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Bianco Research
7.2
Investment Research Firm
Jim Bianco 9.0
Investment Research Firm
Jim Bianco 9.0
11/13/2025 11:11:01 AM
dxy
States dollar recoupled with interest rates and will stay stronger if US rates trend higher as he expects, following three-phase pattern of tracking rates, decoupling, then recoupling
| 10/21/2025 9:30:34 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.12% | +0.06% |
| 9/17/2025 1:26:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.09% | +0.09% |
| 9/11/2025 11:36:08 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.31% | -0.15% |
| 8/14/2025 2:49:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.51% | -0.26% |
metals
Gold is going to have a... it has had a fantastic year. It's up almost 60%... I think it's going to continue to perform very well. Gold is a hedge against something going wrong
Cites political tensions, wars, inflation risks as reasons for gold's continued performance, recommends small position as warranted
| 10/21/2025 10:16:55 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.09% | -4.64% |
| 10/21/2025 9:30:34 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.09% | -4.64% |
| 10/15/2025 9:40:53 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -8.88% | -13.31% |
| 10/14/2025 3:53:14 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.74% | -1.11% |
| 9/11/2025 11:36:08 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.42% | -0.42% |
| 9/4/2025 11:05:46 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +6.42% | +9.64% |
| 9/4/2025 9:35:50 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +11.57% | +11.57% |
ndx
Describes market as dominated by retail investors driving 17% returns mostly from AI stocks, with only 4-5% from everything else, suggesting concentration risk and potential for digestion phase
| 10/21/2025 9:30:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.79% | +3.79% |
| 10/14/2025 3:53:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.60% | +1.60% |
| 8/14/2025 2:49:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.33% | +0.17% |
yields
I'm still of the opinion that we're in a long term secular rise in interest rates... once we break out of this long sideways action that we've been in for two years, then it'll probably be higher on the back of economic strength and on the back of stickier or uncomfortable inflation
References hitting 5% in 2023 and current ~4% levels, sees inflation running 3-3.5% vs Fed target of 2% as problematic for bond market
| 10/21/2025 10:16:55 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -0.56% |
| 10/14/2025 3:56:23 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +1.06% |
| 9/29/2025 3:25:33 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.34% | -0.17% |
| 9/17/2025 1:26:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.39% |
| 9/15/2025 3:58:32 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -1.45% |
| 9/4/2025 11:05:46 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.10% | +1.05% |
| 9/4/2025 9:35:50 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.10% | +1.05% |
| 8/28/2025 4:47:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.91% | +1.45% |
| 8/26/2025 4:19:00 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/26/2025 4:05:31 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -5.00% | -7.50% |
| 8/26/2025 1:00:15 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -5.00% | -7.50% |
| 8/25/2025 3:41:18 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/20/2025 6:53:54 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -6.88% | -3.44% |
| 8/19/2025 5:49:35 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/14/2025 2:49:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.51% | +1.76% |
| 8/7/2025 2:21:54 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 8/5/2025 3:48:43 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +0.90% | +1.35% |
| 8/4/2025 3:58:24 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.88% | +0.94% |
| 7/19/2025 1:58:49 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -2.26% | +1.13% |
