explicit

explicit
Oil
Metals

explicit
interest rates cautious down
Federal Reserve 9.0
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari 7.0
8/6/2025 4:32:08 PM
dxy
If inflation really ticks up because of tariffs we could even then raise again.
17 calls
-+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/6/2025 4:30:01 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.17% +0.09%
7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.81% -0.90%
ndx
consumer spending is cooling. All of that suggests the real underlying economy is slowing.
23 calls
+2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/6/2025 4:30:01 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.92% -0.96%
yields
the economy is slowing, housing services inflation is gently declining. Non housing services inflation is coming down. Wage growth is coming down.
167 calls
-+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/6/2025 4:30:01 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.14% +0.07%
7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.47% -0.73%
7/30/2025 9:54:37 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.47% -0.73%
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