Ray Dalio argues the US is past the point of no return on debt, leading to inevitable stagflation and a bond market crisis. He sees rising long-term yields, a weakening dollar, and gold as signals. He warns of an AI bubble approaching 1929/2000 levels, geopolitical risks from US overextension, and predicts financial repression.
explicit
explicit
Oil
explicit
explicit
Bridgewater
9.5
Hedge Fund $92.00B
Ray Dalio 9.5
Hedge Fund $92.00B
Ray Dalio 9.5
6/3/2026 6:21:24 PM
dxy
weakening then of the dollar
| 12/12/2025 1:21:45 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +0.12% | -0.06% |
metals
movements such as in gold and other assets... gold has been illegalized in such periods
| 1/22/2026 3:08:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.48% | +14.22% |
| 1/22/2026 11:01:22 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.48% | +14.22% |
| 1/20/2026 3:46:50 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.45% | -3.45% |
| 12/12/2025 1:21:45 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +9.24% | +9.24% |
| 12/8/2025 8:36:49 AM | long term up | 62 days later | +25.97% | +25.97% |
| 11/20/2025 8:17:28 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | +39.54% | +19.77% |
| 10/7/2025 6:43:06 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.72% | +4.07% |
ndx
bubble indicators rising close to 2000 and 1929 levels... all tech stocks would crash
| 9/5/2025 10:03:29 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.24% | -1.12% |
rut
Dalio warns of stagflation and rising rates pressuring stocks generally; small caps (RUT) are more vulnerable to credit tightening and economic slowdown than large caps.
yields
long rates rising relative to short rates... we are seeing some of that
| 10/28/2025 6:48:16 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.60% | -0.80% |
| 10/28/2025 5:45:08 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.60% | -0.80% |
| 10/7/2025 5:06:45 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.54% | +1.77% |
| 9/22/2025 6:10:27 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.67% | +0.84% |
