explicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Chicago Fed
9.4
Central Bank
Austan Goolsbee 7.0
Central Bank
Austan Goolsbee 7.0
12/12/2025 7:30:18 PM
yields
I'm pretty optimistic that for 2026 rates will... be a fair bit lower than they are today.
The cautious approach to cutting (waiting for clear 2% inflation path by Q1 2026) suggests the downward move in yields is expected but not immediate or aggressive.
| 12/12/2025 4:27:07 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -3.01% | +1.51% |
| 9/23/2025 4:21:15 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.01% | +1.51% |
| 8/15/2025 8:22:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -6.80% | -3.40% |
| 8/15/2025 4:22:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -6.80% | -3.40% |
