Initial jobless claims come in at 214,000 for the week of December 20

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Initial jobless claims come in at 214,000 for the week of December 20

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Dollar index on pace for the worst year since 2017 The statement describes a year-to-date performance, implying a downward trend over the long term (annual). The mention of a potential three-month low close reinforces the downward move.

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9/12/2025 8:22:44 PM	short term down	7 days later	+0.03%	-0.03%

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Rick Santelli

Initial jobless claims at 214,000, well below the 225,000 expected. This is the lowest since late November.
Rick Santelli

Continuing claims popped back over 1.923 million after being under 1.9 million for a couple of weeks.

First time under 1.9 million since April.
Rick Santelli

Questions the seasonality adjustments to the jobless claims numbers, noting the process is cumbersome and was problematic during COVID.

Mentions a Wall Street Journal article suggesting generous welfare programs might be distorting the figures, keeping them depressed.
Rick Santelli

10-year Treasury yield at 4.16%, down 2 basis points.
Rick Santelli

Dollar index is on pace for its worst year since 2017.

Notes much of the decline was the premium put in during COVID, but if it closes at current levels, it would be a three-month low close.

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