The yen's slide to 162+ reflects a lack of intervention from Japanese authorities, encouraging further weakness. The AI boom is driving a narrow but powerful equity rally in semiconductors and tech, but risks include a potential hyperscaler spending pullback. The weak yen benefits exporters but pressures JGBs and households.

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implicit
RUT
Oil
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implicit
Bloomberg
7.0
Financial Media
Mark Cranfield 7.0
Financial Media
Mark Cranfield 7.0
7/1/2026 7:33:09 AM
dxy
Cranfield notes U.S. yields rose again, encouraging dollar buying, and that the yen's weakness is partly driven by dollar strength.
ndx
Cranfield is bullish on AI-driven chipmaker spending in the near term but warns of a future tipping point when hyperscalers dial back, implying caution.
yields
U.S. yields are relatively high and they rose again last night, so that's obviously encouraging people to buy the U.S. dollar.
Japan's weak yen is great for corporate profits and government tax revenues but bad for households via higher import costs. The BOJ is unlikely to intervene aggressively; the real break point will be housing affordability. Takaichi's industrial policy prioritizes corporate Japan first, with wage gains for the young coming later.

implicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals

explicit
Monex Group
2.5
Fintech Company
Jesper Koll 8.5
Fintech Company
Jesper Koll 8.5
7/1/2026 7:33:09 AM
dxy
We are heading toward 200 yen to the dollar.
yields
Koll notes the carry trade is profitable because U.S. yields are above 4% while Japan is at 1%, implying U.S. yields remain elevated or rise.
President Trump reported at least $1.4 billion in 2025 earnings from crypto and memecoin businesses, far exceeding income from hotels and golf resorts. This renews concerns about profiting from the presidency, with Democrats likely to use it as a campaign issue ahead of midterms.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
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USD
Bloomberg
7.0
Financial Media
Derek Wallbank 4.0
Financial Media
Derek Wallbank 4.0
Trump's $1.4B crypto earnings and conflict of interest concerns (with Haidi Stroud-Watts, Shery Ahn)
7/1/2026 7:33:09 AM