explicit
inferred
RUT
Oil
Metals
implicit
monetary policy cautious down
Federal Reserve
9.0
Central Bank
Chris Waller
7.0
Waller Emerges as Favorite for Federal Reserve Chair
8/7/2025 5:34:00 PM
yields
Waller has been a dove depending on how the economy has been running and is currently making the case that we should cut rates.
133 calls
+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/5/2025 12:45:01 AM
medium term cautious down
20 days later
+0.90%
-0.45%
7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM
medium term cautious up
20 days later
-1.47%
-0.73%
7/30/2025 9:54:37 PM
medium term cautious up
20 days later
-1.47%
-0.73%
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