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RUT
Oil

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implicit
Allianz 8.5
Investment Bank $2243.00B
Mohamed El-Erian 9.0
10/16/2025 11:26:51 PM
metals
Gold at record levels signals risk-off asset demand and a debasement trade due to concerns about US sovereign credit and large inflows that are dollar-hedged.
2 calls
-9
slightly worse than random
yields
This adds pressure on the Fed to cut rates but inflation is expected to rise, creating uncertainty on policy direction; I think they will go for a quarter point cut instead of half because they have less clarity about what is happening in the economy.
10 calls
+2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
9/18/2025 11:53:33 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.19% +0.29%
9/5/2025 10:33:43 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.30% +0.15%
9/2/2025 1:47:03 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -3.92% -5.88%
8/25/2025 4:11:50 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.26% +2.63%
8/19/2025 11:37:24 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.49% +0.24%
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