OCBC is positive on equities, seeing the correction as an opportunity. They like China and Hong Kong for tech innovation, and Singapore for its reforms. They are positive on gold, seeing it reaching $5,500/oz, and expect the dollar to weaken.
Yields
implicit
RUT
implicit
explicit
explicit
OCBC Bank
7.5
Investment Bank $327.00B
Vasu Menon
8.5
Positive on equities and technology/AI sector, which is a key driver for NDX.
wti
Expects a compromise between US and Iran, and traffic returning to Hormuz, which would lower oil prices.
We talked about this global risk-on rally, but the uncertainty is still there on what happens with Iran. Where do we go from here?
Shery Ahn
Vasu Menon
In the last month, we turned more positive on equities. We saw the correction as an opportunity to accumulate. Global equities are down 10% after the attack on Iran but rebounded 16%.
The signs are there that the US and Iran will have to seek some kind of compromise. Traffic is slowly returning to the Strait of Hormuz, which is a positive sign.
Regardless of what happens with the war in Iran, you still like Hong Kong and China. How much more potential is there in that sector?
Shery Ahn
Vasu Menon
There is potential in the technology and AI sector. Chinese and Hong Kong companies are catching up with major hyperscalers in the US. The gap is slowly narrowing. China is not just a domestic demand story but also an innovation technology story.
Valuations are not expensive, and China has a lot of firepower with a strong balance sheet and a huge stockpile of oil and energy reserves.
Are there opportunities for Asia EM despite the ongoing pressure on the energy front?
Haidi Stroud-Watts
Vasu Menon
Asia ex-Japan within the EM space is actually outperforming on a regional basis. If the situation in the Middle East improves and oil prices come off, Asia will be a big beneficiary.
Asia has been impacted by higher oil prices, so that concern receding would be very positive for Asia ex-Japan, including Singapore.
Where do you stand on traditional safe haven assets like gold and the US dollar?
Shery Ahn
Vasu Menon
We are positive on gold. Over the next 12 months, gold could potentially escalate to about $5,500 per ounce from $4,500. We think the dollar is likely to weaken over the next 6 to 12 months as tensions in the Middle East ease.
Gold is pricing in US dollars, so it becomes more affordable when the dollar weakens.