explicit

inferred
JPMorgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
David Kelly (90)
(85) Tax Refunds Will Trigger Inflation Next Year, Kelly Says
8/12/2025 1:29:28 PM
David Kelly discusses persistent inflation driven by fiscal stimulus and tariffs, predicting Fed rate cuts despite rising inflation.
Inflation is expected to remain above 3% due to fiscal stimulus and tariff impacts, with potential Fed rate cuts not aligning with inflation trends.
Inflation is being sustained by fiscal stimulus and tariff increases, leading to a potential surge in consumer spending and second-round inflation effects.

explicit

implicit

explicit

explicit

explicit
UBS (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Paul Donovan (90)
(85) US-China Trade Truce Extended; China Urges Firms to Avoid Nvidia Chips | Bloomberg Brief 8/12/2025
US; China
8/12/2025 11:26:32 AM
Market sentiment is cautious ahead of CPI data, with concerns about sticky inflation and its impact on consumer behavior and corporate pricing strategies.
The discussion highlights the complexities of inflation dynamics, particularly in relation to tariffs and consumer spending, suggesting a cautious outlook for the economy.
The market is facing potential inflationary pressures from tariffs and consumer behavior, leading to a cautious outlook on growth and pricing strategies.

explicit

implicit
Norges Bank Investment Management (90)
Asset Manager $1500.00B
Nicolai Tangen (90)
(85) Norway’s Wealth Fund Has Best Quarter Since 2023
8/12/2025 10:49:40 AM
Nicolai Tangen expresses cautious optimism about market returns, highlighting concerns over inflation and geopolitical risks, while emphasizing the importance of diversification and long-term investment strategies.
Tangen notes the strong earnings growth in the US tech sector but remains cautious due to geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures.
Tangen emphasizes the need for caution due to sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and the importance of a diversified long-term investment strategy in the current market environment.

explicit

implicit

explicit
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
James Bullard (70)
(80) Former St. Louis Fed Pres. Jim Bullard: The Fed could cut 100 basis points in the next year
8/12/2025 1:25:35 PM
James Bullard discusses potential interest rate cuts and the importance of maintaining dollar stability while addressing inflation risks.
Bullard emphasizes the need for low and stable inflation and suggests that the Fed may cut rates in the near future.
Bullard believes that the Fed's focus should be on maintaining low inflation and dollar stability, which may lead to interest rate cuts in the near future.

inferred

inferred

inferred
  • S&P500 → 6500
UBS Global Wealth Management (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Brenda O'Connor Juanas (90)
(85) Stock Rally Stalls Ahead of CPI Inflation Report | The Close 8/11/2025
8/11/2025 10:54:41 PM
Brenda O'Connor Juanas from UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 6500 by next June, citing steady earnings guidance and potential tailwinds from tax-related factors.
The market is currently treading water ahead of key inflation data, with mixed sentiments about valuations and potential economic headwinds.
The market is experiencing a mix of optimism and caution, with earnings revisions being minimal and guidance remaining steady, while potential tax breaks and rate cuts could act as tailwinds.

explicit

implicit
ndx
higher growth and upward revisions for NVIDIA and AMD
Mizuho Securities USA (90)
Investment Bank $2100.00B
Jordan Klein (90)
(85) US Extends China Truce, Open to Scaled-Back Blackwell Sales | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 8/11/2025
NVDA
8/11/2025 8:39:22 PM
Jordan Klein discusses the implications of AMD and NVIDIA's revenue sharing agreement with the US government on their Chinese sales, viewing it as a positive development for future revenue growth despite government intervention.
Klein believes that receiving 85% of revenue from Chinese sales is better than losing it entirely, and this arrangement could lead to higher growth and upward revisions in forecasts for AMD and NVIDIA.

explicit

implicit
  • S&P500 → 6600
Citi (95)
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Drew Pettit (90)
(80) Pettit: Fed cut and steady data could push the market higher
8/11/2025 1:25:34 PM
Drew Pettit from Citi discusses the potential for the market to push higher with a Fed cut and stable economic data, while expressing a cautious short-term outlook.
The market is currently near record highs, with a need for lower interest rates and stable economic data to drive further growth.
The market needs lower interest rates without economic deterioration to continue its upward trajectory, while sentiment remains high.

explicit

explicit

explicit

implicit
lithium sharp up
  • lithium → 100000
metals
John Woods mentioned sharp increases in lithium due to supply constraints, leading to potential sharp ups in the metals market short term.
Lombard Odier (70)
Private Equity
John Woods (90)
(85) Nvidia, AMD to Pay US 15% of China AI Chip Sales | The China Show 8/11/2025
8/11/2025 4:12:22 AM
Market sentiment is cautious as traders await key US and Chinese data, with a focus on inflation and earnings, particularly in the lithium sector.
The ongoing anti-evolution campaign in China aims to curb excessive competition and stabilize prices, which may impact growth and consumption.
The market is reacting to potential supply cuts in lithium due to regulatory scrutiny, which could lead to price increases amid a backdrop of cautious economic growth.

explicit
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Helima Croft (90)
(85) Europe has authority and discretion over when sanctions come off Russia, says RBC's Helima Croft
8/8/2025 7:13:17 PM
Oil prices are currently range bound and down due to uncertainty around US-Russia negotiations and European sanctions.
The dynamics of US-Russia talks and European sanctions are crucial in determining the future of oil prices.
The uncertainty surrounding US-Russia negotiations and the role of European sanctions are keeping oil prices down and range bound.

explicit
  • gold → 3600
metals
Gold prices spiked sharply higher in the New York ComX this morning. CPM Group has been projecting for its clients that the price would touch 3,500 in August or September and would probably get up to 3,600 in September or October with higher prices later in the year and into 2026.
CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (90)
(85) Silver Default EXPLAINED: Why a Gold Price Reset Won't Happen
gold; silver
8/8/2025 5:04:49 PM
Jeffrey Christian discusses the current state of silver and gold markets, debunking myths about silver deficits and the likelihood of a COMEX silver default, while projecting higher gold prices in the near future.
The analysis highlights the absence of a silver deficit and the dynamics of the gold market, emphasizing the importance of accurate market information for investors.
The current economic and political environment, along with market dynamics, suggest that gold prices will rise, while misconceptions about silver deficits hinder effective investment strategies.
small caps cautious down
J.P. Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Abby Yoder (90)
(85) S&P Drops as Jobless Claims Climb to Three Year High | The Close 8/7/2025
8/7/2025 11:04:22 PM
Abby Yoder discusses the disconnect between the economy and the stock market, highlighting concerns about small-cap performance and the impact of interest rates on growth.
The economy is showing signs of slowing growth, particularly in small caps, while large-cap tech continues to thrive.
The labor market is showing signs of weakness, and small-cap companies are struggling due to high interest rates and a challenging economic environment.

explicit
Centerview Partners (70)
Investment Bank
Blair Effron (90)
(85) Entry-Level Jobs at Risk, Tariffs & Textile Companies, Powering Data Centers | Wall Street Week
8/8/2025 11:18:25 PM
Blair Effron discusses the impact of AI on employment and the economy, expressing concerns about job losses while remaining optimistic about long-term benefits.
Effron highlights the dual nature of AI's impact, with potential job losses in the short term but overall progress in the long run.
AI is a significant technological advancement that will improve productivity in the long run, but it poses immediate risks to employment that need to be addressed.

inferred

implicit

inferred

implicit
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Chris Waller (85)
(80) Trump Eyes Waller For Next Fed Chair | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade, 8/8/25
8/8/2025 3:16:39 AM
Concerns over U.S. trade policies and Fed leadership are impacting market sentiment, with potential implications for interest rates and economic growth.
The Fed's potential shift towards a more dovish stance under new leadership could influence market dynamics, especially in light of trade uncertainties.
The Fed's leadership changes and trade policy uncertainties are creating a cautious environment for markets, with implications for interest rates and economic growth.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

implicit
semiconductors sharp up
J.P. Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Nandini Ramakrishnan (85)
(90) Tariffs Take Effect; Fed Officials Voice Concern Over Labor Market | Bloomberg Brief 8/7/2025
8/7/2025 11:46:56 AM
President Trump's new tariffs are impacting global trade, particularly affecting India and Switzerland with high rates, while U.S. chipmakers benefit from exemptions.
The tariffs are expected to have significant implications for the U.S. economy and global trade flows, with a potential rise in inflation as a result.
The tariffs are expected to create competitive disadvantages for countries like India and Switzerland while benefiting U.S. companies that invest domestically, potentially leading to a reorganization of global supply chains.

explicit
high beta stocks cautious down
  • S&P500 → 5800
JP Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jason Hunter (90)
(80) Investors should react aggressively if market breaks $6,150, says JPMorgan's Jason Hunter
8/7/2025 8:07:17 PM
Stocks are in an uptrend but risks are emerging as we approach September, which is typically a weaker month for markets. Key support levels are being monitored.
The market is currently resilient but may face challenges as it enters a historically weaker period. Attention is on the performance of high beta stocks and potential rotation to quality.
The market is currently above key support levels, but as we approach September, historical trends suggest potential weakness. Monitoring internals and sector rotations will be crucial.

explicit

explicit
equities up
ndx
So I think that's normal. I expect it to we've said that third quarter. We think this is the best chance we could have for some correction or moderation, if you will. But I want to be very clear, it's still early in the new bull market.
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)
(85) Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson: We're In a New Bull Market
US equities
8/7/2025 2:16:29 PM
The speaker believes we are in a new bull market following a three-year rolling recession, with expectations of volatility and corrections but overall positive growth.
The speaker suggests that the bear market ended in April, and we are now in a new bull market characterized by positive earnings revisions and supportive fiscal and monetary policies.
The speaker believes that the end of the recession in April marked the beginning of a new bull market, supported by positive earnings revisions and favorable fiscal and monetary policies.

explicit
semiconductors cautious down
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)
(80) President Trump Urges Intel CEO to "Resign, Immediately" | Open Interest 8/7/2025
US markets
8/7/2025 6:36:58 PM
Markets are reacting cautiously to President Trump's proposed tariffs on semiconductors, with mixed earnings reports influencing sentiment.
The market is experiencing volatility due to tariff announcements and mixed corporate earnings, with a focus on the semiconductor sector.
The market is adjusting to the potential impact of tariffs on semiconductor imports and the mixed earnings reports from major companies, indicating a cautious outlook.

explicit

explicit
utilities cautious down
ndx
We still are big believers in the tech story. The AI story is only gaining momentum.
J.P. Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Stephen Paccar (90)
(80) We're setting ourselves up for a growth recovery in 2026, says JPMorgan's Stephen Parker
8/7/2025 1:17:53 PM
Stephen Paccar discusses a slowdown in the economy but anticipates a growth recovery next year, emphasizing the strength of tech and utilities sectors.
Paccar believes the economy will slow down but not enter a recession, with a recovery expected next year driven by AI and power demand.
Paccar believes that the current economic slowdown is temporary and that sectors like tech and utilities will benefit from AI-driven demand and deregulation, leading to a recovery.

explicit

implicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)
(80) Squawk Pod: Disney’s Hugh Johnston & Minneapolis Fed’s Neel Kashkari - 08/06/25 | Audio Only
8/7/2025 4:17:58 PM
Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, potential interest rate cuts, and the uncertain impact of tariffs on inflation.
The economy is showing signs of slowing, with inflation pressures potentially influenced by tariffs, but the ultimate effects remain unclear.
The economy is slowing, and while tariffs may impact inflation, their effects are uncertain, necessitating a cautious approach to interest rates.

explicit

inferred
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (80)
(90) Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Interest Rates, Labor Market Data & the Federal Reserve
Interest Rates; Labor Market
8/7/2025 11:21:54 AM
Jim Bianco discusses potential Fed policy errors and the implications of labor market statistics on interest rates and economic growth.
Bianco argues that the Fed's push to cut rates may be unnecessary and could lead to inflation and higher long-term yields, especially given the current labor market dynamics and lack of population growth.
Bianco believes that the Fed's approach to interest rates is misguided, as it does not account for the current economic conditions, including stagnant population growth and the actual job creation needs of the economy.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
inflation cautious down
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (90)
(90) Fed stays on hold with Powell warning: “We’re trying to get the timing right”
8/6/2025 8:09:06 PM
The economy shows solid labor market conditions but moderated growth; the Fed maintains interest rates while monitoring inflation and employment data.
The Fed is cautious about adjusting interest rates, balancing inflation risks with labor market stability.
The Fed is balancing the need to control inflation with the stability of the labor market, indicating a cautious approach to future rate adjustments.

explicit
financials cautious down
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Lori Calvasina (90)
(80) Expect choppy market conditions in back half of the year, says RBC's Lori Calvasina
US markets
8/6/2025 9:10:24 PM
Market may face seasonal weakness in the fall despite strong earnings; focus on consumer health and financials.
The market has recovered significantly since April, but uncertainty around tariffs and consumer behavior may lead to a rocky fall.
The market has rallied significantly, but seasonal trends and consumer stress signals suggest potential weakness ahead.

explicit

explicit

implicit
US economy cautious down
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Jim O'Neill (90)
(80) Former UK Treasury Minister Jim O'Neill: India tariffs have 'all sorts of big picture' implications
8/6/2025 4:05:41 PM
Jim O'Neill discusses the impact of tariffs on the US economy and the uncertainty surrounding it, suggesting that the current market optimism may not be sustainable.
O'Neill highlights the potential negative effects of tariffs on real incomes and inflation, while noting the current strong bond and equity markets may not last.
O'Neill argues that the imposition of tariffs will likely lead to increased import prices, affecting consumer prices and real incomes, which could slow the economy.

explicit

explicit
JP Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Kim Crawford (90)
(85) OpenAI Eyes $500 Billion Valuation in Share Sale Talks | The Pulse 8/06/2025
8/6/2025 10:15:17 AM
The labor market is slowing, leading to potential Fed rate cuts, while tariff uncertainties remain a concern for market stability.
The labor market data indicates a slowdown, which could influence the Fed's decision on rate cuts. Tariff threats from Trump add to market volatility.
The labor market is showing signs of slowing, which could lead to a Fed rate cut. Tariff uncertainties are complicating the economic outlook.

explicit
yields
it's now time to cut rates The economy has slowed, and the Fed needs to respond to economic data.
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Neil Qashqari (70)
(80) Fed's Kashkari sees first rate cut in September, two rate cuts this year
8/6/2025 6:53:28 PM
Minneapolis President Neil Qashqari advocates for rate cuts due to economic slowdown.
Qashqari emphasizes the need for the Fed to respond to economic data and suggests that inflation impacts from tariffs may take time to materialize.
The economy has slowed, and the Fed needs to cut rates in response to economic data.

explicit
S&P500 cautious down
  • S&P500 → 6050
  • S&P500 → 6600
ndx
big Tech has blown through the numbers... It's outside of tech especially Bitcoin.
Barclays (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Vishnu Krishna (90)
(80) There's clear sector bifurcation in earnings, says Barclays' Venu Krishna
8/6/2025 6:12:58 PM
Earnings season shows strong results, particularly in big tech, but caution is advised for the short term due to potential market choppiness.
The earnings growth is better than average, with big tech outperforming, but there are concerns about margin pressures in other sectors.
The current earnings season shows strong results, especially in big tech, but there are concerns about margin pressures in other sectors. The outlook for next year is optimistic with expected earnings growth despite current policy uncertainties.

explicit

explicit

explicit
interest rates cautious down
Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)
(85) Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari: Two cuts this year 'still seem reasonable to me'
8/6/2025 1:32:08 PM
Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the potential for rate cuts by the Fed.
Kashkari emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their effects on inflation, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust rates based on incoming data.
Kashkari believes the economy is slowing and that the Fed may need to respond with rate cuts, but the uncertainty around tariffs complicates the decision-making process.

explicit

explicit

explicit
tariffs cautious down
Minneapolis Fed (90)
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari (70)
(85) Watch CNBC's full interview with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari
8/6/2025 1:30:01 PM
Neel Kashkari discusses the slowing economy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the potential for rate cuts by the Fed.
Kashkari emphasizes the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their effects on inflation, suggesting that the Fed may need to adjust rates based on incoming data.
Kashkari believes the economy is slowing and that the Fed may need to respond to this with rate cuts, while also considering the uncertain impact of tariffs on inflation.
  • S&P500 → 6600
  • S&P500 → 7000
  • Ethereum → 16000
Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(85) Ethereum is having its bitcoin 2017 moment again, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
8/6/2025 6:18:50 PM
Tom Lee believes Bitcoin is a leading indicator for the S&P 500, predicting a significant upside move for the index, potentially reaching 6600 soon and 7000 by year-end, driven by economic resilience and a dovish Fed pivot.
Lee emphasizes the strengthening economy and bearish sentiment as key factors for market movement, alongside the potential for Ethereum to replicate Bitcoin's past performance.
Bitcoin's historical performance as a leading indicator for the S&P 500 suggests a significant upside move is imminent, supported by economic resilience and a potential dovish pivot from the Fed.

explicit

explicit

explicit
  • S&P500 → 4500
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jack Caffrey (90)
(85) Bloomberg Surveillance 8/5/2025
8/5/2025 3:19:07 PM
Markets are buoyed by strong tech earnings and expectations of rate cuts, despite concerns over tariffs and economic uncertainty.
The labor market shows signs of weakness, but tech companies are thriving, particularly due to AI advancements.
The market is reacting positively to strong earnings from tech companies, particularly in AI, while concerns about tariffs and economic data revisions create a cautious backdrop.

explicit
  • S&P500 → 6600
  • S&P500 → 6900
ndx
The expectation for the S&P (which includes the Nasdaq 100) is around 5% up by the end of the year and almost 10% over 12 months, reflecting earnings growth of around 7% this year and next year.
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
David Kostin (90)
(85) Goldman Sachs' David Kostin: Large percentage topline index return is coming from big tech
8/5/2025 3:04:18 PM
David Kostin discusses the strong earnings growth of major tech companies and its positive impact on the market, while highlighting concerns about tariffs and inflation.
The earnings season has shown positive surprises, particularly from major tech companies, which are expected to drive market growth despite economic challenges.
The strong earnings growth from major tech companies is expected to support market performance, despite underlying economic challenges such as inflation and tariffs.

explicit

explicit
ndx
I think that the next leg of this bull market's going to come from a broadening out beyond just the AI story.
yields
Well, interest rates are going lower. That's all we need to know. So if you're overweight in cash, you're getting a pay cut.
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Sherry Paul (90)
(85) Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Next leg of bull market will come from broadening out beyond AI story
8/5/2025 7:59:28 PM
The bull market remains intact, with opportunities in AI, deglobalization, and industrials, while interest rates are expected to decline.
The interaction of AI, deglobalization, and deregulation is creating new investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like materials and industrials.
The market is forward-looking, and while the economy may lag, the bull market driven by AI and deglobalization themes is set to continue, with interest rates expected to decline.

implicit

implicit
high-quality stocks up
Travelers (80)
Insurance Company
Adam Parker (80)
(90) Trivariate's Adam Parker: Consensus view is we will get a market pullback on tariff-related fears
8/5/2025 7:46:36 PM
Adam Parker believes that dips in the market should be bought, as he sees potential for earnings growth and a resilient consumer despite concerns about a growth scare.
Parker suggests that the market may be taking a breather but is generally optimistic about earnings growth and consumer resilience, indicating a preference for high-quality stocks.
Parker believes that the market is positioned for earnings growth and that institutional investors will buy high-quality stocks on dips, despite potential concerns about a growth scare.

explicit

implicit
crypto cautious down
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(90) Jim Bianco on Why Zero Rates and Money Printing Are Gone for Good
8/5/2025 4:56:20 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the current economic cycle, the implications of low job growth, and the potential for inflation and interest rate changes.
Bianco emphasizes that the economy is in a different cycle characterized by low job growth, changing demographics, and persistent inflation, which will affect monetary policy.
Bianco argues that the reliance on surveys for economic data is flawed and that the current low job growth is not indicative of a recession but rather a demographic issue. He believes that inflation will persist and that the Fed's response to low job growth could exacerbate inflationary pressures.

explicit
gold sharp up
  • gold → 3500
  • silver → 40
metals
we continue to expect higher gold prices over the course of this year into next year because we don't see those political and economic factors changing Strong investment demand driven by economic and political uncertainty is keeping gold and silver prices elevated, and open interest data shows market participants expect high and volatile prices to continue through the medium term.
CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (90)
(90) A Secret Plan To Reset The Gold Price? What Investors Need To Know
Gold; Silver; Platinum; Palladium
8/5/2025 4:24:42 PM
Jeffrey Christian discusses the current state of gold and silver markets, emphasizing strong investment demand and expectations for higher prices due to ongoing economic and political uncertainties.
The macro environment is characterized by high investment demand for gold and silver, driven by concerns over personal wealth and economic stability, leading to expectations of rising prices.
The ongoing economic and political uncertainties are driving strong investment demand for gold and silver, which is expected to keep prices elevated.

implicit

implicit
  • Palantir → 165
Mizuho (90)
Investment Bank $2100.00B
Gregg Moskowitz (80)
(85) Mizuho's Gregg Moskowitz on Palantir earnings: Pretty remarkable growth given revenue totals
8/5/2025 11:43:14 AM
Palantir's revenue growth is accelerating, with a 48% year-over-year increase, and the company is revising its guidance significantly upwards, but its high valuation poses a challenge.
Palantir is experiencing strong revenue growth and demand for its AI software, but its high valuation multiples compared to peers raise questions about future price sustainability.

explicit

implicit

explicit

inferred

implicit
natural gas down
BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Stephen LaPaly (90)
(90) S&P 500 Rallies Since May as Traders Sift Through Results | The Close 8/4/2025
8/4/2025 11:33:26 PM
The market is recovering from last week's selloff, with cautious optimism about rate cuts and a focus on managing risks in equities and fixed income.
Investors are advised to maintain a resilient bond portfolio while being cautious in equities due to potential economic slowdowns and policy changes.
The market's recovery is influenced by expectations of rate cuts and the need for risk management in a volatile environment.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
credit cautious down
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Andrew Sheets (90)
(80) Stocks Extend Rebound on Earnings; Trump Vows to Ramp Up India Tariffs | Bloomberg Brief 8/5/2025
US equities; commodities
8/5/2025 11:12:54 AM
Andrew Sheets discusses the potential for economic challenges ahead, with inflation expected to rise and growth to decelerate, impacting Fed rate cut expectations.
The upcoming months may present a more challenging economic landscape, with inflation ticking up and growth slowing, which could affect Fed decisions on rate cuts.
The mix of economic data is expected to shift, with inflation rising and growth slowing, which complicates the Fed's decision-making process regarding rate cuts.

explicit

implicit

implicit

inferred

implicit
Swiss equities cautious down
J Safra Sarasin (80)
Asset Manager
Wolf von Rotberg (80)
(90) Trump Plans to Increase India Tariffs, Escalating Trade Spat Over Russia | The Pulse 8/05/2025
US-India trade; Oil
8/5/2025 10:00:26 AM
Concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on economic growth are influencing market sentiment, particularly in Europe, while the U.S. equity market remains resilient due to strong tech performance.
The ongoing geopolitical tensions and tariff implementations are expected to create inflationary pressures and affect economic growth, particularly in the U.S. and Europe.
The market is currently priced for perfection, but there are signs of economic weakening, particularly in consumer data and labor market trends, which could lead to a consolidation phase in equities.

explicit
yields
"the probability the fed cutting in September has gone up"; "there are now five rate cuts priced in between now and the end of the year, end of next year"; "markets are thinking, okay, the Fed's going to get down to 3% raise"; "long term rate can come down a little bit"
JPMorgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
David Kelly (90)
(85) We have a healthy 'tortoise' of an economy, says JPMorgan's David Kelly
8/4/2025 8:59:32 PM
David Kelly discusses the importance of earnings in the context of economic data, suggesting a healthy economy with potential for interest rate cuts.
The economy is moving forward despite some weaknesses, with a possibility of interest rate cuts.
The economy is showing signs of stability with potential for interest rate cuts, which could lead to lower long-term rates.
Bank of America (95)
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Chris Hyzy (90)
(85) Buy on weakness as earnings continue to shock to upside, says Bank of America's Chris Hyzy
8/4/2025 8:18:05 PM
The market is in a powerful uptrend, but volatility is expected as we move through August. Profit estimates are rising, and buying on weakness is recommended.
The market is threading a fine line between weak job data allowing for rate cuts and maintaining growth without cutting GDP or earnings estimates.
The market is experiencing a strong rally with rising profit estimates, and while volatility is expected, the strategy is to buy on weakness as companies continue to report better-than-expected earnings.

explicit
Allianz (95)
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian (90)
(85) Mohamed El-Erian: Should not undermine BLS' integrity by firing its chief
8/4/2025 7:07:02 PM
Mohamed El-Erian discusses the implications of the BLS chief's firing and the integrity of economic data, highlighting concerns about institutional integrity and macroeconomic signals.
El-Erian emphasizes the importance of institutional integrity in economic data collection and the potential consequences of political interference.
The firing of the BLS chief undermines institutional integrity and signals potential issues with economic data, which could lead to misinterpretations of the economic situation.

implicit

implicit
DoubleLine Capital (90)
Asset Manager $130.00B
Jeffrey Gundlach (90)
(85) DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach: Economic data is becoming much less reliable
8/4/2025 8:41:20 PM
Jeffrey Gundlach discusses the implications of recent economic data and the Fed's potential interest rate cuts, expressing skepticism about the reliability of job reports and inflation data.
Gundlach highlights concerns over the reliability of economic data and suggests that the Fed may need to cut rates due to recent job report revisions.
The Fed is likely to cut rates due to unreliable economic data and significant revisions in job reports, with a potential for two rate cuts this year.

explicit
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Joyce Chang (90)
(85) The worst of the tariffs is still yet to come, says JPMorgan's Joyce Chang
8/4/2025 3:25:28 PM
Joyce Chang discusses the impact of tariffs on the economy, indicating that the worst effects are yet to be felt due to front loading and rising tariff levels.
The anticipated economic impact of tariffs is significant, with expectations of further increases in tariff levels.
The worst effects of tariffs are still to come due to significant front loading and higher than expected tariff levels.

implicit

implicit
Jefferies (70)
Investment Bank $57.00B
David Zervos (90)
(85) Fed is ‘inherently inside the swamp and is political,’ says Jefferies’ David Zervos
8/5/2025 3:56:01 PM
David Zervos discusses the political influences on the Fed and suggests that current economic data indicates a need for significant rate cuts.
Zervos believes that the Fed's independence is compromised by political pressures and that recent economic data points to a more restrictive policy than previously thought.
The current economic data suggests that policy is more restrictive than previously thought, leading to a strong case for significant rate cuts.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
Bitcoin sharp up
JP Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Travis Spence (90)
(80) Ether Suddenly On A Tear | ETF IQ 8/4/2025
Ether; ETFs
8/4/2025 5:29:48 PM
Active management is gaining traction as investors buy the dip, with significant inflows into ETFs, particularly in fixed income and active strategies.
The market is seeing a strong dip-buying behavior, especially among retail investors, while professional managers are focusing on active management to outperform indices.
Investors are increasingly looking for active management strategies to navigate market volatility and capitalize on opportunities, particularly in the ETF space.

explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

implicit
interest rates cautious down
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(90) Jim Bianco explains Fiscal Dominance & Why Rate Cuts Fail with Charles Payne
8/4/2025 6:50:09 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the inadequacies of current economic data collection methods and the implications for monetary policy, emphasizing the need for real-time data over surveys.
Bianco critiques the reliance on outdated survey methods for economic data, advocating for real-time data collection to better inform monetary policy decisions.
Bianco argues that the current economic data collection methods are flawed and lead to significant revisions, which misinform monetary policy. He suggests using real-time data to better assess the labor market and inflation.

inferred
J.P. Morgan Asset Management (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Kelsey Barrows (80)
(80) Slowing labor demand will lead the Fed to deliver rate cuts later this year: JPMorgan's Kelsey Berro
8/4/2025 11:03:40 AM
Kelsey Barrows discusses the moderating labor market, the potential for Fed rate cuts, and the current state of the yield curve.
The labor market is slowing, but no imminent recession is expected. The Fed may deliver rate cuts later this year.
The labor market is moderating, and the Fed is likely to cut rates later this year based on the data trends.

explicit

implicit

implicit
stock market up
Wisdomtree (80)
Asset Manager $111.00B
Jeremy Siegel (90)
(90) Wharton's Jeremy Siegel: There would've been a July rate cut had we known about the weak jobs data
8/4/2025 12:39:14 PM
Jeremy Siegel discusses the implications of weak jobs data on monetary policy and the stock market, emphasizing the need for better data collection by the BLS.
Siegel believes that the weak jobs data could lead to rate cuts and that the stock market may still trend upwards despite potential economic headwinds.
Siegel argues that the weak jobs data indicates a need for a more responsive monetary policy and that the market can still thrive if productivity increases through AI.

implicit

inferred
short-term yields sharp down
Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Colin Martin (80)
(80) Labor Market Instability Ramps Up Fed Rate Cut Odds
8/4/2025 8:25:39 PM
Colin Martin discusses the potential for a Fed rate cut in September due to labor market weakness, with expectations for short-term yields to fall more than long-term yields.
The labor market's stability is in question, and if weakness continues, it could lead to a Fed rate cut, impacting short-term yields more significantly than long-term yields.
The labor market is showing signs of weakness, which could lead to a Fed rate cut. Short-term yields are expected to be more sensitive to these changes than long-term yields.

explicit
S&P500 sharp up
  • S&P500 → 7000
ndx
I think we're going to rally pretty strongly in August. So, I think yeah, I think we can get back to 65 or get to 65 6600 all-time highs this in the next couple weeks and then uh 7,000 in the next 12 months. Above that. Yeah, probably well above that next. Well above that. Yeah.
Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(85) Expect the S&P 500 to reach new all-time highs in August, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
S&P 500
8/4/2025 7:55:29 PM
Tom Lee expects a strong rally in the markets, predicting a return to all-time highs soon and further growth over the next year.
Lee highlights that inflation is mild and suggests that if the Fed were to act like the ECB, they would be cutting rates.
Inflation is mild, and if the Fed were to act like the ECB, they would be cutting rates, which supports a strong market rally.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
Ethereum up
  • S&P500 → 7000
ndx
I think we're going to rally pretty strongly in August. So I think yeah, I think we can get back to 65 or get to 65, 60, 600 all time highs this in the next couple of weeks. And then 7000 in the next 12 months above that.
Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(90) Expect the S&P 500 to reach new all-time highs in August, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
S&P 500
8/4/2025 1:19:52 PM
Tom Lee remains bullish on the markets despite recent consolidation, anticipating a dovish pivot from the Fed and a strong rally in August.
Lee believes the economy is slowing but sees a positive setup for the markets, particularly with potential Fed stimulus aimed at the housing market.
Lee believes the Fed will pivot dovishly, which will stimulate the housing market and support a market rally, especially in the S&P500.

explicit

explicit

inferred

inferred

implicit
Bitcoin cautious down
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(80) Bitcoin Has Been Co-Opted – Jim Bianco Warns The Fed Is Losing Control
Bitcoin; Crypto
8/4/2025 12:58:24 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the implications of Trump's influence on the Federal Reserve, the challenges of fiscal policy, and the current state of various asset classes including Bitcoin and bonds.
Bianco emphasizes the importance of understanding the bond market's role in fiscal policy and the potential consequences of excessive money printing.
Bianco argues that the bond market will ultimately dictate fiscal policy and that excessive money printing could lead to high interest rates, which would stifle economic growth.

inferred

inferred

inferred

inferred

inferred
Euro-dollar sharp up
BNP Paribas (80)
Investment Bank $600.00B
Parisha (80)
(80) Trump To Replace Fired Data Chief; OPEC+ Supply Glut Fears | Horizons Middle East & Africa 08/4/2025
8/4/2025 7:06:49 AM
The U.S. jobs data has raised concerns about economic momentum, leading to expectations of rate cuts from the Fed. The market is reacting to these developments with a cautious outlook on U.S. assets.
The weak U.S. jobs data and subsequent downward revisions have led to a structural view of a weaker dollar and potential rate cuts from the Fed.
The weak jobs data indicates a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy, which could lead to earlier than expected rate cuts from the Fed, thus supporting a weaker dollar.

inferred
Allianz (95)
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian (90)
(90) Mohamed El-Erian on jobs data: Not politically driven but do have revision issues
8/1/2025 7:55:32 PM
Mohamed El-Erian discusses the integrity of US economic data and its implications for markets, highlighting issues with data collection and the labor market's current state.
El-Erian emphasizes the need for improved data collection methods and the impact of recent labor market revisions on market reactions.
El-Erian argues that the recent downward revisions in labor market data have led to significant market reactions, indicating that the data is being taken seriously by investors.

inferred

inferred
BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Russ (90)
(90) US Treasuries Soar As Job Growth Slows | Real Yield 8/1/2025
US Treasuries
8/1/2025 6:48:37 PM
The labor market is showing signs of weakness, prompting expectations for rate cuts by the Fed in September and December. The economy is structurally sound but requires cautious monetary policy.
The current economic environment is complex, with a potential conflict in the Fed's dual mandate. Rate cuts are anticipated as the labor market slows.
The slowing labor market and structural soundness of the economy suggest that the Fed will need to cut rates to support growth, especially given the current policy environment.

explicit
Amazon cautious up
  • Amazon → 8
  • Amazon → 10
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Eric Sheridan (90)
(85) Goldman Sachs' Eric Sheridan talks tech stocks seeing worst trading day in four months
Tech Stocks; Chip Stocks
8/1/2025 9:36:46 PM
The digital economy is accelerating, driven by AI demand, despite some short-term volatility and concerns around Amazon's earnings guidance.
The strength in the digital economy and AI is expected to prevail over longer durations, despite current market fluctuations.
Despite short-term volatility, the digital economy and AI demand are accelerating, making Amazon a compelling buy due to its growth potential and improving margins.

explicit
AI impact on tech employment down
yields
"I think it makes it even more likely that they're going to cut in September. We have had a series of 25 basis point cuts in September, October, December."
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Jan Hatzius (90)
(90) Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius: Today's jobs report makes it more likely Fed will cut in September
US Labor; Fed
8/1/2025 3:12:49 PM
Jan Hatzius discusses the current labor market conditions, the likelihood of Fed rate cuts, and the impact of AI on employment.
The economy is growing slowly, with downside risks in the labor market, and potential Fed rate cuts are likely in response to recent data.
The labor market is showing signs of slowing growth, and the Fed may need to adjust rates to return to neutral territory, especially if consumer spending does not pick up.

implicit

explicit
  • S&P500 → 7100
ndx
Reinstated his S&P year end target of 7100. We have a Fed that will cut rates, and markets like earnings and revenue growth.
Oppenheimer (80)
Wealth Manager $118.00B
John Stoltzfus (80)
(90) Tariffs are never an easy thing to digest, says Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus
S&P 500
8/1/2025 6:34:50 PM
John Stoltzfus maintains a bullish S&P 500 year-end target of 7100, citing strong earnings growth and potential Fed rate cuts as key factors.
Stoltzfus emphasizes the importance of revenue and earnings growth, alongside the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts, in shaping market outlook.
Stoltzfus believes that the market will respond positively to earnings growth and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, despite current volatility in jobs data and geopolitical risks.

inferred
  • S&P500 → 7100
Oppenheimer (80)
Wealth Manager $118.00B
John Stoltzfus (80)
(90) Fed has increased likelihood to cut rates in September now, says Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus
8/1/2025 5:47:08 PM
John Stoltzfus remains bullish on the market despite economic concerns, reinstating a year-end S&P target of 7100, citing trade negotiations and earnings growth.
Stoltzfus emphasizes the importance of revenue and earnings growth, alongside the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Stoltzfus believes that the market will respond positively to revenue and earnings growth, and that the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates, which will support market performance.

inferred

inferred

inferred
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (90)
Central Bank
Raphael Bostic (70)
(80) Weak jobs data and new tariffs weigh on stocks
8/1/2025 5:07:49 PM
The recent jobs report indicates economic weakness, leading to increased expectations for a Fed rate cut in September, despite a resilient economy overall.
The labor market shows signs of weakness, which could prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts, impacting market sentiment.
The jobs report undershot expectations, indicating more economic weakness than previously thought, which could lead to a Fed rate cut to support the economy.
AI adoption sharp up
  • S&P500 → 7000
JP Morgan Private Bank (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Abby Yoder (80)
(90) Investors are looking past an economic slowdown and focusing on secular growers, says JPM's Yoder
7/31/2025 9:27:26 PM
The market is experiencing a strong rally driven by solid fundamentals, with expectations for growth despite potential economic slowdowns. Key sectors to watch are utilities, financials, and technology.
The market is looking past a temporary economic slowdown, focusing on long-term growth driven by AI and policy clarity.
The market is resilient and looking towards increased AI adoption across industries, which will drive revenue growth and improve margins.

inferred
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jamie Dimon (90)
(80) Fed independence historically keeps interest rates lower, says JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon
U.S. economy; Federal Reserve
7/31/2025 10:10:12 PM
Jamie Dimon discusses the Fed's independence, potential rate cuts, and the impact of AI and regulation on growth.
Dimon believes the Fed will likely cut rates soon if inflation continues to decrease and the economy remains stable. He sees AI and regulatory reform as key drivers for growth.
Dimon emphasizes the importance of the Fed's independence for maintaining lower interest rates and suggests that a stable economy with decreasing inflation could lead to rate cuts.

explicit
crypto cautious up
  • S&P500 → 6700
ndx
we think that tech and those secular growth stories are really the powerhouse here Microsoft and Meta strong earnings and continued CapEx growth driven by AI indicate tech will lead market higher
UBS (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Nadia Lovell (90)
(85) Stay up in quality on secular growth stories, says UBS' Nadia Lovell
7/31/2025 5:47:19 PM
Nadia Lovell from UBS believes tech will continue to drive market growth, with a focus on selective investments in secular growth stories, particularly in AI and CapEx spending.
Tech remains a powerhouse with strong earnings and growth momentum, particularly in AI and CapEx spending.
Tech is where the growth momentum is, driven by increased CapEx spending and strong earnings from major companies.

inferred
  • S&P500 → 7400
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Mike Wilson (90)
(90) Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson: The earnings story looks pretty good in 2026
7/31/2025 1:23:44 PM
Mike Wilson discusses the resilience of earnings and the potential for the S&P 500 to reach 7400, driven by strong performance from mega-cap companies and a recovery in earnings revisions.
Earnings are expected to improve significantly, particularly for large companies, while smaller firms may struggle due to higher rates and tariff issues.
The market has already discounted past issues, and earnings revisions are showing a V-shaped recovery, suggesting that the S&P 500 could rise significantly based on improved earnings forecasts.

inferred
private credit cautious
JPMorgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jamie Dimon (90)
(80) The 'Halftime' Committee debate JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's private credit stance
7/31/2025 5:20:45 PM
Jamie Dimon discusses the importance of Fed independence, potential rate cuts, and the evolving landscape of private credit.
Dimon suggests that the Fed may cut rates soon if inflation continues to decrease and the economy remains stable.
Dimon believes that the Fed's independence is crucial for maintaining lower interest rates and that a stable economy with decreasing inflation could lead to rate cuts.

explicit
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Lori Calvasina (90)
(85) RBC Capital Markets' Calvasina: If you look at valuations modeling, market is way over its skiis
7/31/2025 3:07:04 PM
Lori Calvasina expresses caution about the market's current valuation and growth expectations, despite strong performances from major tech companies.
The market is experiencing record highs, but underlying economic indicators suggest caution due to low GDP growth and potential tariff impacts.
Despite strong earnings from major tech companies, overall market valuations appear stretched given the current economic backdrop, and there are concerns about future demand and potential tariff impacts.

inferred

inferred
Charles Schwab (80)
Asset Manager $890.00B
Joe Mazzola (80)
(80) Significance of FOMC Rate Pause, Tariff Prices Weighing on Earnings
7/31/2025 8:16:40 PM
Joe Mazzola discusses the Fed's hawkish tone and its implications for rate cuts, job data, and corporate earnings.
The Fed's recent statements suggest a lower likelihood of rate cuts in the near term, reflecting a resilient economy.
The Fed's shift in language indicates a need for convincing evidence before considering rate cuts, reflecting a strong economy and stable earnings growth.

explicit

implicit

inferred
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (95)
(90) Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady | Bloomberg Surveillance: The Fed Decides 7/30/2025
7/30/2025 11:44:49 PM
The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates amid mixed economic signals, with two dissenting votes indicating internal division on future rate cuts.
The Fed's decision reflects a cautious approach to managing inflation and employment, with uncertainty remaining about the economic outlook.
The Fed is balancing the risks of inflation and employment, maintaining a cautious stance while awaiting more data to inform future policy decisions.

explicit

implicit
Bridgewater Associates (95)
Hedge Fund $92.00B
Rebecca Patterson (90)
(85) No Decision Yet on September Rate Cut, Tariff May Boost Inflation: Powell | The Close 7/30/2025
7/30/2025 10:46:32 PM
Rebecca Patterson discusses the Fed's recent decision to maintain interest rates, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the cautious outlook for economic growth.
Patterson highlights the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their inflationary effects, suggesting that the market may be underestimating the impact of these factors.
Patterson believes that the Fed's cautious stance on interest rates reflects ongoing inflation concerns, particularly due to tariffs, which could impact economic growth and consumer behavior.

implicit

implicit

explicit
copper cautious down
BNP Paribas (80)
Investment Bank $600.00B
Nadia Grant (90)
(85) China Summons Nvidia Over H20 Chip Security Risk; US Copper Premium Evaporates | The Pulse 7/31/2025
7/31/2025 10:09:54 AM
Nadia Grant discusses the resilience of the tech sector amidst tariff uncertainties and the Fed's stance on interest rates, highlighting strong earnings from major tech companies.
The tech sector is showing strong earnings growth despite tariff pressures, with companies like Microsoft and Meta leading the way. The Fed's current position on interest rates remains cautious.
The tech sector's strong performance is driven by solid earnings and a robust demand for AI, despite the challenges posed by tariffs and economic uncertainties.

inferred

inferred
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (85)
(90) Powell says Fed is 'well positioned' for more data before lowering rates
7/30/2025 7:45:02 PM
Jerome Powell emphasizes the importance of anchoring inflation expectations and monitoring economic data before adjusting monetary policy.
The Federal Reserve is focused on preventing a one-time price increase from leading to ongoing inflation issues while balancing employment risks.
The Fed aims to maintain stable inflation expectations and is awaiting more economic data to inform future policy decisions.

inferred
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (90)
(90) Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks as Fed holds interest rates steady  7/30/2025
7/30/2025 7:19:51 PM
The Federal Reserve maintains its interest rate policy amid mixed economic signals, focusing on inflation and employment metrics while remaining cautious about future rate cuts.
The Fed is balancing its dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices, with inflation slightly above target and a solid labor market.
The Fed's current policy is seen as modestly restrictive, appropriate for managing inflation risks while monitoring labor market conditions.

inferred
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (85)
(90) Fed Chair Powell on unchanged rate: Monetary policy sets us up to respond quickly
7/30/2025 7:01:51 PM
Jerome Powell discusses the current economic conditions, emphasizing stable employment and inflation, while maintaining the federal funds rate unchanged.
The Federal Reserve is focused on balancing maximum employment with stable prices, while monitoring inflation and economic growth.
The Fed aims to maintain a balance between employment and inflation, adjusting policies based on incoming economic data and risks.

explicit

implicit
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (85)
(90) Fed Decision: Impact of Tariffs Is Unknown, Powell Says
7/30/2025 6:54:37 PM
Jerome Powell discusses the evolving effects of government policies on inflation and economic activity, emphasizing the Fed's commitment to managing inflation risks while supporting maximum employment.
The Fed is focused on balancing inflation risks with employment goals, with an eye on upcoming data to inform policy adjustments.
The Fed is assessing the impact of government policies on inflation and employment, aiming to keep inflation expectations anchored while being prepared to adjust policy as new data emerges.

explicit

implicit
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (95)
(85) Powell Makes Case for Keeping Politics Out of Fed (Full Q&A)
7/30/2025 10:31:17 PM
The Federal Reserve maintains a cautiously restrictive policy stance amid mixed economic signals, with inflation above target and a solid labor market, while considering potential rate cuts based on upcoming data.
The Fed is closely monitoring inflation and labor market data to inform future rate decisions, indicating a cautious approach to monetary policy.
The economy shows signs of strength with a solid labor market and inflation above target, but there are downside risks that warrant a cautious approach to monetary policy and potential rate cuts based on incoming data.
  • Bitcoin → 200000
Standard Chartered (80)
Investment Bank $864.00B
Bill Winters (90)
(85) StanChart CEO on Earnings, Volatility, Digital Assets
7/31/2025 6:16:43 AM
Bill Winters expresses confidence in Standard Chartered's growth and performance, driven by cross-border business and digital asset investments, despite concerns over market volatility and interest rates.
The bank is experiencing strong growth in earnings and client investments, with a focus on digital assets and blockchain technology.
The bank's cross-border business is booming, and investments in digital assets and blockchain technology position it well for future growth despite current market uncertainties.

explicit

implicit

inferred
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (90)
(85) LIVE: Federal Reserve Chair Powell speaks after leaving rates unchanged
7/30/2025 8:26:17 PM
The Fed maintains interest rates amid economic uncertainty, with inflation still above target and a solid labor market, while two governors dissent for a rate cut.
The Fed is cautious about inflation and labor market dynamics, with a focus on upcoming economic data before making further decisions.
The Fed is balancing risks to inflation and employment, with a cautious approach to rate cuts as they await more data.

explicit

implicit

explicit
New York Fed (90)
Central Bank
William Dudley (70)
(80) Fed Is in 'Uncharted Territories,' Dudley Says
7/30/2025 8:06:39 PM
William Dudley discusses the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to monetary policy amid economic uncertainty, particularly regarding inflation and labor market dynamics.
Dudley emphasizes the Fed's need for patience in navigating uncharted economic territory due to tariff impacts and labor market conditions.
The Fed is being cautious due to uncertainty in the economy, particularly regarding inflation persistence and labor market dynamics, influenced by tariff rates.

explicit

implicit

explicit
Societe Generale (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Kit Juckes (90)
(85) Stocks Steady Before Earnings; Potential Trade Deals for China & India | Bloomberg Brief 7/30/2025
7/30/2025 11:36:25 AM
Market sentiment is mixed ahead of major earnings reports and a Fed decision, with concerns about tariffs and economic data influencing investor behavior.
The U.S. economy shows signs of strength, but uncertainties around tariffs and inflation could impact future growth.
The market is reacting to mixed earnings reports and the potential impact of tariffs on consumer spending, with a focus on how the Fed will respond to economic data.

inferred
Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Rob Kaplan (90)
(90) Former Dallas Fed Pres. Robert Kaplan: There are a number of disinflationary forces going on
7/29/2025 11:05:01 AM
Rob Kaplan discusses the Fed's upcoming meeting, expectations for rate stability, and the impact of tariffs and inflation on the economy.
Kaplan emphasizes the balance the Fed must maintain between inflation and employment, suggesting a cautious approach to rate cuts.
Kaplan believes the Fed will maintain a cautious stance on rate cuts due to sluggish hiring and the need to balance inflation concerns with employment levels.

inferred

inferred

inferred
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (80)
(90) NinjaTrader Live: Jim Bianco - Tomorrow's Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) & FOMC Meeting
Treasury Bonds; FOMC
7/29/2025 8:44:44 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the upcoming Treasury bond issuance and its potential impact on interest rates and the markets, emphasizing the role of retail traders in the current market dynamics.
The Treasury's bond issuance strategy could lead to short-term interest rate spikes, affecting the broader financial system and markets.
The Treasury's bond issuance strategy may require higher interest rates to attract buyers, which could impact the financial system and market dynamics, especially with retail traders being a dominant force.

explicit
Davis Advisors (70)
Asset Manager $23.00B
Chris Davis (90)
(85) US, Japan Raise Tsunami Warnings After Powerful Quake | Bloomberg: The China Show 07/30/2025
7/30/2025 5:43:25 AM
Chris Davis emphasizes the importance of value investing and the need for patience in the current market environment, expressing certainty about an upcoming recession but uncertainty about its timing.
Davis highlights the distinction between value investing and momentum investing, criticizing the latter's speculative nature.
Davis believes that many investors are not true value investors, as they often chase stocks based on momentum rather than underlying business value, and he is preparing for a recession while focusing on long-term investments.

inferred
Citi (95)
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Stuart Kaiser (80)
(90) Big Tech earnings are biggest risk to equities this week, says Citi's Stuart Kaiser
Equities; Big Tech
7/28/2025 9:38:03 PM
Stuart Kaiser discusses the importance of the unemployment rate and large-cap tech earnings for market direction, highlighting a favorable macro environment for equities.
The unemployment rate and tech earnings are critical indicators for market performance, with a stable job growth scenario being beneficial for equities.
A stable unemployment rate around 4.1% and friendly inflation could lead to favorable conditions for the Fed to cut rates, supporting equity markets.

inferred

inferred

inferred
State Street Investment Management (95)
Asset Manager $4000.00B
Michael Oren (90)
(90) Market will rally despite lofty valuations, says State Street's Michael Arone
US Markets
7/28/2025 7:30:31 PM
Michael Oren believes the market rally will continue due to improving trade deals, a favorable cash flow environment, and expected Fed rate cuts.
Oren highlights the positive impact of trade improvements and dollar weakness on S&P 500 companies, particularly in technology.
Oren argues that with earnings growth, improving trade deals, and potential Fed rate cuts, the market has strong support for continued rally.

inferred

inferred

inferred

inferred
gold sharp up
Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(80) Market At A Tipping Point! Decode The Chaos!
7/29/2025 12:49:21 PM
The discussion revolves around the upcoming FOMC meeting, potential rate cuts, and the implications of tariffs and monetary policy on the economy and markets.
The panel discusses the Fed's potential dovish shift, the impact of tariffs on trade, and the importance of gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty.
The Fed's potential easing and the geopolitical landscape, including tariffs and the shift towards gold as a safe haven, are driving market sentiment.

inferred
LNG exports sharp up
RBC Capital Markets (90)
Investment Bank $1200.00B
Ali MacGraw (80)
(90) RBC Helima Croft: Here's what the U.S.-EU trade deal means for energy
Energy
7/28/2025 3:28:33 PM
The EU's ambitious $750 billion energy deal with the US aims to significantly increase LNG imports, potentially replacing Russian gas, but challenges remain regarding capacity and domestic demand.
The deal could reshape energy imports in Europe, with the US expected to take a larger share of the market previously held by Russia, but future domestic energy needs may complicate export plans.
The US is building significant LNG export capacity, but future domestic energy needs and the geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding Russia, will influence the feasibility of meeting the ambitious targets set by the EU deal.

inferred

inferred
Wells Fargo Investment Institute (90)
Investment Bank $1900.00B
Sameer Samana (80)
(80) U.S. economy will probably slow later this year, says Wells Fargo's Samana
US economy
7/28/2025 8:49:24 PM
Markets are reacting positively to trade deals, but US consumers may bear the brunt of tariffs, leading to a potential slowdown in the economy.
The trade deal with the EU may provide short-term relief, but the impact of tariffs on US consumers could slow economic growth.
Staying invested in sectors with secular growth drivers is crucial, as fear-based investing has historically underperformed.

inferred
Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Jerome Powell (85)
(80) All Eyes on FOMC: Decision Will Draw Interest No Matter the Outcome #shorts
US Rates
7/28/2025 8:15:01 PM
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates steady, with a cautious approach to future cuts amid mixed economic signals.
The Fed is balancing inflation data with economic signals and tariff uncertainties, indicating a cautious stance on interest rates.
The Fed is focused on data-driven decisions while navigating inflation and economic uncertainties.

inferred

inferred

inferred
Bessemer Trust (80)
Asset Manager $140.00B
Rebecca Patterson (80)
(90) Former Bridgewater CIO Rebecca Patterson: Biggest earnings takeaway is that consumer is holding up
Consumer
7/28/2025 3:08:48 PM
US consumer remains resilient, impacting corporate sentiment and market dynamics; concerns about Fed independence and inflation expectations.
The resilience of the US consumer is crucial for economic stability, while Fed independence and inflation expectations pose risks.
The US consumer's strength is vital for economic health, and any perceived loss of Fed independence could lead to higher inflation and long-term yields.

inferred

inferred
AI stocks sharp up
Rockefeller (80)
Asset Manager $122.00B
Ruchir Sharma (80)
(90) Rockefeller's Ruchir Sharma: Negative impact from tariffs is being offset by 'AI mania'
7/28/2025 2:54:37 PM
Ruchir Sharma discusses how the negative impacts of tariffs on the US economy are being offset by a boom in AI spending and tax offsets, while cautioning about the vulnerability of the US due to its high budget deficit.
The US economy is currently stable, with AI spending and tax offsets mitigating the negative effects of tariffs, but the high budget deficit poses a risk.
The AI spending boom and tax offsets are counterbalancing the negative impacts of tariffs, but the US's ability to sustain this is contingent on foreign investment and managing its budget deficit.

inferred

inferred
crypto moderate size
BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Rick Rieder (90)
(90) BlackRock’s Rick Rieder: I Think Interest Rates Can Come Down
US Interest Rates; $SPY
7/26/2025 12:15:11 PM
The service economy is resilient despite a goods slowdown, and there's potential for rate cuts to support housing and reduce inflation. AI and technology are key growth drivers.
The economy is shifting towards a service-oriented model, with AI and technology expected to drive significant productivity and innovation.
The economy is resilient with strong technicals in equities, and a shift towards AI and technology will drive growth. Lower interest rates could support housing and reduce inflation.

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BlackRock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Rick Rieder (90)
(90) BlackRocks Rick Rieder, Childcare Crisis, Larry Summers, FIFA in North America | Wall Street Week
US Economy; Tariffs
7/25/2025 10:53:35 PM
Rick Rieder discusses the resilience of the U.S. service economy, the potential for interest rate cuts, and the impact of AI on productivity and innovation.
Rieder believes the economy can sustain growth despite a slowdown in goods, driven by the service sector and technological advancements.
Rieder argues that the service economy is resilient, and with a significant amount of cash in the market, equities are well-positioned for growth. He also believes that lowering interest rates could help the housing market and reduce inflation.

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gold sharp up
  • gold → 4000
Bank of America (95)
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Francisco Blanch (90)
(90) BofAs Blanch Sees Oil Lower in 2H as Inventories Build
Oil
7/25/2025 6:41:54 PM
Oil prices are expected to decline in the second half of the year due to inventory builds, while gold is projected to rise to around $4,000 driven by political pressure on the Fed and increased investor demand.
The macro outlook suggests a decline in oil prices due to inventory surpluses and geopolitical factors, while gold is anticipated to rise as a safe haven asset amidst economic uncertainties.
The expected decline in oil prices is due to inventory builds outside of China and geopolitical factors, while gold's rise is linked to potential Fed rate cuts and increased investor demand amidst economic uncertainty.

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J.P. Morgan (95)
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Bill Ackman (90)
(90) Zero rates are not walking through that door anytime soon, says JPMorgan's Bill Eigen
fixed income
7/25/2025 11:02:54 AM
Bill Ackman discusses the current economic environment, inflation pressures, and the implications for fixed income and equities, emphasizing the risks of speculative behavior and the challenges posed by tight credit spreads.
Ackman highlights the disconnect between the Fed's rate-cutting intentions and the current economic indicators, suggesting that the environment is not conducive to lower bond yields despite pressures for rate cuts.
Ackman argues that the current economic environment, characterized by ongoing inflation pressures and a growing economy, does not support a traditional rate-cutting cycle. He believes that speculative behavior in the markets and tight credit spreads create risks for fixed income investors, while the administration's policies are favorable for equities.

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Bianco Research (80)
Financial Media
Jim Bianco (90)
(90) Bond Market Disaster if Powell Cuts Rates with Jim Bianco
Bond Market
7/25/2025 4:13:49 PM
Jim Bianco discusses the implications of fiscal dominance on monetary policy, the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the changing dynamics of the labor market post-COVID.
The economy is in a new cycle characterized by sticky inflation, changing labor market dynamics, and the effects of tariffs, which may lead to higher consumer prices.
Fiscal dominance could lead to a long-term disaster for monetary policy, and the current economic environment is fundamentally different from previous cycles, necessitating a reevaluation of inflation expectations and labor market dynamics.
Apollo Global Management (80)
Asset Manager $671.00B
Torsten Slok (90)
(90) Apollo's Torsten Slok: We don't want a weak dollar, we want a weaker dollar
Dollar
7/25/2025 3:28:45 PM
Torsten Slok discusses the implications of a weaker dollar on inflation and the economy, emphasizing the trade-offs involved.
A weaker dollar can boost manufacturing and S&P 500 revenues but may also lead to higher inflation, complicating the economic outlook.
The dollar's depreciation can enhance manufacturing and S&P revenues, but it risks increasing inflation, which is already above the Fed's target.

explicit

implicit
yields
From the bond market perspective, the cumulative cash flow surplus of the corporate sector this cycle is down 75% from where it was a decade ago, implying less liquidity and higher yields.
Carlyle (80)
Asset Manager $426.00B
Jason Thomas (90)
(85) How the Mag 7 Are Driving the Future of AI Capex
AI; Capex
7/25/2025 6:39:24 PM
Jason Thomas discusses the significant shift in capital spending by major companies towards physical assets, impacting both the stock and bond markets, and raises concerns about concentration risk in the economy.
The shift from virtual to physical capital investment is reshaping market dynamics and could lead to higher yields due to reduced corporate cash flow surpluses.
The shift in capital spending from cash reserves to physical assets by major companies is leading to higher yields and poses concentration risks in the economy.

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Fundstrat (70)
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee (90)
(80) Tom Lee: This is the most hated V-shaped rally
Market Trends
7/25/2025 7:46:22 PM
Tom Lee discusses the skepticism surrounding the current market rally, emphasizing that while uncertainties exist, the amplitude of the recovery is underestimated.
The market is experiencing a V-shaped rally that is not widely celebrated, with skepticism from institutional clients due to uncertainties.
The market's recovery is not as dire as previously thought, and there are potential diplomatic solutions to uncertainties, which could support continued growth.

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Citadel (70)
Hedge Fund $62.00B
Angel Melendez (90)
(80) Trump Clashes With Powell, LVMH Sales Slide as China and Japan Luxury Demand Slows | The Pulse 7/25
7/25/2025 10:07:30 AM
President Trump pressures the Fed for rate cuts while markets reach record highs amidst declining jobless claims and low volatility.
The equity markets are buoyed by political dynamics and positive economic indicators, despite concerns over Fed independence and potential trade tariffs.
The Fed's independence is crucial, but political pressure may lead to rate cuts which could stabilize the economy amidst trade uncertainties.

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Cantor Fitzgerald (70)
Investment Bank $11.00B
Howard Lutnick (90)
(80) Jobless Claim Falls For a Sixth Straight Week | The Close 7/24/2025
["S&P500", "US 10y", "WTI", "gold"]
7/24/2025 11:31:05 PM
ROMAINE: TREASURIES SELL OFF, EQUITIES BUBBLE UP, AND THE VIX THE LOWEST OF 2020 5000 I'M ROMAINE BOSTICK. SCARLET: I'M SCARLET FU. BUBBLING UP IS A PERFECT WAY OF PUTTING IT.
The U.S. economy shows resilience with strong equity markets and a stable labor market, but there are concerns about high valuations and potential reversals. The Fed is unlikely to cut rates soon due to strong economic data.
ROMAINE: WE WILL TALK ABOUT WHAT WE ARE SEEING IN TREASURY YIELDS BECAUSE WITH THE BUMP UP WE HAVE SEEN TODAY AND YESTERDAY, FRESH DATA SHOWING JOBLESS CLAIMS FALLING FOR A SIXTH STRAIGHT WEEK

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UBS (95)
Investment Bank $4300.00B
John Lovallo ()
(80) UBS John Lovallo: There's growing optimism that the housing market will improve in 2026
["housing market", "homebuilders"]
7/23/2025 3:34:40 PM
Homebuilders are optimistic about the housing market's future despite current rate volatility. Builders are adapting by offering smaller, more affordable homes and financing incentives.
The housing market is expected to improve as consumer confidence and investor sentiment rise. Stabilization in interest rates is crucial for planning and decision-making.
Improved consumer confidence and investor sentiment, efficient building practices, and potential policy changes could stimulate the housing market.

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Cantor Fitzgerald (70)
Investment Bank $11.00B
Howard Lutnick (90)
(85) Trump Says Nations Will Face Tariffs of 15% to 50% | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade, 7/24/25
["Asian stocks", "Japanese yen", "KOSPI", "Korean won", "S&P500", "NASDAQ", "Russell 2000"]
7/24/2025 4:24:59 AM
THIS IS THE ASIA TREE. THE TOP STORIES THIS HOUR. ASIAN STOCKS SET TO EXTEND WALL STREET GAINS ON THE HOST THAT A U.S.
The macroeconomic environment is influenced by ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and its partners, including Japan and the EU. The U.S. is setting a 15% tariff as a potential baseline for future trade deals, which could impact global trade dynamics. South Korea's economic performance is improving, while Japan faces political uncertainty.
PRESIDENT TRUMP SUGGESTING 15% WILL BE THE LOWEST TO REFRAIN ANY COUNTRY COULD EXPECT WHEN THE DEAL DEADLINE ARRIVES NEXT WEEK

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corporate bonds sideways
Blackrock (95)
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Rick Rieder (90)
(90) Rick Rieder: Credit is in the best shape I've ever seen my career
7/22/2025 7:43:08 PM
Rick Rieder discusses the current trading environment, highlighting the resilience of the U.S. economy and the attractiveness of corporate bonds amidst geopolitical instability.
Despite concerns over geopolitical risks and potential recession, the U.S. economy remains resilient, making it a favorable environment for trading and investment, particularly in corporate bonds.
The U.S. economy has shown extraordinary resilience despite geopolitical tensions, and corporate credit quality is strong, allowing for attractive yields without excessive risk.

implicit

explicit

implicit
  • S&P500 → 6500
ndx
U.S. exceptionalism is back for the AI trade and in particular those big tech names. The bar is relatively low in terms of expectations. That would be a positive for sure.
Citi (95)
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Lucy Baldwin (80)
(90) Futures Slip Ahead of Earnings; Bessent Calls for Federal Reserve Review | Bloomberg Brief 7/22/2025
7/22/2025 11:32:12 AM
Lucy Baldwin discusses U.S. exceptionalism driven by the AI trade, the impact of tariffs, and expectations for the upcoming earnings season.
U.S. exceptionalism is back, particularly in the context of AI, with expectations for a supportive macro backdrop despite potential tariff impacts.
The AI trade has significant room to run, and while the broader macro backdrop is supportive, there are concerns about tariffs impacting consumer spending and corporate margins.

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Federal Reserve (90)
Central Bank
Ben Bernanke (85)
(90) Fmr. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Fed chair must make fact-based judgements, stay out of politics
7/22/2025 1:34:01 PM
Ben Bernanke discusses the importance of the Federal Reserve's independence and its track record in managing inflation and employment.
Bernanke emphasizes the Fed's successful management of inflation and the labor market, particularly post-pandemic.
The Fed's independence and commitment to its goals have led to stable inflation and a strong labor market.

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Goldman Sachs (95)
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Jonny Fines (90)
(80) Goldman Sachs' Jonny Fine: We see 'bursts of activity' in capital markets franchises
7/22/2025 3:05:59 PM
Jonny Fines discusses the robust activity in capital markets, the impact of Fed policies, and the outlook for Treasury yields and corporate borrowing.
The capital markets are experiencing strong activity, with a focus on investment-grade credit and potential Fed cuts influencing issuer sentiment.
The current environment is characterized by a strong capital markets activity, with expectations of Fed cuts influencing corporate borrowing and Treasury yields. The term premium in Treasury yields is seen as a tax on borrowing costs, and the potential for increased dissent in Fed meetings may lead to greater market volatility.

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AI sectors sharp up
Morgan Stanley (90)
Investment Bank $1600.00B
Marina Zavalock (80)
(90) UK Borrows Billions More Than Expected, Bessent Calls for Fed Review | The Pulse 7/22
UK Debt
7/22/2025 10:48:01 AM
U.S. equity markets are at record highs driven by momentum and AI exposure, but concerns about earnings and tariff impacts loom.
The U.S. market is experiencing a momentum-driven rally, particularly in AI sectors, while European markets lag behind.
The U.S. has more AI exposure than Europe, driving earnings growth, while tariff uncertainties could impact European stocks significantly.
  • gold → 3500
  • silver → 40
CPM Group (80)
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian (80)
(90) Why Gold Is Spiking and What It Means for Silver
Gold; Silver; Platinum; Palladium
7/22/2025 7:37:11 PM
Gold prices are expected to rise to $3,500 in the near term due to ongoing political and economic uncertainties, while platinum prices may decline in the coming months.
The macroeconomic environment is characterized by increasing political and economic risks, which are driving demand for gold and silver.
The rise in gold and silver prices is attributed to growing political and economic uncertainties, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets.

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Allianz (95)
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian (90)
(80) No Need for Fed Chair Powell to Step Down, Says Secretary Bessent
7/22/2025 2:23:04 PM
The pressure from the administration on the Fed is raising concerns about its independence, with potential implications for interest rate policy.
The market is questioning the Fed's independence due to political pressure, which could impact interest rate decisions.
The market's reaction to political pressure on the Fed indicates a loss of confidence in its independence, which could affect interest rate policy.
[{"market": "Citigroup", "target": "unknown"}]
Wells Fargo Securities (90)
Investment Bank $1900.00B
Mike Mayo (90)
(85) Wells Fargo's Mike Mayo on state of the banking sector, future of regulation and top bank stock
7/22/2025 11:47:09 AM
Mike Mayo discusses a significant regulatory reset for banks, emphasizing the need to reduce bureaucracy to enhance lending capacity.
Mayo believes the current regulatory environment is overly burdensome and needs to evolve to support bank efficiency and lending.
The regulatory environment has become too constraining and costly, hindering banks' ability to lend effectively, which is essential for economic growth.