Lise Buyer, who helped architect Google's IPO, says SpaceX's IPO is a one-off due to the 'cult of Elon' and shouldn't be read as a signal for the broader IPO market. She discusses the unusual fixed-price structure, light SEC oversight, and extreme governance where shareholders have virtually no recourse. She notes that while dual-class structures can help founders take a long-term view, SpaceX's governance is an extreme case that most investors won't accept from other companies.
Yields
implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Class V Group
2.5
PR/Communications Consulting
Lise Buyer
8.0
Buyer notes that Tesla did nothing for its first 10 years as a public company, suggesting that even high-profile tech IPOs can be volatile and underperform initially, implying a cautious/volatile view on tech IPOs broadly.
Asks about the unusual aspects of this IPO: fixed price, staggered lock-up, sheer size.
Katie Greifeld
Lise Buyer
The cult of Elon is singular. I don't think we can read anything about the rest of the IPO market from this transaction. It's been put together in ways very different from most IPOs. This is a one-off.
Asks if this creates a halo effect for other tech/AI/space names.
Katie Greifeld
Lise Buyer
Clearly SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI may be different from most IPOs. This one in particular, because of its scale, unique governance, and light SEC oversight, should not be taken as the norm.
Asks about the trend of going directly to retail investors, referencing Google's IPO approach.
Romaine Bostick
Lise Buyer
It depends on the company and how much they've raised privately. Some private investor wells are running dry, so retail is the next pool. For consumer companies like Google, founders felt strongly that users should get in early. It very much depends on the company.
Asks about the evolution of dual-class share structures since Google's IPO.
Romaine Bostick
Lise Buyer
Dual-class existed for media companies. Google's founders wanted to keep control so no investors could force them to monetize the front page. Data shows founder-led tech companies with dual-class have tended to outperform for the first 10 years. It gives management the opportunity to take a longer-term perspective. But with limits - SpaceX is an extreme.
Asks if other founders will try to adopt SpaceX's extreme governance structure.
Katie Greifeld
Lise Buyer
New shareholders of SpaceX will basically have no recourse except to sell. I do not expect this sort of flexible governance to prevail in many other companies. Investors won't accept it.
Asks whether even with founder vision, there should be guardrails to protect investors.
Romaine Bostick
Lise Buyer
Particularly for institutional investors with fiduciary obligations, yes, there are definitive and important reasons to have guardrails. This is an outlier because people are betting on Elon. Nobody's noticing that Tesla did nothing for its first 10 years as a public company.