explicit

inferred
JPMorgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
David Kelly (90)
(85) Tax Refunds Will Trigger Inflation Next Year, Kelly Says
8/12/2025 1:29:28 PM
David Kelly discusses persistent inflation driven by fiscal stimulus and tariffs, predicting Fed rate cuts despite rising inflation.
Inflation is expected to remain above 3% due to fiscal stimulus and tariff impacts, with potential Fed rate cuts not aligning with inflation trends.
Inflation is being sustained by fiscal stimulus and tariff increases, leading to a potential surge in consumer spending and second-round inflation effects.

explicit

implicit

explicit

explicit

explicit
UBS (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Paul Donovan (90)
(85) US-China Trade Truce Extended; China Urges Firms to Avoid Nvidia Chips | Bloomberg Brief 8/12/2025
US; China
8/12/2025 11:26:32 AM
Market sentiment is cautious ahead of CPI data, with concerns about sticky inflation and its impact on consumer behavior and corporate pricing strategies.
The discussion highlights the complexities of inflation dynamics, particularly in relation to tariffs and consumer spending, suggesting a cautious outlook for the economy.
The market is facing potential inflationary pressures from tariffs and consumer behavior, leading to a cautious outlook on growth and pricing strategies.

explicit

implicit
Norges Bank Investment Management (90)
Asset Manager $1500.00B
Nicolai Tangen (90)
(85) Norway’s Wealth Fund Has Best Quarter Since 2023
8/12/2025 10:49:40 AM
Nicolai Tangen expresses cautious optimism about market returns, highlighting concerns over inflation and geopolitical risks, while emphasizing the importance of diversification and long-term investment strategies.
Tangen notes the strong earnings growth in the US tech sector but remains cautious due to geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures.
Tangen emphasizes the need for caution due to sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and the importance of a diversified long-term investment strategy in the current market environment.

explicit

implicit

explicit
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
James Bullard (70)
(80) Former St. Louis Fed Pres. Jim Bullard: The Fed could cut 100 basis points in the next year
8/12/2025 1:25:35 PM
James Bullard discusses potential interest rate cuts and the importance of maintaining dollar stability while addressing inflation risks.
Bullard emphasizes the need for low and stable inflation and suggests that the Fed may cut rates in the near future.
Bullard believes that the Fed's focus should be on maintaining low inflation and dollar stability, which may lead to interest rate cuts in the near future.

inferred

inferred

inferred
  • S&P500 → 6500
UBS Global Wealth Management (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Brenda O'Connor Juanas (90)
(85) Stock Rally Stalls Ahead of CPI Inflation Report | The Close 8/11/2025
8/11/2025 10:54:41 PM
Brenda O'Connor Juanas from UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 6500 by next June, citing steady earnings guidance and potential tailwinds from tax-related factors.
The market is currently treading water ahead of key inflation data, with mixed sentiments about valuations and potential economic headwinds.
The market is experiencing a mix of optimism and caution, with earnings revisions being minimal and guidance remaining steady, while potential tax breaks and rate cuts could act as tailwinds.

explicit

implicit
ndx
higher growth and upward revisions for NVIDIA and AMD
Mizuho Securities USA (90)
Investment Bank $2100.00B
Jordan Klein (90)
(85) US Extends China Truce, Open to Scaled-Back Blackwell Sales | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 8/11/2025
NVDA
8/11/2025 8:39:22 PM
Jordan Klein discusses the implications of AMD and NVIDIA's revenue sharing agreement with the US government on their Chinese sales, viewing it as a positive development for future revenue growth despite government intervention.
Klein believes that receiving 85% of revenue from Chinese sales is better than losing it entirely, and this arrangement could lead to higher growth and upward revisions in forecasts for AMD and NVIDIA.

explicit

implicit
  • S&P500 → 6600
Citi (95)
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Drew Pettit (90)
(80) Pettit: Fed cut and steady data could push the market higher
8/11/2025 1:25:34 PM
Drew Pettit from Citi discusses the potential for the market to push higher with a Fed cut and stable economic data, while expressing a cautious short-term outlook.
The market is currently near record highs, with a need for lower interest rates and stable economic data to drive further growth.
The market needs lower interest rates without economic deterioration to continue its upward trajectory, while sentiment remains high.

explicit
ndx
I do Joe. And ultimately it's going to come down to growth rate next year. Street's looking for 5% just on this upgrade pool. ... I think Apple is going to be one of the top two performing mag sevens over the next year.
Deepwater Asset Management (60)
Hedge Fund $0.75B
Gene Munster (90)
(85) Apple will be one of the top two performing 'Mag 7s' over the next year: Deepwater's Gene Munster
$AAPL
8/12/2025 11:11:31 AM
Gene Munster is optimistic about Apple's growth potential, particularly with upcoming products and AI developments, despite challenges in the tech landscape.
Munster believes Apple will perform well in the tech sector, especially with new product launches and leveraging AI capabilities.
Apple's growth is expected to improve due to a rebound in iPhone sales and upcoming product launches, despite challenges in AI and geopolitical issues.

explicit

explicit

explicit

implicit
lithium sharp up
  • lithium → 100000
metals
John Woods mentioned sharp increases in lithium due to supply constraints, leading to potential sharp ups in the metals market short term.
Lombard Odier (70)
Private Equity
John Woods (90)
(85) Nvidia, AMD to Pay US 15% of China AI Chip Sales | The China Show 8/11/2025
8/11/2025 4:12:22 AM
Market sentiment is cautious as traders await key US and Chinese data, with a focus on inflation and earnings, particularly in the lithium sector.
The ongoing anti-evolution campaign in China aims to curb excessive competition and stabilize prices, which may impact growth and consumption.
The market is reacting to potential supply cuts in lithium due to regulatory scrutiny, which could lead to price increases amid a backdrop of cautious economic growth.

explicit
ndx
I continue to believe there's going to be a melt up between now and Thanksgiving.
Niles Investment Management (50)
Asset Manager
Dan Niles (90)
(85) Tech investor Dan Niles says Nvidia having access to the Chinese market is 'crucial'
Nvidia; AMD
8/11/2025 8:53:07 PM
Dan Niles expects a market melt-up until Thanksgiving, followed by a potential 10-20% correction due to pulled-forward demand and rising tariffs.
Concerns about policy stability and potential market corrections due to inflated demand and tariff increases.
The market is experiencing a melt-up driven by positive sentiment around new IPOs, meme stocks, and potential Fed rate cuts, but a correction is expected as demand may not sustain.

explicit
Truist Wealth (50)
Wealth Manager
Keith Lerner (90)
(85) Market is bifurcated below the surface, says Truist's Keith Lerner
8/11/2025 8:45:14 PM
The market is in a digestion phase after a strong run, with a focus on tech, communication services, and utilities, while small caps remain less favored due to structural changes.
The market is bifurcated, with only half of stocks above key moving averages, indicating a need for selectivity in investment.
The market has had a strong run, but now requires selectivity and may correct, with a focus on sectors that are still showing growth potential.

explicit

explicit
Renaissance Macro Research (50)
Hedge Fund
Neil Dutta (90)
(85) We're in a no hire, slow fire labor market, says Renaissance Macro's Neil Dutta
8/11/2025 3:32:30 PM
Neil Dutta expresses concerns about the sluggish state of the economy outside of the AI sector, highlighting weaknesses in housing, consumer spending, and capital expenditures.
Dutta indicates that the economy is showing signs of weakness, particularly in housing and consumer spending, which could lead to a potential rate cut.
The economy is sluggish with declining housing prices and weak consumer spending, indicating potential for a rate cut.

explicit
Wedbush Securities (30)
Management Consulting $1.90B
Dan Ives (90)
(80) Apple Is Missing the Boat on AI, Says Ives
8/11/2025 1:53:32 PM
Dan Ives critiques Apple's current strategy under CEO Tim Cook, likening it to a 'BlackBerry moment' where the company risks falling behind in the tech race, particularly in AI and innovation.
Apple risks missing critical technological advancements and needs to innovate aggressively to avoid falling behind competitors.

explicit
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Helima Croft (90)
(85) Europe has authority and discretion over when sanctions come off Russia, says RBC's Helima Croft
8/8/2025 7:13:17 PM
Oil prices are currently range bound and down due to uncertainty around US-Russia negotiations and European sanctions.
The dynamics of US-Russia talks and European sanctions are crucial in determining the future of oil prices.
The uncertainty surrounding US-Russia negotiations and the role of European sanctions are keeping oil prices down and range bound.

explicit
yields
Now is a very good time for if people are going to buy bonds because they can make a lot of money as yields plummet.
Dial Capital Management (60)
Wealth Manager
Mike Lanier (80)
(85) MARKET BUZZ: Defaults, Debt, and the Next Financial Shock? Special Guest Mike Lanier
8/9/2025 6:49:56 PM
Mike Lanier discusses the current state of credit markets, the implications of global debt levels, and the potential for a credit crisis amidst low yields and high risks.
The discussion highlights concerns over global debt levels, the potential for a credit crisis, and the dynamics of the bond market, particularly in the context of U.S. demographics and economic resilience.
The global economy is facing demographic challenges that could lead to a slowdown, impacting interest rates and creating potential risks in the credit markets.

explicit
  • gold → 3600
metals
Gold prices spiked sharply higher in the New York ComX this morning. CPM Group has been projecting for its clients that the price would touch 3,500 in August or September and would probably get up to 3,600 in September or October with higher prices later in the year and into 2026.
CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (90)
(85) Silver Default EXPLAINED: Why a Gold Price Reset Won't Happen
gold; silver
8/8/2025 5:04:49 PM
Jeffrey Christian discusses the current state of silver and gold markets, debunking myths about silver deficits and the likelihood of a COMEX silver default, while projecting higher gold prices in the near future.
The analysis highlights the absence of a silver deficit and the dynamics of the gold market, emphasizing the importance of accurate market information for investors.
The current economic and political environment, along with market dynamics, suggest that gold prices will rise, while misconceptions about silver deficits hinder effective investment strategies.

explicit
ndx
No, I'm keeping the money in the market. You know, we have we're juggling balls just fine. And I think you can get yourself all distracted by, you know, just the sheer velocity of change that's happening here. But if you look at the details and look at those different balls and look at the skills of the jugglers involved here, how can you not be invested?
Trend Macro (50)
Financial Advisory
Donald Luskin (80)
(85) Luskin: Miran's Fed Appointment "Very, Very Dangerous" for Markets
8/9/2025 8:00:11 PM
Donald Luskin discusses the implications of potential Fed chair Stephen Mirren's radical economic ideas, the current jobs market influenced by immigration, and the outlook for inflation and the stock market amidst deregulation.
Luskin emphasizes the importance of immigration on job numbers and argues that inflation is under control, while also highlighting the potential positive impact of new tax cuts and deregulation on the market.
The market is currently balanced with new tax cuts and deregulation, which should support growth despite challenges like tariffs and immigration issues.
small caps cautious down
J.P. Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Abby Yoder (90)
(85) S&P Drops as Jobless Claims Climb to Three Year High | The Close 8/7/2025
8/7/2025 11:04:22 PM
Abby Yoder discusses the disconnect between the economy and the stock market, highlighting concerns about small-cap performance and the impact of interest rates on growth.
The economy is showing signs of slowing growth, particularly in small caps, while large-cap tech continues to thrive.
The labor market is showing signs of weakness, and small-cap companies are struggling due to high interest rates and a challenging economic environment.

explicit
Centerview Partners (70)
Investment Bank
Blair Effron (90)
(85) Entry-Level Jobs at Risk, Tariffs & Textile Companies, Powering Data Centers | Wall Street Week
8/8/2025 11:18:25 PM
Blair Effron discusses the impact of AI on employment and the economy, expressing concerns about job losses while remaining optimistic about long-term benefits.
Effron highlights the dual nature of AI's impact, with potential job losses in the short term but overall progress in the long run.
AI is a significant technological advancement that will improve productivity in the long run, but it poses immediate risks to employment that need to be addressed.

inferred

implicit

inferred

implicit
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Chris Waller (85)
(80) Trump Eyes Waller For Next Fed Chair | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade, 8/8/25
8/8/2025 3:16:39 AM
Concerns over U.S. trade policies and Fed leadership are impacting market sentiment, with potential implications for interest rates and economic growth.
The Fed's potential shift towards a more dovish stance under new leadership could influence market dynamics, especially in light of trade uncertainties.
The Fed's leadership changes and trade policy uncertainties are creating a cautious environment for markets, with implications for interest rates and economic growth.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

implicit
semiconductors sharp up
J.P. Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Nandini Ramakrishnan (85)
(90) Tariffs Take Effect; Fed Officials Voice Concern Over Labor Market | Bloomberg Brief 8/7/2025
8/7/2025 11:46:56 AM
President Trump's new tariffs are impacting global trade, particularly affecting India and Switzerland with high rates, while U.S. chipmakers benefit from exemptions.
The tariffs are expected to have significant implications for the U.S. economy and global trade flows, with a potential rise in inflation as a result.
The tariffs are expected to create competitive disadvantages for countries like India and Switzerland while benefiting U.S. companies that invest domestically, potentially leading to a reorganization of global supply chains.

explicit
high beta stocks cautious down
  • S&P500 → 5800
JP Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jason Hunter (90)
(80) Investors should react aggressively if market breaks $6,150, says JPMorgan's Jason Hunter
8/7/2025 8:07:17 PM
Stocks are in an uptrend but risks are emerging as we approach September, which is typically a weaker month for markets. Key support levels are being monitored.
The market is currently resilient but may face challenges as it enters a historically weaker period. Attention is on the performance of high beta stocks and potential rotation to quality.
The market is currently above key support levels, but as we approach September, historical trends suggest potential weakness. Monitoring internals and sector rotations will be crucial.

explicit

explicit
equities up
ndx
So I think that's normal. I expect it to we've said that third quarter. We think this is the best chance we could have for some correction or moderation, if you will. But I want to be very clear, it's still early in the new bull market.
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)
(85) Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson: We're In a New Bull Market
US equities
8/7/2025 2:16:29 PM
The speaker believes we are in a new bull market following a three-year rolling recession, with expectations of volatility and corrections but overall positive growth.
The speaker suggests that the bear market ended in April, and we are now in a new bull market characterized by positive earnings revisions and supportive fiscal and monetary policies.
The speaker believes that the end of the recession in April marked the beginning of a new bull market, supported by positive earnings revisions and favorable fiscal and monetary policies.

explicit
semiconductors cautious down
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)
(80) President Trump Urges Intel CEO to "Resign, Immediately" | Open Interest 8/7/2025
US markets
8/7/2025 6:36:58 PM
Markets are reacting cautiously to President Trump's proposed tariffs on semiconductors, with mixed earnings reports influencing sentiment.
The market is experiencing volatility due to tariff announcements and mixed corporate earnings, with a focus on the semiconductor sector.
The market is adjusting to the potential impact of tariffs on semiconductor imports and the mixed earnings reports from major companies, indicating a cautious outlook.

explicit

explicit
utilities cautious down
ndx
We still are big believers in the tech story. The AI story is only gaining momentum.
J.P. Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Stephen Paccar (90)
(80) We're setting ourselves up for a growth recovery in 2026, says JPMorgan's Stephen Parker
8/7/2025 1:17:53 PM
Stephen Paccar discusses a slowdown in the economy but anticipates a growth recovery next year, emphasizing the strength of tech and utilities sectors.
Paccar believes the economy will slow down but not enter a recession, with a recovery expected next year driven by AI and power demand.
Paccar believes that the current economic slowdown is temporary and that sectors like tech and utilities will benefit from AI-driven demand and deregulation, leading to a recovery.

explicit

implicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)
(80) Squawk Pod: Disney’s Hugh Johnston & Minneapolis Fed’s Neel Kashkari - 08/06/25 | Audio Only
8/7/2025 4:17:58 PM
Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, potential interest rate cuts, and the uncertain impact of tariffs on inflation.
The economy is showing signs of slowing, with inflation pressures potentially influenced by tariffs, but the ultimate effects remain unclear.
The economy is slowing, and while tariffs may impact inflation, their effects are uncertain, necessitating a cautious approach to interest rates.

explicit
[{"market": "Cisco", "target": null}]
metals
I think the same dynamics which have us setting those record highs almost on a weekly basis are alive and well. Gold miners are starting to outperform and have operational leverage, generating massive free cash flow, leading to major upgrades.
Seymour Asset Management (60)
Asset Manager $2.00B
Tim Seymour (70)
(80) Tim Seymour: Gold has a lot more upside to go
Gold
8/8/2025 9:20:45 PM
Gold continues to reach record highs, with gold miners outperforming significantly. Interest rates coming down could further support gold prices. Cisco is expected to report good earnings, being a cheap mega-cap tech stock.
Gold's performance is tied to broader economic dynamics, including interest rates and the strength of the dollar.
Gold's record highs are supported by ongoing economic dynamics, and gold miners are generating significant free cash flow, which could lead to further upgrades in their valuations.

explicit
  • General Motors → 10
Oakmark Funds (60)
Asset Manager
Bill Nygren (90)
(85) Hot stocks to watch: Oakmark Fund’s Bill Nygren on his top value plays
8/8/2025 12:28:19 PM
Bill Nygren discusses the current market risks associated with the S&P 500's concentration in technology stocks and advocates for value investing as a risk reducer.
Nygren highlights the high risk of the S&P 500 due to its concentration in a few tech stocks and suggests that investors should consider value funds to mitigate this risk.
The S&P 500 is now more volatile and risky due to its heavy concentration in a few technology stocks, making value funds a safer investment option.

explicit

inferred
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (80)
(90) Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Interest Rates, Labor Market Data & the Federal Reserve
Interest Rates; Labor Market
8/7/2025 11:21:54 AM
Jim Bianco discusses potential Fed policy errors and the implications of labor market statistics on interest rates and economic growth.
Bianco argues that the Fed's push to cut rates may be unnecessary and could lead to inflation and higher long-term yields, especially given the current labor market dynamics and lack of population growth.
Bianco believes that the Fed's approach to interest rates is misguided, as it does not account for the current economic conditions, including stagnant population growth and the actual job creation needs of the economy.

explicit
  • gold → 3700
Worth Charting (50)
Investment Bank
Carter Worth (70)
(85) Carter Worth charts gold’s next move as metal hits fresh records
gold
8/8/2025 9:54:34 PM
Gold is expected to break out to higher prices, with miners outperforming bullion due to operational leverage and market dynamics.
The bullish sentiment on gold is supported by technical setups and market conditions, including geopolitical tensions and operational improvements in mining.
Gold is poised for a breakout due to technical setups, while miners are expected to outperform as their operational leverage improves.

explicit

explicit
infrastructure cautious down
ndx
I think the Nasdaq is the place to be. The AI boom is alive and well within the choppiness we've seen with tech earnings.
Nuveen (70)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
Saira Malik (80)
(90) Nuveen's Saira Malik feels caution about market levels. Here are the risks she's monitoring
8/7/2025 7:56:44 PM
Saira Malik discusses the current market conditions, emphasizing a cautious outlook for September due to low liquidity and mixed earnings, while highlighting opportunities in tech and infrastructure.
The market is facing challenges with low liquidity and mixed earnings, particularly in tech, but there are positive trends in AI and infrastructure investments.
The market is currently experiencing low liquidity and mixed earnings, particularly in tech, which is causing caution. However, the AI trend and infrastructure investments present opportunities for growth.

explicit

explicit
gold sharp up
  • gold → 4000
  • oil → 40
Bloomberg Intelligence (50)
Financial Media
Mike McGlone (70)
(85) Surprise Tariff Hits Gold | Open Interest 8/8/2025
8/8/2025 5:23:48 PM
The U.S. has imposed tariffs on gold imports, causing significant market reactions and raising questions about the future of gold and its comparison to Bitcoin as a hedge.
The tariffs on gold imports are expected to disrupt the market, potentially leading to higher gold prices and influencing investor behavior towards Bitcoin.
The tariffs on gold imports are expected to create a significant disruption in the market, leading to potential price increases and a shift in investor focus towards Bitcoin as a more stable alternative.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
inflation cautious down
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (90)
(90) Fed stays on hold with Powell warning: “We’re trying to get the timing right”
8/6/2025 8:09:06 PM
The economy shows solid labor market conditions but moderated growth; the Fed maintains interest rates while monitoring inflation and employment data.
The Fed is cautious about adjusting interest rates, balancing inflation risks with labor market stability.
The Fed is balancing the need to control inflation with the stability of the labor market, indicating a cautious approach to future rate adjustments.

explicit
financials cautious down
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Lori Calvasina (90)
(80) Expect choppy market conditions in back half of the year, says RBC's Lori Calvasina
US markets
8/6/2025 9:10:24 PM
Market may face seasonal weakness in the fall despite strong earnings; focus on consumer health and financials.
The market has recovered significantly since April, but uncertainty around tariffs and consumer behavior may lead to a rocky fall.
The market has rallied significantly, but seasonal trends and consumer stress signals suggest potential weakness ahead.

explicit

explicit

implicit
US economy cautious down
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Jim O'Neill (90)
(80) Former UK Treasury Minister Jim O'Neill: India tariffs have 'all sorts of big picture' implications
8/6/2025 4:05:41 PM
Jim O'Neill discusses the impact of tariffs on the US economy and the uncertainty surrounding it, suggesting that the current market optimism may not be sustainable.
O'Neill highlights the potential negative effects of tariffs on real incomes and inflation, while noting the current strong bond and equity markets may not last.
O'Neill argues that the imposition of tariffs will likely lead to increased import prices, affecting consumer prices and real incomes, which could slow the economy.

explicit

explicit
JP Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Kim Crawford (90)
(85) OpenAI Eyes $500 Billion Valuation in Share Sale Talks | The Pulse 8/06/2025
8/6/2025 10:15:17 AM
The labor market is slowing, leading to potential Fed rate cuts, while tariff uncertainties remain a concern for market stability.
The labor market data indicates a slowdown, which could influence the Fed's decision on rate cuts. Tariff threats from Trump add to market volatility.
The labor market is showing signs of slowing, which could lead to a Fed rate cut. Tariff uncertainties are complicating the economic outlook.

explicit

explicit
copper cautious down
Blue Line Futures (50)
Hedge Fund
Phil Streible (70)
(80) Gold/Silver: Futures Surge Overnight on NEW Gold Tariffs! Silver Next? Metals Minute Phil Streible
Gold; Silver; Crude Oil; Copper
8/8/2025 11:08:21 AM
Phil Streible discusses significant movements in the gold market due to new US tariffs and anticipates a potential economic shift towards stagflation, which could benefit gold and small caps.
The imposition of tariffs on gold imports is causing volatility in the gold market, while the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts could lead to a reflationary environment.
The recent tariffs on gold imports are causing significant market movements, and the anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could lead to a stagflation environment, which historically benefits gold and small-cap stocks.

explicit
yields
it's now time to cut rates The economy has slowed, and the Fed needs to respond to economic data.
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Neil Qashqari (70)
(80) Fed's Kashkari sees first rate cut in September, two rate cuts this year
8/6/2025 6:53:28 PM
Minneapolis President Neil Qashqari advocates for rate cuts due to economic slowdown.
Qashqari emphasizes the need for the Fed to respond to economic data and suggests that inflation impacts from tariffs may take time to materialize.
The economy has slowed, and the Fed needs to cut rates in response to economic data.

explicit
S&P500 cautious down
  • S&P500 → 6050
  • S&P500 → 6600
ndx
big Tech has blown through the numbers... It's outside of tech especially Bitcoin.
Barclays (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Vishnu Krishna (90)
(80) There's clear sector bifurcation in earnings, says Barclays' Venu Krishna
8/6/2025 6:12:58 PM
Earnings season shows strong results, particularly in big tech, but caution is advised for the short term due to potential market choppiness.
The earnings growth is better than average, with big tech outperforming, but there are concerns about margin pressures in other sectors.
The current earnings season shows strong results, especially in big tech, but there are concerns about margin pressures in other sectors. The outlook for next year is optimistic with expected earnings growth despite current policy uncertainties.

explicit

explicit

explicit
interest rates cautious down
Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)
(85) Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: Two cuts this year 'still seem reasonable to me'
8/6/2025 1:32:08 PM
Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the potential for rate cuts by the Fed.
Kashkari emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their effects on inflation, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust rates based on incoming data.
Kashkari believes the economy is slowing and that the Fed may need to respond with rate cuts, but the uncertainty around tariffs complicates the decision-making process.

explicit

explicit

explicit
tariffs cautious down
Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)
(85) Watch CNBC's full interview with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari
8/6/2025 1:30:01 PM
Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the potential for rate cuts by the Fed.
Kashkari emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their effects on inflation, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust rates based on incoming data.
Kashkari believes the economy is slowing and that the Fed may need to respond to this with rate cuts, while also considering the uncertain impact of tariffs on inflation.

explicit
Wedbush Securities (30)
Management Consulting $1.90B
Dan Ives (90)
(85) Wedbush's Dan Ives: Apple's AI strategy is essentially invisible
8/8/2025 9:33:29 PM
Dan Ives discusses the critical moment for Apple regarding AI innovation, suggesting that without significant acquisitions, Apple risks falling behind in the tech race.
Apple must make significant acquisitions to stay relevant in the AI space, or it risks missing out on the fourth Industrial revolution.

explicit

explicit

explicit
tariffs cautious down
White House Council of Economic Advisors (59)
Government Agency
Stephen Myron (70)
(80) Trump's Tariff Take Place | Balance of Power: Early Edition 8/7/2025
8/7/2025 7:38:28 PM
The implementation of new tariffs is expected to generate significant revenue and reshape the global trading system, with a focus on domestic production and potential inflationary impacts being downplayed.
Stephen Myron discusses the economic implications of the new tariff regime, emphasizing its potential to generate trillions in revenue and reshape trade dynamics, while asserting that inflationary pressures from tariffs are minimal.
The restructuring of the global trading system through tariffs is expected to bring in significant revenue and incentivize domestic production, with minimal inflationary impact anticipated.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
equities up
ndx
The biggest lift in markets coming from Big Tech.
Nuveen (70)
Asset Manager $1000.00B
Tony Rodriguez (80)
(90) S&P, Nasdaq Climb as Apple Plans Provide Boost | The Close 8/6/2025
S&P; Nasdaq
8/6/2025 10:58:19 PM
The equity markets are showing resilience despite recession risks, while bond yields remain low and unattractive for investors.
The discussion highlights a divergence between equity market optimism and bond market caution, with a focus on the potential for economic slowdown and inflation concerns.
The current economic environment suggests that while there are risks of recession, the equity markets are buoyed by strong liquidity and growth themes, particularly in technology sectors like AI.

explicit

explicit
Google up
ndx
I buy Google... I just think it's two different business models. I think the commercial element of Google's paid search business is going to continue to be one of the most robust businesses on the planet for a long period of time. So I'm not fearful that there's going to be a meaningful slowdown in the paid search growth.
BNY Investments (60)
Wealth Manager
John Porter (80)
(80) Tariffs aren't going to cause a meaningful uptick in inflation, says BNY's John Porter
8/7/2025 5:57:30 PM
John Porter believes tariffs won't significantly impact inflation, and a rate-cutting environment is imminent, suggesting Google as a strong investment.
Porter emphasizes that tariffs have not led to meaningful inflation and anticipates a rate-cutting cycle to protect the job market.
Porter believes that the impact of tariffs on inflation is minimal and that the Fed's upcoming rate cuts are necessary to support the job market, making Google a strong investment due to its resilience and potential in AI.
semiconductors cautious down
U.S. Government (59)
Government Agency
Chairman (70)
(80) Miran Talks Trump's Tariffs, Exemptions and Waller
8/7/2025 5:42:01 PM
The U.S. tariff regime is expected to generate significant revenue without causing lasting inflation, with a projected increase in domestic production.
The restructuring of global trade under the current administration is seen as historic, with tariffs expected to bring in trillions in revenue and create incentives for domestic manufacturing.
The tariffs are expected to generate substantial revenue and incentivize domestic production without leading to significant inflation, as evidenced by past data and current economic policies.

explicit

inferred
equity market cautious down
Bloomberg Economics (50)
Financial Media
Lisa Abramowicz (80)
(90) "The Price of Money" with Bloomberg's Tom Orlik
8/7/2025 3:34:17 PM
The structural regime for benchmark rates is shifting towards a saving shortage, leading to higher long-term Treasury yields, which could impact equity and real estate markets negatively.
The transition from a savings glut to a savings shortage suggests that long-term interest rates will remain high, affecting government spending and market dynamics.
The shift from a savings glut to a savings shortage indicates that long-term rates will remain high, which will pressure stock and property prices to plateau or fall.

explicit
AI stocks sharp up
ndx
this is a phase in the markets where it feels like 1999, we could have this accelerated uplift in markets
Fed Watch Advisors (50)
Asset Manager
Ben Emons (80)
(85) A.I. Big Picture: OpenAI Valuation, Rise of Robotics & Mag 7's Role
8/7/2025 7:00:50 PM
Ben Emons discusses the potential market impact of AI advancements, particularly through OpenAI and related sectors, suggesting a significant rally in tech and industrial stocks.
Emons highlights the transformative potential of AI on the economy and markets, drawing parallels to the tech boom of the late 1990s.
The rapid advancement and implementation of AI technologies, particularly through companies like OpenAI, are expected to drive significant demand and market growth, reminiscent of the tech boom in the late 1990s.
  • S&P500 → 6600
  • S&P500 → 7000
  • Ethereum → 16000
Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(85) Ethereum is having its bitcoin 2017 moment again, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
8/6/2025 6:18:50 PM
Tom Lee believes Bitcoin is a leading indicator for the S&P 500, predicting a significant upside move for the index, potentially reaching 6600 soon and 7000 by year-end, driven by economic resilience and a dovish Fed pivot.
Lee emphasizes the strengthening economy and bearish sentiment as key factors for market movement, alongside the potential for Ethereum to replicate Bitcoin's past performance.
Bitcoin's historical performance as a leading indicator for the S&P 500 suggests a significant upside move is imminent, supported by economic resilience and a potential dovish pivot from the Fed.
[{"market": "DoorDash", "target": null}, {"market": "Uber", "target": null}, {"market": "Shopify", "target": null}]
Evercore ISI (50)
Investment Bank
Mark Mahaney (90)
(80) Evercore ISI's Mark Mahaney gives his read on earnings from the gig sector
8/7/2025 5:57:54 PM
Mark Mahaney discusses resilient demand trends in the gig economy, highlighting strong performance in delivery services like DoorDash and Uber, while expressing caution on Lyft and Airbnb due to competitive challenges and investment cycles.
The gig economy shows resilience, particularly in delivery services, but challenges remain for second-tier players like Lyft and Airbnb.
Resilient demand trends in delivery services indicate growth potential, but Lyft faces challenges as a distant second player, and Airbnb is in an investment cycle that may pressure margins.

explicit

explicit

explicit
  • S&P500 → 4500
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jack Caffrey (90)
(85) Bloomberg Surveillance 8/5/2025
8/5/2025 3:19:07 PM
Markets are buoyed by strong tech earnings and expectations of rate cuts, despite concerns over tariffs and economic uncertainty.
The labor market shows signs of weakness, but tech companies are thriving, particularly due to AI advancements.
The market is reacting positively to strong earnings from tech companies, particularly in AI, while concerns about tariffs and economic data revisions create a cautious backdrop.

explicit
  • S&P500 → 6600
  • S&P500 → 6900
ndx
The expectation for the S&P (which includes the Nasdaq 100) is around 5% up by the end of the year and almost 10% over 12 months, reflecting earnings growth of around 7% this year and next year.
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
David Kostin (90)
(85) Goldman Sachs' David Kostin: Large percentage topline index return is coming from big tech
8/5/2025 3:04:18 PM
David Kostin discusses the strong earnings growth of major tech companies and its positive impact on the market, while highlighting concerns about tariffs and inflation.
The earnings season has shown positive surprises, particularly from major tech companies, which are expected to drive market growth despite economic challenges.
The strong earnings growth from major tech companies is expected to support market performance, despite underlying economic challenges such as inflation and tariffs.

explicit

explicit
ndx
I think that the next leg of this bull market's going to come from a broadening out beyond just the AI story.
yields
Well, interest rates are going lower. That's all we need to know. So if you're overweight in cash, you're getting a pay cut.
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Sherry Paul (90)
(85) Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Next leg of bull market will come from broadening out beyond AI story
8/5/2025 7:59:28 PM
The bull market remains intact, with opportunities in AI, deglobalization, and industrials, while interest rates are expected to decline.
The interaction of AI, deglobalization, and deregulation is creating new investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like materials and industrials.
The market is forward-looking, and while the economy may lag, the bull market driven by AI and deglobalization themes is set to continue, with interest rates expected to decline.

explicit
silver sharp up
metals
I would suspect that the gold price gain may very well mirror the decline in the purchasing power of the US dollar. If the US dollar loses 75% of its purchasing power, one would expect gold to mirror that on the upside.
Rule Investment Media (40)
Financial Media
Rick Rule (90)
(90) The Trust Collapse Is Here: Gold, Silver, Copper, Uranium and the Real Asset Reset | Rick Rule
Gold; Silver; Copper; Uranium
8/7/2025 11:00:42 AM
Rick Rule discusses the current state of gold and silver markets, the performance of mining companies, and the potential for a silver squeeze amidst growing investor confidence.
The macro environment is showing increased investor confidence in precious metals, particularly gold and silver, with mining companies performing strongly. There's a potential for a silver squeeze due to structural deficits and increased demand.
Rick Rule believes that the current momentum in gold and silver markets is driven by increased investor confidence and a structural deficit in silver, which could lead to significant price movements.

explicit

explicit

implicit
U.S. Treasury (59)
Government Agency
Janet Yellen (85)
(90) Janet Yellen: The most recent data strengthens the case for some rate cut going forward
8/6/2025 4:18:34 PM
Janet Yellen discusses potential rate cuts based on recent economic data and labor market conditions.
Yellen indicates that recent data may support rate cuts, contingent on inflation control and labor market trends.
Yellen believes rate cuts may be necessary due to slowing growth and a stalling labor market, while also addressing concerns about tying monetary policy to Treasury debt management.

implicit

implicit
high-quality stocks up
Travelers (80)
Insurance Company
Adam Parker (80)
(90) Trivariate's Adam Parker: Consensus view is we will get a market pullback on tariff-related fears
8/5/2025 7:46:36 PM
Adam Parker believes that dips in the market should be bought, as he sees potential for earnings growth and a resilient consumer despite concerns about a growth scare.
Parker suggests that the market may be taking a breather but is generally optimistic about earnings growth and consumer resilience, indicating a preference for high-quality stocks.
Parker believes that the market is positioned for earnings growth and that institutional investors will buy high-quality stocks on dips, despite potential concerns about a growth scare.

explicit

implicit
crypto cautious down
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(90) Jim Bianco on Why Zero Rates and Money Printing Are Gone for Good
8/5/2025 4:56:20 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the current economic cycle, the implications of low job growth, and the potential for inflation and interest rate changes.
Bianco emphasizes that the economy is in a different cycle characterized by low job growth, changing demographics, and persistent inflation, which will affect monetary policy.
Bianco argues that the reliance on surveys for economic data is flawed and that the current low job growth is not indicative of a recession but rather a demographic issue. He believes that inflation will persist and that the Fed's response to low job growth could exacerbate inflationary pressures.

explicit
gold sharp up
  • gold → 3500
  • silver → 40
metals
we continue to expect higher gold prices over the course of this year into next year because we don't see those political and economic factors changing Strong investment demand driven by economic and political uncertainty is keeping gold and silver prices elevated, and open interest data shows market participants expect high and volatile prices to continue through the medium term.
CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (90)
(90) A Secret Plan To Reset The Gold Price? What Investors Need To Know
Gold; Silver; Platinum; Palladium
8/5/2025 4:24:42 PM
Jeffrey Christian discusses the current state of gold and silver markets, emphasizing strong investment demand and expectations for higher prices due to ongoing economic and political uncertainties.
The macro environment is characterized by high investment demand for gold and silver, driven by concerns over personal wealth and economic stability, leading to expectations of rising prices.
The ongoing economic and political uncertainties are driving strong investment demand for gold and silver, which is expected to keep prices elevated.

implicit

implicit
  • Palantir → 165
Mizuho (90)
Investment Bank $2100.00B
Gregg Moskowitz (80)
(85) Mizuho's Gregg Moskowitz on Palantir earnings: Pretty remarkable growth given revenue totals
8/5/2025 11:43:14 AM
Palantir's revenue growth is accelerating, with a 48% year-over-year increase, and the company is revising its guidance significantly upwards, but its high valuation poses a challenge.
Palantir is experiencing strong revenue growth and demand for its AI software, but its high valuation multiples compared to peers raise questions about future price sustainability.

explicit

implicit

explicit

inferred

implicit
natural gas down
BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Stephen LaPaly (90)
(90) S&P 500 Rallies Since May as Traders Sift Through Results | The Close 8/4/2025
8/4/2025 11:33:26 PM
The market is recovering from last week's selloff, with cautious optimism about rate cuts and a focus on managing risks in equities and fixed income.
Investors are advised to maintain a resilient bond portfolio while being cautious in equities due to potential economic slowdowns and policy changes.
The market's recovery is influenced by expectations of rate cuts and the need for risk management in a volatile environment.

explicit
healthcare cautious down
ndx
there are factors at work right now that mean I think this market goes higher in the near to intermediate term.
M Capital Management (60)
Wealth Manager
Chris Grisanti (80)
(80) Markets will move higher in near to intermediate term, says MAI Capital's Chris Grisanti
8/6/2025 7:20:39 PM
Chris Grisanti discusses the current market dynamics favoring growth stocks over value stocks, emphasizing the importance of capital expenditures from major tech companies and the potential in healthcare investments.
Grisanti highlights the significant capital expenditures by major tech firms as a driving force for market growth, while also pointing out the undervaluation in the healthcare sector.
The significant capital expenditures by major tech companies are expected to provide a strong tailwind for the market, while undervalued sectors like healthcare present opportunities for value investors.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
credit cautious down
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Andrew Sheets (90)
(80) Stocks Extend Rebound on Earnings; Trump Vows to Ramp Up India Tariffs | Bloomberg Brief 8/5/2025
US equities; commodities
8/5/2025 11:12:54 AM
Andrew Sheets discusses the potential for economic challenges ahead, with inflation expected to rise and growth to decelerate, impacting Fed rate cut expectations.
The upcoming months may present a more challenging economic landscape, with inflation ticking up and growth slowing, which could affect Fed decisions on rate cuts.
The mix of economic data is expected to shift, with inflation rising and growth slowing, which complicates the Fed's decision-making process regarding rate cuts.
Bloomberg (50)
Financial Media
Mark Gurman (90)
(85) Apple to Invest $100B, Open AI's Potential $500B Valuation | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 8/6/2025
8/6/2025 9:08:04 PM
Apple's stock is rising due to expectations of a significant investment announcement, but the reality may be more marketing than substantial change in manufacturing strategy.
The earnings season shows strong performance from companies, particularly in tech, but concerns about tariffs and manufacturing strategies persist.
Apple's announcement of a $100 billion investment is seen as a marketing strategy to appease political pressures rather than a significant shift in manufacturing.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

implicit
Swiss equities cautious down
J Safra Sarasin (80)
Asset Manager
Wolf von Rotberg (80)
(90) Trump Plans to Increase India Tariffs, Escalating Trade Spat Over Russia | The Pulse 8/05/2025
US-India trade; Oil
8/5/2025 10:00:26 AM
Concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on economic growth are influencing market sentiment, particularly in Europe, while the U.S. equity market remains resilient due to strong tech performance.
The ongoing geopolitical tensions and tariff implementations are expected to create inflationary pressures and affect economic growth, particularly in the U.S. and Europe.
The market is currently priced for perfection, but there are signs of economic weakening, particularly in consumer data and labor market trends, which could lead to a consolidation phase in equities.

explicit
semiconductors sharp up
ndx
The only thing that's up is stock prices. That's really up and that's through the roof. The stock market has been hitting all-time records, all-time highs.
U.S. Government (59)
Government Agency
Donald Trump (70)
(80) President Donald Trump and Apple CEO Tim Cook make an announcement at the White House — 8/6/2025
8/6/2025 4:02:59 PM
Trump discusses surging consumer confidence, falling costs, and a booming stock market, emphasizing a manufacturing renaissance in the U.S. driven by tariffs and investments.
The U.S. economy is experiencing growth with rising wages and falling costs, particularly in energy and groceries, while stock prices reach new highs.
The U.S. economy is on the rise due to falling costs, increasing consumer confidence, and significant investments in manufacturing, particularly in the semiconductor sector.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

implicit
semiconductors cautious down
Macro Risk Advisors (50)
Financial Advisory
Dean Curnutt (80)
(90) Bloomberg Surveillance 8/6/2025
8/6/2025 3:27:02 PM
The market is facing uncertainty due to tariff threats and economic data indicating potential stagflation, impacting investor sentiment and earnings expectations.
The discussion highlights the tension between high expectations for tech earnings and the reality of economic uncertainty, particularly regarding tariffs and inflation.
The uncertainty surrounding tariffs and the economic outlook is weighing on investor sentiment, particularly in the tech sector, which has high expectations for growth.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

explicit
pharmaceuticals cautious down
DBS Bank (70)
Commercial Bank
Radhika Rao (70)
(80) Trump Ramps Up Tariff Blitz | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade, 8/6/25
8/6/2025 3:58:46 AM
The U.S. economic data is weakening, raising concerns about the Fed's policy direction, while trade tensions with India and China are complicating market dynamics.
The potential for higher tariffs on pharmaceuticals and chips is creating uncertainty in the markets, particularly affecting Asian economies reliant on exports.
The weakening economic indicators in the U.S. suggest a potential shift in Fed policy, while ongoing trade tensions with India and China could lead to further economic strain.

explicit

explicit
retail investors sharp up
yields
‘by the third end of the third into the fourth quarter a lot of the inflation statistics will go over 3%.’; ‘We’re going to see long-term interest rates move up and that could really bother the stock market.’; ‘If you want to borrow to keep a 24 25% of GDP at the budget and 7% deficits to GDP interest rates are going to skyrocket.’; ‘4 and a half percent is normal; zero interest rates 2010-2019 was an aberration.’
Biano Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Biano (70)
(85) Jim Bianco: Who's the big power player in the US market? It's millions of retail traders
8/5/2025 12:48:43 PM
Jim Biano discusses the potential for rising inflation and its implications for the Fed's interest rate decisions, emphasizing the role of retail investors in the current market dynamics.
Biano highlights the expected rise in inflation due to tariff impacts and the challenges the Fed will face in managing interest rates amidst a changing economic landscape.
Biano argues that rising inflation will complicate the Fed's decision-making, especially with political pressures, and that retail investors are currently driving market dynamics.

explicit
yields
"the probability the fed cutting in September has gone up"; "there are now five rate cuts priced in between now and the end of the year, end of next year"; "markets are thinking, okay, the Fed's going to get down to 3% raise"; "long term rate can come down a little bit"
JPMorgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
David Kelly (90)
(85) We have a healthy 'tortoise' of an economy, says JPMorgan's David Kelly
8/4/2025 8:59:32 PM
David Kelly discusses the importance of earnings in the context of economic data, suggesting a healthy economy with potential for interest rate cuts.
The economy is moving forward despite some weaknesses, with a possibility of interest rate cuts.
The economy is showing signs of stability with potential for interest rate cuts, which could lead to lower long-term rates.
Bank of America (95)
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Chris Hyzy (90)
(85) Buy on weakness as earnings continue to shock to upside, says Bank of America's Chris Hyzy
8/4/2025 8:18:05 PM
The market is in a powerful uptrend, but volatility is expected as we move through August. Profit estimates are rising, and buying on weakness is recommended.
The market is threading a fine line between weak job data allowing for rate cuts and maintaining growth without cutting GDP or earnings estimates.
The market is experiencing a strong rally with rising profit estimates, and while volatility is expected, the strategy is to buy on weakness as companies continue to report better-than-expected earnings.

explicit
Allianz (95)
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian (90)
(85) Mohamed El-Erian: Should not undermine BLS' integrity by firing its chief
8/4/2025 7:07:02 PM
Mohamed El-Erian discusses the implications of the BLS chief's firing and the integrity of economic data, highlighting concerns about institutional integrity and macroeconomic signals.
El-Erian emphasizes the importance of institutional integrity in economic data collection and the potential consequences of political interference.
The firing of the BLS chief undermines institutional integrity and signals potential issues with economic data, which could lead to misinterpretations of the economic situation.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
fixed income cautious down
Riverfront Investment Group (59)
Kevin Nicholson (80)
(90) Stocks Fall as US Services Flash Warning Signals | The Close 8/5/2025
8/5/2025 10:49:50 PM
The market is facing challenges with inflation and growth, leading to a cautious outlook for the Fed and potential rate cuts.
The economic data indicates stagnation in the services sector, with inflation pressures complicating the Fed's decision-making.
The Fed is in a difficult position with inflation rising and growth slowing, making it hard to move aggressively on rates.

implicit

implicit
DoubleLine Capital (90)
Asset Manager $130.00B
Jeffrey Gundlach (90)
(85) DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach: Economic data is becoming much less reliable
8/4/2025 8:41:20 PM
Jeffrey Gundlach discusses the implications of recent economic data and the Fed's potential interest rate cuts, expressing skepticism about the reliability of job reports and inflation data.
Gundlach highlights concerns over the reliability of economic data and suggests that the Fed may need to cut rates due to recent job report revisions.
The Fed is likely to cut rates due to unreliable economic data and significant revisions in job reports, with a potential for two rate cuts this year.

explicit
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Joyce Chang (90)
(85) The worst of the tariffs is still yet to come, says JPMorgan's Joyce Chang
8/4/2025 3:25:28 PM
Joyce Chang discusses the impact of tariffs on the economy, indicating that the worst effects are yet to be felt due to front loading and rising tariff levels.
The anticipated economic impact of tariffs is significant, with expectations of further increases in tariff levels.
The worst effects of tariffs are still to come due to significant front loading and higher than expected tariff levels.

implicit

implicit
Jefferies (70)
Investment Bank $57.00B
David Zervos (90)
(85) Fed is ‘inherently inside the swamp and is political,’ says Jefferies’ David Zervos
8/5/2025 3:56:01 PM
David Zervos discusses the political influences on the Fed and suggests that current economic data indicates a need for significant rate cuts.
Zervos believes that the Fed's independence is compromised by political pressures and that recent economic data points to a more restrictive policy than previously thought.
The current economic data suggests that policy is more restrictive than previously thought, leading to a strong case for significant rate cuts.

explicit

implicit

implicit
Palantir sharp up
  • S&P500 → 6400
Laffer Tengler Investments (60)
Asset Manager $2.50B
Nancy Tengler (85)
(90) AI Fuels Palantir’s Unstoppable Rally | Open Interest 8/5/2025
8/5/2025 6:57:02 PM
The market is experiencing a cautious recovery with strong performances in tech, particularly AI-related stocks like Palantir, while concerns about valuations persist.
The earnings season is showing mixed results, with tech stocks leading the way, but concerns about valuations and potential regulatory impacts loom.
The tech sector, particularly AI-driven companies, is expected to continue its growth trajectory despite high valuations, while traditional sectors may struggle amidst regulatory pressures.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
Bitcoin sharp up
JP Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Travis Spence (90)
(80) Ether Suddenly On A Tear | ETF IQ 8/4/2025
Ether; ETFs
8/4/2025 5:29:48 PM
Active management is gaining traction as investors buy the dip, with significant inflows into ETFs, particularly in fixed income and active strategies.
The market is seeing a strong dip-buying behavior, especially among retail investors, while professional managers are focusing on active management to outperform indices.
Investors are increasingly looking for active management strategies to navigate market volatility and capitalize on opportunities, particularly in the ETF space.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
interest rates cautious down
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(90) Jim Bianco explains Fiscal Dominance & Why Rate Cuts Fail with Charles Payne
8/4/2025 6:50:09 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the inadequacies of current economic data collection methods and the implications for monetary policy, emphasizing the need for real-time data over surveys.
Bianco critiques the reliance on outdated survey methods for economic data, advocating for real-time data collection to better inform monetary policy decisions.
Bianco argues that the current economic data collection methods are flawed and lead to significant revisions, which misinform monetary policy. He suggests using real-time data to better assess the labor market and inflation.

inferred
J.P. Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Kelsey Barrows (80)
(80) Slowing labor demand will lead the Fed to deliver rate cuts later this year: JPMorgan's Kelsey Berro
8/4/2025 11:03:40 AM
Kelsey Barrows discusses the moderating labor market, the potential for Fed rate cuts, and the current state of the yield curve.
The labor market is slowing, but no imminent recession is expected. The Fed may deliver rate cuts later this year.
The labor market is moderating, and the Fed is likely to cut rates later this year based on the data trends.

explicit

implicit

implicit
stock market up
Wisdomtree (80)
Asset Manager $111.00B
Jeremy Siegel (90)
(90) Wharton's Jeremy Siegel: There would've been a July rate cut had we known about the weak jobs data
8/4/2025 12:39:14 PM
Jeremy Siegel discusses the implications of weak jobs data on monetary policy and the stock market, emphasizing the need for better data collection by the BLS.
Siegel believes that the weak jobs data could lead to rate cuts and that the stock market may still trend upwards despite potential economic headwinds.
Siegel argues that the weak jobs data indicates a need for a more responsive monetary policy and that the market can still thrive if productivity increases through AI.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

explicit
pharmaceuticals sharp up
Former President of the United States (59)
Government Agency
Donald Trump (90)
(80) Squawk Pod: The President Donald J. Trump Interview - 08/05/25 | Audio Only
8/5/2025 6:03:11 PM
President Trump discusses tariffs, the economy, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies in a wide-ranging interview.
Trump emphasizes the importance of tariffs on pharmaceuticals and the need for a strong economy, while criticizing the Federal Reserve's actions.
Trump argues that tariffs will bring manufacturing back to the US and strengthen the economy, while criticizing the Fed for being too slow in adjusting interest rates.

implicit

inferred
short-term yields sharp down
Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Colin Martin (80)
(80) Labor Market Instability Ramps Up Fed Rate Cut Odds
8/4/2025 8:25:39 PM
Colin Martin discusses the potential for a Fed rate cut in September due to labor market weakness, with expectations for short-term yields to fall more than long-term yields.
The labor market's stability is in question, and if weakness continues, it could lead to a Fed rate cut, impacting short-term yields more significantly than long-term yields.
The labor market is showing signs of weakness, which could lead to a Fed rate cut. Short-term yields are expected to be more sensitive to these changes than long-term yields.

explicit
Wedbush (30)
Management Consulting $1.90B
Dan Ives (90)
(80) Apple's bigger issue continues to be its missing AI, says Wedbush's Dan Ives
8/6/2025 7:41:41 PM
Dan Ives discusses Apple's recent positive developments with Trump, emphasizing the importance of AI investments and the challenges of U.S. manufacturing.
Apple's relationship with Trump has improved, which may positively impact stock performance, but the focus should be on AI investments rather than U.S. manufacturing.

explicit

explicit
stocks cautious down
BFG Wealth Partners (50)
Asset Manager
Peter Boockvar (80)
(80) The Fed is locked into a September rate cut amid the weak jobs report, says One Point BFG's Boockvar
8/5/2025 9:39:20 PM
Peter Boockvar believes the Fed will cut rates due to economic deterioration, despite some forecasts of no recession.
The economy is experiencing mixed signals with some sectors in recession while others grow, leading to a projected GDP growth of 1-1.5%.
The Fed is likely to cut rates due to a deterioration in the labor market and mixed economic signals, despite some sectors showing growth.

explicit
S&P500 sharp up
  • S&P500 → 7000
ndx
I think we're going to rally pretty strongly in August. So, I think yeah, I think we can get back to 65 or get to 65 6600 all-time highs this in the next couple weeks and then uh 7,000 in the next 12 months. Above that. Yeah, probably well above that next. Well above that. Yeah.
Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(85) Expect the S&P 500 to reach new all-time highs in August, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
S&P 500
8/4/2025 7:55:29 PM
Tom Lee expects a strong rally in the markets, predicting a return to all-time highs soon and further growth over the next year.
Lee highlights that inflation is mild and suggests that if the Fed were to act like the ECB, they would be cutting rates.
Inflation is mild, and if the Fed were to act like the ECB, they would be cutting rates, which supports a strong market rally.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
Ethereum up
  • S&P500 → 7000
ndx
I think we're going to rally pretty strongly in August. So I think yeah, I think we can get back to 65 or get to 65, 60, 600 all time highs this in the next couple of weeks. And then 7000 in the next 12 months above that.
Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(90) Expect the S&P 500 to reach new all-time highs in August, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
S&P 500
8/4/2025 1:19:52 PM
Tom Lee remains bullish on the markets despite recent consolidation, anticipating a dovish pivot from the Fed and a strong rally in August.
Lee believes the economy is slowing but sees a positive setup for the markets, particularly with potential Fed stimulus aimed at the housing market.
Lee believes the Fed will pivot dovishly, which will stimulate the housing market and support a market rally, especially in the S&P500.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
Bitcoin cautious down
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(80) Bitcoin Has Been Co-Opted – Jim Bianco Warns The Fed Is Losing Control
Bitcoin; Crypto
8/4/2025 12:58:24 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the implications of Trump's influence on the Federal Reserve, the challenges of fiscal policy, and the current state of various asset classes including Bitcoin and bonds.
Bianco emphasizes the importance of understanding the bond market's role in fiscal policy and the potential consequences of excessive money printing.
Bianco argues that the bond market will ultimately dictate fiscal policy and that excessive money printing could lead to high interest rates, which would stifle economic growth.

explicit

implicit
  • S&P500 → 6700
yields
‘this rate cut that’s likely, I think in September could be larger than 25 basis points… that may be put a little bit more downward pressure on Treasury yields, maybe some 4% because that’s not really priced in at this moment 50 basis points’
FedWatch Advisors (50)
Asset Manager
Ben Emons (90)
(85) Emons: Fed may be shifting to risk management due to labor weakness
8/5/2025 11:35:24 AM
Ben Emons discusses the potential for a significant rate cut by the Fed, which could positively impact markets despite current economic slowdowns.
Emons believes that a proactive approach by the Fed in cutting rates could support the economy and boost market performance towards the end of the year.
The Fed's potential rate cuts in response to labor market weakness could provide necessary support for the economy and lead to a market rally by year-end.

inferred

inferred

inferred

inferred

inferred
Euro-dollar sharp up
BNP Paribas (80)
Investment Bank $600.00B
Parisha (80)
(80) Trump To Replace Fired Data Chief; OPEC+ Supply Glut Fears | Horizons Middle East & Africa 08/4/2025
8/4/2025 7:06:49 AM
The U.S. jobs data has raised concerns about economic momentum, leading to expectations of rate cuts from the Fed. The market is reacting to these developments with a cautious outlook on U.S. assets.
The weak U.S. jobs data and subsequent downward revisions have led to a structural view of a weaker dollar and potential rate cuts from the Fed.
The weak jobs data indicates a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy, which could lead to earlier than expected rate cuts from the Fed, thus supporting a weaker dollar.

explicit

explicit

inferred

explicit

explicit
stocks up
[{"market": "stocks", "target": "higher in 12 to 18 months"}, {"market": "gold", "target": "higher in 12 to 18 months"}, {"market": "Bitcoin", "target": "higher in 12 to 18 months"}]
42 Macro (49)
Market Research Firm
Darius Dale (80)
(90) Dale: Powell's "Termination Can't Come Fast Enough" as Fed Makes "Fifth Mistake"
8/4/2025 10:30:08 PM
Darius Dale argues that the Fed is falling behind the curve and making policy mistakes, which could lead to a more dovish monetary policy in the long term, benefiting stocks, gold, and Bitcoin.
Dale believes the Fed's current approach is inadequate given the economic data, and anticipates a shift towards more supportive fiscal and monetary policies.
Dale believes that the Fed's slow response to economic indicators and its reliance on lagging data will lead to a more dovish policy, which will ultimately support asset prices.

explicit

explicit
Fed policy cautious down
Evercore ISI (50)
Investment Bank
Krishna Guha (80)
(90) Evercore ISI’s Krishna Guha on why the Fed is in 'wait and see' mode
8/4/2025 2:49:12 PM
The Fed is likely to maintain a wait-and-see approach until September, with potential for a rate cut depending on upcoming labor market data.
The labor market shows signs of softening, which could influence the Fed's decision on interest rates in September.
The Fed is assessing economic data and labor market trends before making decisions on interest rates, with a focus on potential softening in the labor market.

explicit
copper up
  • copper → 55
  • copper → 52
Blue Line Futures (50)
Hedge Fund
Phil Streel (70)
(80) CNBC: Where are Copper Prices Headed after the Crash? Outlook & Drivers- Metals Minute Phil Streible
8/4/2025 8:45:30 PM
Phil Streel discusses the recent volatility in copper prices and the factors driving demand, suggesting a bullish outlook for copper in the medium term.
Copper demand is expected to rise due to industrialization in China, data center expansion, and electric vehicle production, despite recent price volatility.
Growing demand from China's industrialization, data centers, and electric vehicles is expected to drive copper prices higher despite recent volatility.

explicit

implicit

implicit
Renaissance Macro Research (50)
Hedge Fund
Neil Dutta (90)
(85) Growth will be below potential in the back half of 2025, says Renaissance Macro's Neil Dutta
8/4/2025 3:44:39 PM
Neil Dutta discusses concerns over the reliability of US economic data and its implications for market confidence and economic growth.
Dutta highlights the potential negative impact of revisions to economic data on market confidence and the broader economy.
The weakening private demand and revisions to economic data suggest a softening economy, which could undermine market confidence and consumer spending.

implicit

implicit

explicit

explicit
emerging markets cautious up
Mobius Capital Partners (59)
Asset Manager
Mark Mobius (90)
(85) Mobius Sees Buying Opportunity in Tariff-Hit Indian Stocks | Insight with Haslinda Amin 8/4/2025
Indian Stocks
8/4/2025 6:26:51 AM
Mark Mobius discusses the impact of weak U.S. jobs data on market sentiment, emphasizing the importance of cash and potential opportunities in emerging markets like Japan and India.
Mobius highlights the cautious outlook due to tariffs and economic uncertainty, while also identifying potential growth in emerging markets.
Mobius believes that the markets are overvalued and that cash is currently a safe haven, while he sees potential in emerging markets once tariff negotiations stabilize.

inferred
Allianz (95)
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian (90)
(90) Mohamed El-Erian on jobs data: Not politically driven but do have revision issues
8/1/2025 7:55:32 PM
Mohamed El-Erian discusses the integrity of US economic data and its implications for markets, highlighting issues with data collection and the labor market's current state.
El-Erian emphasizes the need for improved data collection methods and the impact of recent labor market revisions on market reactions.
El-Erian argues that the recent downward revisions in labor market data have led to significant market reactions, indicating that the data is being taken seriously by investors.

inferred

inferred
BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Russ (90)
(90) US Treasuries Soar As Job Growth Slows | Real Yield 8/1/2025
US Treasuries
8/1/2025 6:48:37 PM
The labor market is showing signs of weakness, prompting expectations for rate cuts by the Fed in September and December. The economy is structurally sound but requires cautious monetary policy.
The current economic environment is complex, with a potential conflict in the Fed's dual mandate. Rate cuts are anticipated as the labor market slows.
The slowing labor market and structural soundness of the economy suggest that the Fed will need to cut rates to support growth, especially given the current policy environment.

explicit
Amazon cautious up
  • Amazon → 8
  • Amazon → 10
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Eric Sheridan (90)
(85) Goldman Sachs' Eric Sheridan talks tech stocks seeing worst trading day in four months
Tech Stocks; Chip Stocks
8/1/2025 9:36:46 PM
The digital economy is accelerating, driven by AI demand, despite some short-term volatility and concerns around Amazon's earnings guidance.
The strength in the digital economy and AI is expected to prevail over longer durations, despite current market fluctuations.
Despite short-term volatility, the digital economy and AI demand are accelerating, making Amazon a compelling buy due to its growth potential and improving margins.

explicit
AI impact on tech employment down
yields
"I think it makes it even more likely that they're going to cut in September. We have had a series of 25 basis point cuts in September, October, December."
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Jan Hatzius (90)
(90) Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius: Today's jobs report makes it more likely Fed will cut in September
US Labor; Fed
8/1/2025 3:12:49 PM
Jan Hatzius discusses the current labor market conditions, the likelihood of Fed rate cuts, and the impact of AI on employment.
The economy is growing slowly, with downside risks in the labor market, and potential Fed rate cuts are likely in response to recent data.
The labor market is showing signs of slowing growth, and the Fed may need to adjust rates to return to neutral territory, especially if consumer spending does not pick up.

inferred

inferred
5-10 year Treasuries down
  • 10 year Treasury → 4
Ironsides Macroeconomics (60)
Investment Research Firm
Barry Knapp (80)
(90) Knapp: Economy "Very Weak" Right Now, Could See 100BP in Cuts This Year
8/2/2025 2:00:02 PM
Barry Knapp critiques the Fed's understanding of the labor market and inflation, predicting a 50 basis point cut in September while emphasizing the need for a shift in economic focus from government spending to capital investment.
The Fed's current policies are misaligned with economic realities, leading to a potential growth scare and necessitating a shift in focus towards capital investment.
The Fed's misunderstanding of inflation and employment dynamics, combined with a weak economy and the need for easing, will lead to lower Treasury yields and a better outlook for the economy.

implicit

explicit
  • S&P500 → 7100
ndx
Reinstated his S&P year end target of 7100. We have a Fed that will cut rates, and markets like earnings and revenue growth.
Oppenheimer (80)
Wealth Manager $118.00B
John Stoltzfus (80)
(90) Tariffs are never an easy thing to digest, says Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus
S&P 500
8/1/2025 6:34:50 PM
John Stoltzfus maintains a bullish S&P 500 year-end target of 7100, citing strong earnings growth and potential Fed rate cuts as key factors.
Stoltzfus emphasizes the importance of revenue and earnings growth, alongside the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts, in shaping market outlook.
Stoltzfus believes that the market will respond positively to earnings growth and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, despite current volatility in jobs data and geopolitical risks.

inferred
  • S&P500 → 7100
Oppenheimer (80)
Wealth Manager $118.00B
John Stoltzfus (80)
(90) Fed has increased likelihood to cut rates in September now, says Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus
8/1/2025 5:47:08 PM
John Stoltzfus remains bullish on the market despite economic concerns, reinstating a year-end S&P target of 7100, citing trade negotiations and earnings growth.
Stoltzfus emphasizes the importance of revenue and earnings growth, alongside the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Stoltzfus believes that the market will respond positively to revenue and earnings growth, and that the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates, which will support market performance.

inferred

inferred

inferred
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (90)
Central Bank
Raphael Bostic (70)
(80) Weak jobs data and new tariffs weigh on stocks
8/1/2025 5:07:49 PM
The recent jobs report indicates economic weakness, leading to increased expectations for a Fed rate cut in September, despite a resilient economy overall.
The labor market shows signs of weakness, which could prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts, impacting market sentiment.
The jobs report undershot expectations, indicating more economic weakness than previously thought, which could lead to a Fed rate cut to support the economy.
AI adoption sharp up
  • S&P500 → 7000
JP Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Abby Yoder (80)
(90) Investors are looking past an economic slowdown and focusing on secular growers, says JPM's Yoder
7/31/2025 9:27:26 PM
The market is experiencing a strong rally driven by solid fundamentals, with expectations for growth despite potential economic slowdowns. Key sectors to watch are utilities, financials, and technology.
The market is looking past a temporary economic slowdown, focusing on long-term growth driven by AI and policy clarity.
The market is resilient and looking towards increased AI adoption across industries, which will drive revenue growth and improve margins.

inferred

inferred
yields
We are seeing a huge drop in short-term yields, especially the two-year Treasury yield dropping 27 basis points, the biggest plunge since early 2023; bond investors are rallying at the front end in response to weakening labor market data and increasing odds of a Fed rate cut in September. The jobs data revised downward significantly indicates a weakening labor market, pushing investors to expect a rate cut imminently, leading to a sharp drop in short-term yields as reflected in the front-end Treasury market.
Ironsides Macroeconomics (60)
Investment Research Firm
Barry Knapp (90)
(90) S&P Slides After Weak Jobs Data, Signaling a Weakening US Labor Market | The Close 8/1/2025
S&P 500; US Labor Market
8/1/2025 11:32:09 PM
The U.S. labor market is showing signs of weakness, prompting expectations for a Fed rate cut in September. The recent jobs report revisions have raised concerns about the accuracy of economic data.
The labor market is weakening, with significant downward revisions in job numbers, leading to increased expectations for a Fed rate cut.
The revisions in job numbers indicate a flawed economic model, leading to expectations that the Fed will need to cut rates to address the weakening labor market.

inferred
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jamie Dimon (90)
(80) Fed independence historically keeps interest rates lower, says JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon
U.S. economy; Federal Reserve
7/31/2025 10:10:12 PM
Jamie Dimon discusses the Fed's independence, potential rate cuts, and the impact of AI and regulation on growth.
Dimon believes the Fed will likely cut rates soon if inflation continues to decrease and the economy remains stable. He sees AI and regulatory reform as key drivers for growth.
Dimon emphasizes the importance of the Fed's independence for maintaining lower interest rates and suggests that a stable economy with decreasing inflation could lead to rate cuts.

explicit
crypto cautious up
  • S&P500 → 6700
ndx
we think that tech and those secular growth stories are really the powerhouse here Microsoft and Meta strong earnings and continued CapEx growth driven by AI indicate tech will lead market higher
UBS (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Nadia Lovell (90)
(85) Stay up in quality on secular growth stories, says UBS' Nadia Lovell
7/31/2025 5:47:19 PM
Nadia Lovell from UBS believes tech will continue to drive market growth, with a focus on selective investments in secular growth stories, particularly in AI and CapEx spending.
Tech remains a powerhouse with strong earnings and growth momentum, particularly in AI and CapEx spending.
Tech is where the growth momentum is, driven by increased CapEx spending and strong earnings from major companies.

inferred
  • S&P500 → 7400
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)
(90) Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson: The earnings story looks pretty good in 2026
7/31/2025 1:23:44 PM
Mike Wilson discusses the resilience of earnings and the potential for the S&P 500 to reach 7400, driven by strong performance from mega-cap companies and a recovery in earnings revisions.
Earnings are expected to improve significantly, particularly for large companies, while smaller firms may struggle due to higher rates and tariff issues.
The market has already discounted past issues, and earnings revisions are showing a V-shaped recovery, suggesting that the S&P 500 could rise significantly based on improved earnings forecasts.

inferred

inferred

inferred
gold sharp up
  • gold → 3500
World Gold Council (59)
Policy Institute
Joseph K Cavaton (90)
(90) $132 Billion in Gold Bought... But Who’s Really Buying? | Joseph Cavatoni
Gold
8/1/2025 7:17:18 PM
Gold demand remains strong despite a decline in jewelry purchases, with significant ETF inflows and central bank accumulation. Economic conditions are supportive of gold prices, especially with potential rate cuts on the horizon.
The gold market is experiencing a shift in demand dynamics, with institutional and central bank buying increasing while retail demand, particularly in jewelry, is declining.
The economic outlook is supportive for gold prices, especially with anticipated rate cuts and a weakening dollar, which could drive further investment into gold.

inferred
private credit cautious
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jamie Dimon (90)
(80) The 'Halftime' Committee debate JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's private credit stance
7/31/2025 5:20:45 PM
Jamie Dimon discusses the importance of Fed independence, potential rate cuts, and the evolving landscape of private credit.
Dimon suggests that the Fed may cut rates soon if inflation continues to decrease and the economy remains stable.
Dimon believes that the Fed's independence is crucial for maintaining lower interest rates and that a stable economy with decreasing inflation could lead to rate cuts.

explicit
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Lori Calvasina (90)
(85) RBC Capital Markets' Calvasina: If you look at valuations modeling, market is way over its skiis
7/31/2025 3:07:04 PM
Lori Calvasina expresses caution about the market's current valuation and growth expectations, despite strong performances from major tech companies.
The market is experiencing record highs, but underlying economic indicators suggest caution due to low GDP growth and potential tariff impacts.
Despite strong earnings from major tech companies, overall market valuations appear stretched given the current economic backdrop, and there are concerns about future demand and potential tariff impacts.

inferred

inferred
Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Joe Mazzola (80)
(80) Significance of FOMC Rate Pause, Tariff Prices Weighing on Earnings
7/31/2025 8:16:40 PM
Joe Mazzola discusses the Fed's hawkish tone and its implications for rate cuts, job data, and corporate earnings.
The Fed's recent statements suggest a lower likelihood of rate cuts in the near term, reflecting a resilient economy.
The Fed's shift in language indicates a need for convincing evidence before considering rate cuts, reflecting a strong economy and stable earnings growth.