helima Croft

8/8/2025 7:13:17 PM

Oil prices are currently range bound and down due to uncertainty around US-Russia negotiations and European sanctions.

The dynamics of US-Russia talks and European sanctions are crucial in determining the future of oil prices.

The uncertainty surrounding US-Russia negotiations and the role of European sanctions are keeping oil prices down and range bound.

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Dial Capital Management (60)
Wealth Manager
Mike Lanier (80)

(85) MARKET BUZZ: Defaults, Debt, and the Next Financial Shock? Special Guest Mike Lanier

8/9/2025 6:49:56 PM

yields

Now is a very good time for if people are going to buy bonds because they can make a lot of money as yields plummet.

Mike Lanier discusses the current state of credit markets, the implications of global debt levels, and the potential for a credit crisis amidst low yields and high risks.

The discussion highlights concerns over global debt levels, the potential for a credit crisis, and the dynamics of the bond market, particularly in the context of U.S. demographics and economic resilience.

The global economy is facing demographic challenges that could lead to a slowdown, impacting interest rates and creating potential risks in the credit markets.

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Wells Fargo Investment Institute (90)
Investment Bank $1900.00B
Paul Christopher (80)

(75) The sectoral tariffs have yet to work through, says Wells Fargo's Paul Christopher

8/8/2025 6:40:26 PM

Paul Christopher discusses the current market pause amid economic uncertainties, emphasizing the impact of AI on capital expenditures and the potential for inflation to rise due to tariffs.

The market is experiencing a pause due to conflicting economic signals, with a focus on AI trends and potential inflation from tariffs.

The market is pausing due to a slowing economy and uncertainties around tariffs and inflation, but the AI trend is a positive driver for capital expenditures.

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gold → 3600

CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (90)

(85) Silver Default EXPLAINED: Why a Gold Price Reset Won't Happen

gold; silver

8/8/2025 5:04:49 PM

metals

Gold prices spiked sharply higher in the New York ComX this morning. CPM Group has been projecting for its clients that the price would touch 3,500 in August or September and would probably get up to 3,600 in September or October with higher prices later in the year and into 2026.

Jeffrey Christian discusses the current state of silver and gold markets, debunking myths about silver deficits and the likelihood of a COMEX silver default, while projecting higher gold prices in the near future.

The analysis highlights the absence of a silver deficit and the dynamics of the gold market, emphasizing the importance of accurate market information for investors.

The current economic and political environment, along with market dynamics, suggest that gold prices will rise, while misconceptions about silver deficits hinder effective investment strategies.

small caps cautious down

J.P. Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Abby Yoder (90)

(85) S&P Drops as Jobless Claims Climb to Three Year High | The Close 8/7/2025

8/7/2025 11:04:22 PM

Abby Yoder discusses the disconnect between the economy and the stock market, highlighting concerns about small-cap performance and the impact of interest rates on growth.

The economy is showing signs of slowing growth, particularly in small caps, while large-cap tech continues to thrive.

The labor market is showing signs of weakness, and small-cap companies are struggling due to high interest rates and a challenging economic environment.

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Centerview Partners (70)
Investment Bank
Blair Effron (90)

(85) Entry-Level Jobs at Risk, Tariffs & Textile Companies, Powering Data Centers | Wall Street Week

8/8/2025 11:18:25 PM

Blair Effron discusses the impact of AI on employment and the economy, expressing concerns about job losses while remaining optimistic about long-term benefits.

Effron highlights the dual nature of AI's impact, with potential job losses in the short term but overall progress in the long run.

AI is a significant technological advancement that will improve productivity in the long run, but it poses immediate risks to employment that need to be addressed.

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explicit

gold sharp up

HSBC (90)
Investment Bank $1686.00B
Janet Henry (70)

(75) Gold Roiled by Tariffs; Trump Names Miran to Fill Seat on Fed Board | Bloomberg Brief 8/8/2025

Gold

8/8/2025 11:47:09 AM

metals

Gold futures jumped due to a 39% tariff on Swiss gold bars, leading to a surge.

Gold futures surged due to new tariffs on imports, while markets remain resilient despite tariff uncertainties.

The ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs is impacting market sentiment, particularly in commodities like gold.

The imposition of tariffs on gold imports is expected to create significant price movements in the gold market, reflecting broader uncertainties in trade policies.

explicit

Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Cooper Howard (80)

(75) Markets "Grappling" with Growth Concerns, "Going to Get" September Rate Cut

8/8/2025 8:30:04 PM

Cooper Howard discusses the implications of recent job reports on yields and the Fed's potential rate cuts, emphasizing a cautious outlook on inflation and growth.

The job report suggests a slowing economy, leading to expectations of rate cuts by the Fed, with a focus on upcoming inflation data.

The recent job report indicates a slowing economy, which is expected to lead to lower yields and potential rate cuts by the Fed, while inflation remains a key concern.

inferred

implicit

inferred

implicit

Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Chris Waller (85)

(80) Trump Eyes Waller For Next Fed Chair | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade, 8/8/25

8/8/2025 3:16:39 AM

Concerns over U.S. trade policies and Fed leadership are impacting market sentiment, with potential implications for interest rates and economic growth.

The Fed's potential shift towards a more dovish stance under new leadership could influence market dynamics, especially in light of trade uncertainties.

The Fed's leadership changes and trade policy uncertainties are creating a cautious environment for markets, with implications for interest rates and economic growth.

explicit

implicit

Parametric (80)
Asset Manager $429.00B
Nisha Patel (80)

(75) Uncertainty Complicates Fed's Rate Path | Real Yield 8/8/2025

8/8/2025 5:45:07 PM

yields

It makes me cautious on longer-term Treasuries.

Stagflation fears are rising as economic uncertainty grows, with potential for elevated yields and a cautious outlook on longer-term treasuries.

The labor market shows signs of weakening, which could prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts, especially if inflation data worsens.

The economy is facing stagflation risks, and if the labor market weakens further, the Fed may have to cut rates, impacting yields and market dynamics.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

implicit

semiconductors sharp up

J.P. Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Nandini Ramakrishnan (85)

(90) Tariffs Take Effect; Fed Officials Voice Concern Over Labor Market | Bloomberg Brief 8/7/2025

8/7/2025 11:46:56 AM

President Trump's new tariffs are impacting global trade, particularly affecting India and Switzerland with high rates, while U.S. chipmakers benefit from exemptions.

The tariffs are expected to have significant implications for the U.S. economy and global trade flows, with a potential rise in inflation as a result.

The tariffs are expected to create competitive disadvantages for countries like India and Switzerland while benefiting U.S. companies that invest domestically, potentially leading to a reorganization of global supply chains.

explicit

high beta stocks cautious down

S&P500 → 5800

JP Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jason Hunter (90)

(80) Investors should react aggressively if market breaks $6,150, says JPMorgan's Jason Hunter

8/7/2025 8:07:17 PM

Stocks are in an uptrend but risks are emerging as we approach September, which is typically a weaker month for markets. Key support levels are being monitored.

The market is currently resilient but may face challenges as it enters a historically weaker period. Attention is on the performance of high beta stocks and potential rotation to quality.

The market is currently above key support levels, but as we approach September, historical trends suggest potential weakness. Monitoring internals and sector rotations will be crucial.

explicit

China exposure up

Hightower (80)
Asset Manager $131.00B
Stephanie Link (80)

(75) Link: China is turning thanks to aggressive fiscal and consumer stimulus

8/8/2025 12:15:34 PM

ndx

I do. I mean, I think that you don't want to abandon technology, right? Because that's where the growth is.

Stephanie Link believes in adding positions in the market, particularly in U.S. multinational companies with exposure to China, as she sees a strong setup for the fourth quarter despite short-term seasonal challenges.

Link highlights the positive impact of China's fiscal and monetary stimulus on multinational companies and suggests that the fourth quarter will be strong.

Link believes that the aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus in China will benefit U.S. multinational companies, creating opportunities for growth in the fourth quarter.

explicit

equities up

Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)

(85) Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson: We're In a New Bull Market

US equities

8/7/2025 2:16:29 PM

ndx

So I think that's normal. I expect it to we've said that third quarter. We think this is the best chance we could have for some correction or moderation, if you will. But I want to be very clear, it's still early in the new bull market.

The speaker believes we are in a new bull market following a three-year rolling recession, with expectations of volatility and corrections but overall positive growth.

The speaker suggests that the bear market ended in April, and we are now in a new bull market characterized by positive earnings revisions and supportive fiscal and monetary policies.

The speaker believes that the end of the recession in April marked the beginning of a new bull market, supported by positive earnings revisions and favorable fiscal and monetary policies.

explicit

semiconductors cautious down

Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)

(80) President Trump Urges Intel CEO to "Resign, Immediately" | Open Interest 8/7/2025

US markets

8/7/2025 6:36:58 PM

Markets are reacting cautiously to President Trump's proposed tariffs on semiconductors, with mixed earnings reports influencing sentiment.

The market is experiencing volatility due to tariff announcements and mixed corporate earnings, with a focus on the semiconductor sector.

The market is adjusting to the potential impact of tariffs on semiconductor imports and the mixed earnings reports from major companies, indicating a cautious outlook.

explicit

utilities cautious down

J.P. Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Stephen Paccar (90)

(80) We're setting ourselves up for a growth recovery in 2026, says JPMorgan's Stephen Parker

8/7/2025 1:17:53 PM

ndx

We still are big believers in the tech story. The AI story is only gaining momentum.

Stephen Paccar discusses a slowdown in the economy but anticipates a growth recovery next year, emphasizing the strength of tech and utilities sectors.

Paccar believes the economy will slow down but not enter a recession, with a recovery expected next year driven by AI and power demand.

Paccar believes that the current economic slowdown is temporary and that sectors like tech and utilities will benefit from AI-driven demand and deregulation, leading to a recovery.

explicit

implicit

inferred

implicit

Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)

(80) Squawk Pod: Disney’s Hugh Johnston & Minneapolis Fed’s Neel Kashkari - 08/06/25 | Audio Only

8/7/2025 4:17:58 PM

Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, potential interest rate cuts, and the uncertain impact of tariffs on inflation.

The economy is showing signs of slowing, with inflation pressures potentially influenced by tariffs, but the ultimate effects remain unclear.

The economy is slowing, and while tariffs may impact inflation, their effects are uncertain, necessitating a cautious approach to interest rates.

explicit

General Motors → 10

Oakmark Funds (60)
Asset Manager $100.00B
Bill Nygren (90)

(85) Hot stocks to watch: Oakmark Fund’s Bill Nygren on his top value plays

8/8/2025 12:28:19 PM

Bill Nygren discusses the current market risks associated with the S&P 500's concentration in technology stocks and advocates for value investing as a risk reducer.

Nygren highlights the high risk of the S&P 500 due to its concentration in a few tech stocks and suggests that investors should consider value funds to mitigate this risk.

The S&P 500 is now more volatile and risky due to its heavy concentration in a few technology stocks, making value funds a safer investment option.

explicit

inferred

Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (80)

(90) Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Interest Rates, Labor Market Data & the Federal Reserve

Interest Rates; Labor Market

8/7/2025 11:21:54 AM

Jim Bianco discusses potential Fed policy errors and the implications of labor market statistics on interest rates and economic growth.

Bianco argues that the Fed's push to cut rates may be unnecessary and could lead to inflation and higher long-term yields, especially given the current labor market dynamics and lack of population growth.

Bianco believes that the Fed's approach to interest rates is misguided, as it does not account for the current economic conditions, including stagnant population growth and the actual job creation needs of the economy.

explicit

Treasuries cautious down

Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Former Fed Official (70)

(75) Goldman's Kaplan on Labor Data, Yields and Fed Rates

8/7/2025 3:16:13 PM

The labor market is weaker than it appears, with hiring at stall speed and potential rate cuts by the Fed in September due to economic concerns.

The labor market shows signs of weakness despite low unemployment rates, and the Fed may consider rate cuts in response to sluggish growth and inflation pressures.

The labor market is not hiring, leading to a weaker economic outlook, which may prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts to stimulate growth.

explicit

infrastructure cautious down

Nuveen (70)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
Saira Malik (80)

(90) Nuveen's Saira Malik feels caution about market levels. Here are the risks she's monitoring

8/7/2025 7:56:44 PM

ndx

I think the Nasdaq is the place to be. The AI boom is alive and well within the choppiness we've seen with tech earnings.

Saira Malik discusses the current market conditions, emphasizing a cautious outlook for September due to low liquidity and mixed earnings, while highlighting opportunities in tech and infrastructure.

The market is facing challenges with low liquidity and mixed earnings, particularly in tech, but there are positive trends in AI and infrastructure investments.

The market is currently experiencing low liquidity and mixed earnings, particularly in tech, which is causing caution. However, the AI trend and infrastructure investments present opportunities for growth.

explicit

inferred

implicit

monetary policy cautious down

Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Chris Waller (70)

(75) Waller Emerges as Favorite for Federal Reserve Chair

8/7/2025 2:34:00 PM

Chris Waller is favored for the Fed chair position, potentially influencing monetary policy based on economic performance rather than political pressure.

Waller's approach to monetary policy may lead to rate cuts if economic indicators suggest a slowdown.

Waller's focus on economic performance suggests he may support rate cuts if the economy shows signs of slowing.

Greenwich Wealth Management (60)
Wealth Manager
Vahan Janjigian (80)

(75) S&P can no longer be considered a broad-based market index, says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan Janjigian

8/8/2025 6:47:26 PM

Vahan Janjigian suggests moving from large cap tech stocks to mid-caps for better value, citing market overvaluation and the impact of momentum investing.

The market shows signs of euphoria with high valuations, and while mid-caps may not be immune to tariffs, they are seen as a better investment compared to large caps.

The historical trend of small cap and value outperforming large cap growth suggests a rotation is due, especially given current market valuations and the influence of momentum investing.

explicit

inferred

implicit

inflation cautious down

Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (90)

(90) Fed stays on hold with Powell warning: “We’re trying to get the timing right”

8/6/2025 8:09:06 PM

The economy shows solid labor market conditions but moderated growth; the Fed maintains interest rates while monitoring inflation and employment data.

The Fed is cautious about adjusting interest rates, balancing inflation risks with labor market stability.

The Fed is balancing the need to control inflation with the stability of the labor market, indicating a cautious approach to future rate adjustments.

explicit

implicit

Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Gordon (80)

(75) 'Be careful what you wish for' when it comes to aggressive Fed cuts: Charles Schwab's Kevin Gordon

8/7/2025 8:35:19 PM

Kevin Gordon discusses the potential for Fed rate cuts due to softening labor market conditions, while emphasizing the importance of stock selection in a challenging market environment.

The Fed may cut rates if labor market softening continues, but stock selection is crucial in a market with mixed sector performance and AI impacts.

inferred

Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Nathan Peterson (70)

(75) Trump "Exercising Muscles" to Bring Investments Back to U.S.

INTC

8/7/2025 8:30:06 PM

Nathan Peterson discusses the impact of President Trump's trade policies on U.S. investment and the conflicting bullish and bearish market sentiments.

The bullish thesis is supported by onshoring investments and infrastructure growth, while inflationary pressures from tariffs pose risks.

The bullish case is driven by onshoring investments and infrastructure growth, while potential inflation from tariffs creates uncertainty.

explicit

implicit

infrastructure up

Horizon Investments (60)
Wealth Manager
Scott Ladner (80)

(75) Ladner: Two cuts is probably about the right number

8/8/2025 12:04:53 PM

Scott Ladner believes the markets will remain stable with potential for rate cuts, driven by a softening labor market and strong earnings growth.

The labor market is softening, inflation is contained, and earnings growth is strong, suggesting a stable economic outlook.

The labor market is softening, inflation is contained, and strong earnings growth suggests a stable economic outlook, leading to potential rate cuts.

explicit

financials cautious down

RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Lori Calvasina (90)

(80) Expect choppy market conditions in back half of the year, says RBC's Lori Calvasina

US markets

8/6/2025 9:10:24 PM

Market may face seasonal weakness in the fall despite strong earnings; focus on consumer health and financials.

The market has recovered significantly since April, but uncertainty around tariffs and consumer behavior may lead to a rocky fall.

The market has rallied significantly, but seasonal trends and consumer stress signals suggest potential weakness ahead.

explicit

implicit

US economy cautious down

Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Jim O'Neill (90)

(80) Former UK Treasury Minister Jim O'Neill: India tariffs have 'all sorts of big picture' implications

8/6/2025 4:05:41 PM

Jim O'Neill discusses the impact of tariffs on the US economy and the uncertainty surrounding it, suggesting that the current market optimism may not be sustainable.

O'Neill highlights the potential negative effects of tariffs on real incomes and inflation, while noting the current strong bond and equity markets may not last.

O'Neill argues that the imposition of tariffs will likely lead to increased import prices, affecting consumer prices and real incomes, which could slow the economy.

explicit

JP Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Kim Crawford (90)

(85) OpenAI Eyes $500 Billion Valuation in Share Sale Talks | The Pulse 8/06/2025

8/6/2025 10:15:17 AM

The labor market is slowing, leading to potential Fed rate cuts, while tariff uncertainties remain a concern for market stability.

The labor market data indicates a slowdown, which could influence the Fed's decision on rate cuts. Tariff threats from Trump add to market volatility.

The labor market is showing signs of slowing, which could lead to a Fed rate cut. Tariff uncertainties are complicating the economic outlook.

explicit

Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Neil Qashqari (70)

(80) Fed's Kashkari sees first rate cut in September, two rate cuts this year

8/6/2025 6:53:28 PM

yields

it's now time to cut rates The economy has slowed, and the Fed needs to respond to economic data.

Minneapolis President Neil Qashqari advocates for rate cuts due to economic slowdown.

Qashqari emphasizes the need for the Fed to respond to economic data and suggests that inflation impacts from tariffs may take time to materialize.

The economy has slowed, and the Fed needs to cut rates in response to economic data.

explicit

S&P500 cautious down

S&P500 → 6050
S&P500 → 6600

Barclays (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Vishnu Krishna (90)

(80) There's clear sector bifurcation in earnings, says Barclays' Venu Krishna

8/6/2025 6:12:58 PM

ndx

big Tech has blown through the numbers... It's outside of tech especially Bitcoin.

Earnings season shows strong results, particularly in big tech, but caution is advised for the short term due to potential market choppiness.

The earnings growth is better than average, with big tech outperforming, but there are concerns about margin pressures in other sectors.

The current earnings season shows strong results, especially in big tech, but there are concerns about margin pressures in other sectors. The outlook for next year is optimistic with expected earnings growth despite current policy uncertainties.

explicit

interest rates cautious down

Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)

(85) Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: Two cuts this year 'still seem reasonable to me'

8/6/2025 1:32:08 PM

Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the potential for rate cuts by the Fed.

Kashkari emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their effects on inflation, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust rates based on incoming data.

Kashkari believes the economy is slowing and that the Fed may need to respond with rate cuts, but the uncertainty around tariffs complicates the decision-making process.

explicit

tariffs cautious down

Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)

(85) Watch CNBC's full interview with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari

8/6/2025 1:30:01 PM

Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the potential for rate cuts by the Fed.

Kashkari emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their effects on inflation, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust rates based on incoming data.

Kashkari believes the economy is slowing and that the Fed may need to respond to this with rate cuts, while also considering the uncertain impact of tariffs on inflation.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

explicit

semiconductors up

Standard Chartered (80)
Investment Bank $864.00B
Eric (70)

(75) Trump Threatens 100% Chips Tariff, Hikes India Levy To 50% | Horizons Middle East & Africa 8/7/2025

US Chips; Indian Imports; Russian Oil

8/7/2025 8:47:09 AM

The U.S. economy is expected to soften due to tariff impacts and labor market concerns, leading to potential rate cuts by the Fed, while geopolitical tensions and inflation remain significant factors.

The discussion highlights the interplay between tariffs, labor market conditions, and inflation, suggesting a challenging economic environment that may prompt the Fed to adjust its monetary policy.

The expectation of a softening U.S. economy due to tariffs and labor market issues, combined with persistent inflation, complicates the Fed's ability to ease monetary policy.

options market (cautious down)

Invesco (90)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
John Borrello (80)

(75) Offsetting market activity is suppressing volatility, says Invesco's John Burrello

8/6/2025 7:20:15 PM

The options market is currently undervalued despite high volatility risks, presenting opportunities for risk management strategies.

The current low volatility in the options market, despite significant market risks, suggests a unique opportunity for investors to utilize options for risk management.

The options market is currently reflecting low volatility due to suppressed correlations among stocks, which presents a unique opportunity for risk management through options strategies.

explicit

inferred

implicit

equities up

Nuveen (70)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
Tony Rodriguez (80)

(90) S&P, Nasdaq Climb as Apple Plans Provide Boost | The Close 8/6/2025

S&P; Nasdaq

8/6/2025 10:58:19 PM

ndx

The biggest lift in markets coming from Big Tech.

The equity markets are showing resilience despite recession risks, while bond yields remain low and unattractive for investors.

The discussion highlights a divergence between equity market optimism and bond market caution, with a focus on the potential for economic slowdown and inflation concerns.

The current economic environment suggests that while there are risks of recession, the equity markets are buoyed by strong liquidity and growth themes, particularly in technology sectors like AI.

explicit

Google up

BNY Investments (60)
Wealth Manager
John Porter (80)

(80) Tariffs aren't going to cause a meaningful uptick in inflation, says BNY's John Porter

8/7/2025 5:57:30 PM

ndx

I buy Google... I just think it's two different business models. I think the commercial element of Google's paid search business is going to continue to be one of the most robust businesses on the planet for a long period of time. So I'm not fearful that there's going to be a meaningful slowdown in the paid search growth.

John Porter believes tariffs won't significantly impact inflation, and a rate-cutting environment is imminent, suggesting Google as a strong investment.

Porter emphasizes that tariffs have not led to meaningful inflation and anticipates a rate-cutting cycle to protect the job market.

Porter believes that the impact of tariffs on inflation is minimal and that the Fed's upcoming rate cuts are necessary to support the job market, making Google a strong investment due to its resilience and potential in AI.

explicit

Perella Weinberg (70)
Investment Bank $50.00B
Walter Isaacson (70)

(75) Walter Isaacon: I applaud a push to move manufacturing back to America

8/7/2025 12:30:04 PM

Walter Isaacson discusses the importance of bringing manufacturing back to America, emphasizing the benefits of local production for innovation and quality control.

Isaacson reflects on the shift from free trade to a more localized manufacturing approach, highlighting the need for a competitive advantage in the U.S. market.

Bringing manufacturing back to America can enhance innovation and quality control, addressing the hollowing out of the middle class caused by offshoring.

explicit

inferred

implicit

pharmaceuticals cautious down

Societe Generale (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Sharon (70)

(75) OpenAI in Share Sale Talks; Trump to Announce Chip, Pharma Tariffs Soon | Bloomberg Brief 8/6/2025

US equity futures; Pharma; Chips

8/6/2025 11:20:44 AM

The U.S. economy is currently at stall speed, with growth expected to remain weak in the second half of the year due to consumer income pressures and tariff impacts.

The earnings season has been strong, particularly among large-cap tech companies, but smaller caps are underperforming due to margin pressures and tariff uncertainties.

The U.S. economy is growing below potential, with weak consumer real incomes and increasing cost pressures from tariffs, leading to a cautious outlook for growth.

S&P500 → 6600
S&P500 → 7000
Ethereum → 16000

Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)

(85) Ethereum is having its bitcoin 2017 moment again, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

8/6/2025 6:18:50 PM

Tom Lee believes Bitcoin is a leading indicator for the S&P 500, predicting a significant upside move for the index, potentially reaching 6600 soon and 7000 by year-end, driven by economic resilience and a dovish Fed pivot.

Lee emphasizes the strengthening economy and bearish sentiment as key factors for market movement, alongside the potential for Ethereum to replicate Bitcoin's past performance.

Bitcoin's historical performance as a leading indicator for the S&P 500 suggests a significant upside move is imminent, supported by economic resilience and a potential dovish pivot from the Fed.

[{"market": "DoorDash", "target": null}, {"market": "Uber", "target": null}, {"market": "Shopify", "target": null}]

Evercore ISI (50)
Investment Bank
Mark Mahaney (90)

(80) Evercore ISI's Mark Mahaney gives his read on earnings from the gig sector

8/7/2025 5:57:54 PM

Mark Mahaney discusses resilient demand trends in the gig economy, highlighting strong performance in delivery services like DoorDash and Uber, while expressing caution on Lyft and Airbnb due to competitive challenges and investment cycles.

The gig economy shows resilience, particularly in delivery services, but challenges remain for second-tier players like Lyft and Airbnb.

Resilient demand trends in delivery services indicate growth potential, but Lyft faces challenges as a distant second player, and Airbnb is in an investment cycle that may pressure margins.

explicit

S&P500 → 4500

JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jack Caffrey (90)

(85) Bloomberg Surveillance 8/5/2025

8/5/2025 3:19:07 PM

ndx

Jack said, 'the market continues to be dominated by the magnificent 7' and he referred to the big tech earnings growth which is driving the market higher, highlighting strong earnings expectations and optimism for AI growth.

Markets are buoyed by strong tech earnings and expectations of rate cuts, despite concerns over tariffs and economic uncertainty.

The labor market shows signs of weakness, but tech companies are thriving, particularly due to AI advancements.

The market is reacting positively to strong earnings from tech companies, particularly in AI, while concerns about tariffs and economic data revisions create a cautious backdrop.

explicit

S&P500 → 6600
S&P500 → 6900

Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
David Kostin (90)

(85) Goldman Sachs' David Kostin: Large percentage topline index return is coming from big tech

8/5/2025 3:04:18 PM

ndx

The expectation for the S&P (which includes the Nasdaq 100) is around 5% up by the end of the year and almost 10% over 12 months, reflecting earnings growth of around 7% this year and next year.

David Kostin discusses the strong earnings growth of major tech companies and its positive impact on the market, while highlighting concerns about tariffs and inflation.

The earnings season has shown positive surprises, particularly from major tech companies, which are expected to drive market growth despite economic challenges.

The strong earnings growth from major tech companies is expected to support market performance, despite underlying economic challenges such as inflation and tariffs.

explicit

Defiance ETFs (60)
Asset Manager $1.50B
Sylvia Jablonski (80)

(75) Corporations are growing into their multiples, says Defiance ETFs CEO Sylvia Jablonski

8/7/2025 11:10:06 AM

Sylvia Jablonski discusses the resilience of the market, the potential for a pullback, and the significant investments in AI and quantum computing by major tech companies.

The earnings season shows strong corporate performance, supporting current valuations, with a focus on AI and quantum computing as future growth drivers.

The market is resilient, but a normal pullback is possible; strong corporate earnings and investments in AI and quantum computing indicate future growth.

explicit

Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Sherry Paul (90)

(85) Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Next leg of bull market will come from broadening out beyond AI story

8/5/2025 7:59:28 PM

ndx

I think that the next leg of this bull market's going to come from a broadening out beyond just the AI story.

yields

Well, interest rates are going lower. That's all we need to know. So if you're overweight in cash, you're getting a pay cut.

The bull market remains intact, with opportunities in AI, deglobalization, and industrials, while interest rates are expected to decline.

The interaction of AI, deglobalization, and deregulation is creating new investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like materials and industrials.

The market is forward-looking, and while the economy may lag, the bull market driven by AI and deglobalization themes is set to continue, with interest rates expected to decline.

explicit

semiconductors cautious down

Bernstein (80)
Asset Manager $757.00B
Stacy Rasgon (70)

(75) Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon on semiconductor tariffs, impact on sector and AMD Q2 results

8/6/2025 1:17:46 PM

Stacy Rasgon discusses the potential impact of upcoming tariffs on semiconductors and the current state of AMD's performance amidst these changes.

The discussion revolves around the implications of tariffs on the semiconductor industry and AMD's recent performance, highlighting the complexities of trade policy.

The upcoming tariffs on semiconductors may disrupt the market, but there is still demand for locally manufactured semiconductors, and companies are investing in US production.

equity market up

Federated Hermes (80)
Asset Manager $704.00B
Steve (70)

(75) Chiavarone: Reacceleration is the word of the day

8/6/2025 12:26:19 PM

Earnings season has exceeded expectations, indicating a potential economic re-acceleration after a soft patch.

The economy is showing signs of recovery with rising earnings estimates and improving job numbers, suggesting a move away from previous slowdowns.

The recent earnings reports and job numbers indicate a recovery from a previous slowdown, suggesting a positive outlook for the economy.

explicit

implicit

U.S. Treasury (59)
Government Agency
Janet Yellen (85)

(90) Janet Yellen: The most recent data strengthens the case for some rate cut going forward

8/6/2025 4:18:34 PM

Janet Yellen discusses potential rate cuts based on recent economic data and labor market conditions.

Yellen indicates that recent data may support rate cuts, contingent on inflation control and labor market trends.

Yellen believes rate cuts may be necessary due to slowing growth and a stalling labor market, while also addressing concerns about tying monetary policy to Treasury debt management.

implicit

high-quality stocks up

Travelers (80)
Insurance Company
Adam Parker (80)

(90) Trivariate's Adam Parker: Consensus view is we will get a market pullback on tariff-related fears

8/5/2025 7:46:36 PM

Adam Parker believes that dips in the market should be bought, as he sees potential for earnings growth and a resilient consumer despite concerns about a growth scare.

Parker suggests that the market may be taking a breather but is generally optimistic about earnings growth and consumer resilience, indicating a preference for high-quality stocks.

Parker believes that the market is positioned for earnings growth and that institutional investors will buy high-quality stocks on dips, despite potential concerns about a growth scare.

explicit

implicit

crypto cautious down

Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)

(90) Jim Bianco on Why Zero Rates and Money Printing Are Gone for Good

8/5/2025 4:56:20 PM

Jim Bianco discusses the current economic cycle, the implications of low job growth, and the potential for inflation and interest rate changes.

Bianco emphasizes that the economy is in a different cycle characterized by low job growth, changing demographics, and persistent inflation, which will affect monetary policy.

Bianco argues that the reliance on surveys for economic data is flawed and that the current low job growth is not indicative of a recession but rather a demographic issue. He believes that inflation will persist and that the Fed's response to low job growth could exacerbate inflationary pressures.

explicit

gold sharp up

gold → 3500
silver → 40

CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (90)

(90) A Secret Plan To Reset The Gold Price? What Investors Need To Know

Gold; Silver; Platinum; Palladium

8/5/2025 4:24:42 PM

metals

we continue to expect higher gold prices over the course of this year into next year because we don't see those political and economic factors changing Strong investment demand driven by economic and political uncertainty is keeping gold and silver prices elevated, and open interest data shows market participants expect high and volatile prices to continue through the medium term.

Jeffrey Christian discusses the current state of gold and silver markets, emphasizing strong investment demand and expectations for higher prices due to ongoing economic and political uncertainties.

The macro environment is characterized by high investment demand for gold and silver, driven by concerns over personal wealth and economic stability, leading to expectations of rising prices.

The ongoing economic and political uncertainties are driving strong investment demand for gold and silver, which is expected to keep prices elevated.

implicit

Palantir → 165

Mizuho (90)
Investment Bank $2100.00B
Gregg Moskowitz (80)

(85) Mizuho's Gregg Moskowitz on Palantir earnings: Pretty remarkable growth given revenue totals

8/5/2025 11:43:14 AM

Palantir's revenue growth is accelerating, with a 48% year-over-year increase, and the company is revising its guidance significantly upwards, but its high valuation poses a challenge.

Palantir is experiencing strong revenue growth and demand for its AI software, but its high valuation multiples compared to peers raise questions about future price sustainability.

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implicit

explicit

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implicit

natural gas down

BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Stephen LaPaly (90)

(90) S&P 500 Rallies Since May as Traders Sift Through Results | The Close 8/4/2025

8/4/2025 11:33:26 PM

wti

Crude oil down to $66 a barrel as investors digest OPEC’s latest plans to put production in September, and energy stocks were the weak link on the day.

The market is recovering from last week's selloff, with cautious optimism about rate cuts and a focus on managing risks in equities and fixed income.

Investors are advised to maintain a resilient bond portfolio while being cautious in equities due to potential economic slowdowns and policy changes.

The market's recovery is influenced by expectations of rate cuts and the need for risk management in a volatile environment.

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healthcare cautious down

M Capital Management (60)
Wealth Manager
Chris Grisanti (80)

(80) Markets will move higher in near to intermediate term, says MAI Capital's Chris Grisanti

8/6/2025 7:20:39 PM

ndx

there are factors at work right now that mean I think this market goes higher in the near to intermediate term.

Chris Grisanti discusses the current market dynamics favoring growth stocks over value stocks, emphasizing the importance of capital expenditures from major tech companies and the potential in healthcare investments.

Grisanti highlights the significant capital expenditures by major tech firms as a driving force for market growth, while also pointing out the undervaluation in the healthcare sector.

The significant capital expenditures by major tech companies are expected to provide a strong tailwind for the market, while undervalued sectors like healthcare present opportunities for value investors.

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inferred

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credit cautious down

Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Andrew Sheets (90)

(80) Stocks Extend Rebound on Earnings; Trump Vows to Ramp Up India Tariffs | Bloomberg Brief 8/5/2025

US equities; commodities

8/5/2025 11:12:54 AM

Andrew Sheets discusses the potential for economic challenges ahead, with inflation expected to rise and growth to decelerate, impacting Fed rate cut expectations.

The upcoming months may present a more challenging economic landscape, with inflation ticking up and growth slowing, which could affect Fed decisions on rate cuts.

The mix of economic data is expected to shift, with inflation rising and growth slowing, which complicates the Fed's decision-making process regarding rate cuts.

energy cautious down

United States Government (59)
Government Agency
Donald Trump (85)

(75) Pres. Trump: I plan to put a 100% tariff on computer chips

Computer Chips

8/6/2025 10:01:06 PM

President Trump discusses the positive impact of a $17 trillion investment in manufacturing and energy on American jobs and security.

The investment is expected to revitalize the manufacturing sector and create jobs, particularly in energy and technology.

The investment in manufacturing and energy will create jobs and wealth, leading to greater security for Americans.

Bloomberg (50)
Financial Media
Mark Gurman (90)

(85) Apple to Invest $100B, Open AI's Potential $500B Valuation | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 8/6/2025

8/6/2025 9:08:04 PM

Apple's stock is rising due to expectations of a significant investment announcement, but the reality may be more marketing than substantial change in manufacturing strategy.

The earnings season shows strong performance from companies, particularly in tech, but concerns about tariffs and manufacturing strategies persist.

Apple's announcement of a $100 billion investment is seen as a marketing strategy to appease political pressures rather than a significant shift in manufacturing.

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Swiss equities cautious down

J Safra Sarasin (80)
Asset Manager
Wolf von Rotberg (80)

(90) Trump Plans to Increase India Tariffs, Escalating Trade Spat Over Russia | The Pulse 8/05/2025

US-India trade; Oil

8/5/2025 10:00:26 AM

Concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on economic growth are influencing market sentiment, particularly in Europe, while the U.S. equity market remains resilient due to strong tech performance.

The ongoing geopolitical tensions and tariff implementations are expected to create inflationary pressures and affect economic growth, particularly in the U.S. and Europe.

The market is currently priced for perfection, but there are signs of economic weakening, particularly in consumer data and labor market trends, which could lead to a consolidation phase in equities.

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inferred

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pharmaceuticals cautious down

DBS Bank (70)
Commercial Bank
Radhika Rao (70)

(80) Trump Ramps Up Tariff Blitz | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade, 8/6/25

8/6/2025 3:58:46 AM

The U.S. economic data is weakening, raising concerns about the Fed's policy direction, while trade tensions with India and China are complicating market dynamics.

The potential for higher tariffs on pharmaceuticals and chips is creating uncertainty in the markets, particularly affecting Asian economies reliant on exports.

The weakening economic indicators in the U.S. suggest a potential shift in Fed policy, while ongoing trade tensions with India and China could lead to further economic strain.

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retail investors sharp up

Biano Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Biano (70)

(85) Jim Bianco: Who's the big power player in the US market? It's millions of retail traders

8/5/2025 12:48:43 PM

yields

‘by the third end of the third into the fourth quarter a lot of the inflation statistics will go over 3%.’; ‘We’re going to see long-term interest rates move up and that could really bother the stock market.’; ‘If you want to borrow to keep a 24 25% of GDP at the budget and 7% deficits to GDP interest rates are going to skyrocket.’; ‘4 and a half percent is normal; zero interest rates 2010-2019 was an aberration.’

Jim Biano discusses the potential for rising inflation and its implications for the Fed's interest rate decisions, emphasizing the role of retail investors in the current market dynamics.

Biano highlights the expected rise in inflation due to tariff impacts and the challenges the Fed will face in managing interest rates amidst a changing economic landscape.

Biano argues that rising inflation will complicate the Fed's decision-making, especially with political pressures, and that retail investors are currently driving market dynamics.

RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Amy Wu Silverman (80)

(75) Caution seeping into markets as seasonality and macro trends emerge, says RBC's Amy Wu Silverman

8/5/2025 11:42:32 AM

Amy Wu Silverman discusses the current market dynamics, highlighting seasonal volatility, contained frothiness, and significant rotations between market factors.

The market is experiencing seasonal volatility with cautious sentiment, but the frothiness is contained and not widespread.

The market is currently experiencing seasonal volatility, with cautious sentiment due to historical patterns, but the frothiness is contained and not leading to widespread exuberance.

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JPMorgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
David Kelly (90)

(85) We have a healthy 'tortoise' of an economy, says JPMorgan's David Kelly

8/4/2025 8:59:32 PM

yields

"the probability the fed cutting in September has gone up"; "there are now five rate cuts priced in between now and the end of the year, end of next year"; "markets are thinking, okay, the Fed's going to get down to 3% raise"; "long term rate can come down a little bit"

David Kelly discusses the importance of earnings in the context of economic data, suggesting a healthy economy with potential for interest rate cuts.

The economy is moving forward despite some weaknesses, with a possibility of interest rate cuts.

The economy is showing signs of stability with potential for interest rate cuts, which could lead to lower long-term rates.

Bank of America (95)
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Chris Hyzy (90)

(85) Buy on weakness as earnings continue to shock to upside, says Bank of America's Chris Hyzy

8/4/2025 8:18:05 PM

The market is in a powerful uptrend, but volatility is expected as we move through August. Profit estimates are rising, and buying on weakness is recommended.

The market is threading a fine line between weak job data allowing for rate cuts and maintaining growth without cutting GDP or earnings estimates.

The market is experiencing a strong rally with rising profit estimates, and while volatility is expected, the strategy is to buy on weakness as companies continue to report better-than-expected earnings.

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Allianz (95)
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian (90)

(85) Mohamed El-Erian: Should not undermine BLS' integrity by firing its chief

8/4/2025 7:07:02 PM

Mohamed El-Erian discusses the implications of the BLS chief's firing and the integrity of economic data, highlighting concerns about institutional integrity and macroeconomic signals.

El-Erian emphasizes the importance of institutional integrity in economic data collection and the potential consequences of political interference.

The firing of the BLS chief undermines institutional integrity and signals potential issues with economic data, which could lead to misinterpretations of the economic situation.

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ClearBridge Investments (80)
Asset Manager $2000.00B
Margaret Vitrano (80)

(75) ClearBridge Investments' Margaret Vitrano: Expect a volatile 2nd half, but a pretty good 2026 setup

8/5/2025 7:43:45 PM

Margaret Vitrano discusses the impact of tariffs and the potential for industrial growth driven by AI and early cycle investments, while acknowledging current economic softness.

Vitrano believes that the current economic slowdown is temporary and anticipates a recovery in the industrial sector by 2026, driven by AI and government stimulus.

The impact of tariffs is expected to be significant, but the industrial sector is poised for growth due to AI advancements and government stimulus, leading to a potential recovery in 2026.

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DoubleLine Capital (90)
Asset Manager $130.00B
Jeffrey Gundlach (90)

(85) DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach: Economic data is becoming much less reliable

8/4/2025 8:41:20 PM

Jeffrey Gundlach discusses the implications of recent economic data and the Fed's potential interest rate cuts, expressing skepticism about the reliability of job reports and inflation data.

Gundlach highlights concerns over the reliability of economic data and suggests that the Fed may need to cut rates due to recent job report revisions.

The Fed is likely to cut rates due to unreliable economic data and significant revisions in job reports, with a potential for two rate cuts this year.

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JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Joyce Chang (90)

(85) The worst of the tariffs is still yet to come, says JPMorgan's Joyce Chang

8/4/2025 3:25:28 PM

Joyce Chang discusses the impact of tariffs on the economy, indicating that the worst effects are yet to be felt due to front loading and rising tariff levels.

The anticipated economic impact of tariffs is significant, with expectations of further increases in tariff levels.

The worst effects of tariffs are still to come due to significant front loading and higher than expected tariff levels.

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Jefferies (70)
Investment Bank $57.00B
David Zervos (90)

(85) Fed is ‘inherently inside the swamp and is political,’ says Jefferies’ David Zervos

8/5/2025 3:56:01 PM

David Zervos discusses the political influences on the Fed and suggests that current economic data indicates a need for significant rate cuts.

Zervos believes that the Fed's independence is compromised by political pressures and that recent economic data points to a more restrictive policy than previously thought.

The current economic data suggests that policy is more restrictive than previously thought, leading to a strong case for significant rate cuts.

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EY-Parthenon (79)
Management Consulting
Mitch Berlin (70)

(75) Berlin: We are seeing a very strong July for M&A activity

8/5/2025 3:58:39 PM

wti

Oil and gas had a really strong year last year. It continues to have a strong year this year.

M&A activity is expected to strengthen in the second half of 2025, driven by a favorable regulatory environment, closing bid-ask gaps, and a need for lower interest rates.

The economic backdrop is anticipated to support M&A with stable or declining inflation and a focus on technology and energy sectors.

The M&A landscape is improving due to a favorable regulatory environment, closing bid-ask gaps, and the need for lower interest rates, particularly in technology and energy sectors.

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implicit

Palantir sharp up

S&P500 → 6400

Laffer Tengler Investments (60)
Asset Manager $2.50B
Nancy Tengler (85)

(90) AI Fuels Palantir’s Unstoppable Rally | Open Interest 8/5/2025

8/5/2025 6:57:02 PM

The market is experiencing a cautious recovery with strong performances in tech, particularly AI-related stocks like Palantir, while concerns about valuations persist.

The earnings season is showing mixed results, with tech stocks leading the way, but concerns about valuations and potential regulatory impacts loom.

The tech sector, particularly AI-driven companies, is expected to continue its growth trajectory despite high valuations, while traditional sectors may struggle amidst regulatory pressures.

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Bitcoin sharp up

JP Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Travis Spence (90)

(80) Ether Suddenly On A Tear | ETF IQ 8/4/2025

Ether; ETFs

8/4/2025 5:29:48 PM

Active management is gaining traction as investors buy the dip, with significant inflows into ETFs, particularly in fixed income and active strategies.

The market is seeing a strong dip-buying behavior, especially among retail investors, while professional managers are focusing on active management to outperform indices.

Investors are increasingly looking for active management strategies to navigate market volatility and capitalize on opportunities, particularly in the ETF space.