San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly emphasizes high economic uncertainty, stating the Fed is prepared to respond either way but refrains from giving forward guidance on rates, as it could be misleading. She advises waiting for the economy to evolve rather than resolving uncertainty prematurely.
The host notes that AI euphoria is fading and tech shares are leading equity futures lower, with South Korea's KOSPI (AI bellwether) dropping 5.5%. Combined with Daly's cautious macro tone, this suggests near-term downside pressure on the Nasdaq.
rut
No direct mention of small caps, but the overall cautious macro environment and uncertainty about rates suggest the Russell 2000 may trade rangebound with no clear catalyst.
yields
Daly's refusal to give forward guidance and emphasis on waiting for the economy to evolve suggests the Fed is on hold, implying yields are likely to remain rangebound in the near term until clearer data emerges.
Nathan Hager
Investors are awaiting the May jobs report, expected to show 89,000 nonfarm payrolls and unchanged unemployment at 4.3%. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly says there's too much uncertainty to offer a view on rates.
Mary Daly
The Fed is prepared to respond either way, whatever the economy brings, but giving more forward guidance about what's possible could be misguiding.