Crude Oil "Sell the Rip," Gold & Big Tech "Buy the Dip"

Yields cautious up , short term, interviewee explicit

explicit

NDX up , medium term, interviewee explicit

explicit

RUT

Oil cautious down , medium term, interviewee explicit

explicit

Metals up , medium term, interviewee explicit

explicit

USD

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Scott Bauer 7.0

Crude Oil "Sell the Rip," Gold & Big Tech "Buy the Dip"

Crude Oil; Gold

metals

I do expect the precious metals to move higher... still a buy-and-dip sort of environment

1 calls

-11

slightly worse than random

ndx

Absolutely I do... I still love Big Tech and I do think that is a buy-and-dip as well Specifically mentions Microsoft as buy opportunity at 200-day MA; bullish on Big Tech theme continuing

3 calls

+3

no reliable edge (random outcomes)

12/15/2025 6:30:22 PM	short term up	6 days later	+1.31%	+1.31%
8/8/2025 6:30:27 PM	short term up	7 days later	+0.80%	+0.80%

wti

oil is going to remain under pressure... sell any rip... unless fundamentals change

1 calls

-11

slightly worse than random

yields

if we get a pretty decent job report coming up here, if it's pretty strong, and we see the 10 years start to rally... if we break that 420 area

Asks for broad market take ahead of jobs report, noting markets are range-bound but near all-time highs.

speaker1
Scott Bauer

Cautiously optimistic but watching 10-year yield at 4.2% resistance; strong jobs report could break 4.2%, causing yields to rise and posing short-term problem for equities.

It's touched there numerous times over the last several months and hasn't been able to break through.
Asks for take on crude oil given recent sector moves and Venezuela situation.

speaker1
Scott Bauer

Oil view unchanged: sell-the-rip environment due to lack of demand; supply shock from Venezuela not significant; fundamentals haven't changed.

Oil is still down to supply and demand. The demand is not there.
Asks if oil will repeat last year's low finish and whether to expect volatility or range-bound action.

speaker1
Scott Bauer

Expects volatility but will sell any rip (e.g., at $58-60); oil remains under pressure unless big demand uptick occurs.

Oil is the exact opposite to me, so unless the fundamentals change... where we see a big, big massive uptick in demand to me oil is going to remain under pressure.
Asks about outlook for precious metals after strong 2025, expecting similar momentum or less.

speaker1
Scott Bauer

Expects less momentum and volatility than 2025 but still a buy-the-dip environment; precious metals to move higher.

I do believe it is still a buy-and-dip sort of environment here and I do expect the precious metals to move higher.
Asks if Big Tech remains a big theme this year.

speaker1
Scott Bauer

Absolutely sees Big Tech as theme; buy-the-dip opportunity in stocks like Microsoft at 200-day MA; remains bullish unless AI spending narrative changes.

I think until the narrative changes... until we start seeing some headlines or guidance that AI spending is starting to curtail a little bit or things are pulling back.
Asks for final thought on jobs report expectations.

speaker1
Scott Bauer

Market likely muted unless big blowout number; data still needs months to flush out from late 2025 reporting gaps.

I think it's still gonna take several months till we really have everything flushed out from... the time that we did get those reports in late 2025.

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