Lanhee Chen on Iran conflict, US politics, and energy (with Shery Ahn, Heidi Stroud-Watts)

What is going through President Trump's mind given the prolonged period of inaction and sudden escalation with Iran?

Shery Ahn / Heidi Stroud-Watts

Lanhee Chen

The president faces tension between wanting to end hostility to address high energy prices and needing a good end to the war where both Americans and Israelis can claim victory. Iran isn't giving on key demands.

A deal was said to be close, but the president got pushback from domestic constituencies who would accuse him of doing the same deal as Obama.

The president faces pushback on Pentagon spending, immigration, and tariff refunds. How much pressure is he under?

Shery Ahn / Heidi Stroud-Watts

Lanhee Chen

There is political pressure from Republicans concerned about midterm elections, but the president has always been a go-it-alone leader. The pressure may not be as acute as outsiders think.

The president has accepted he'll have to go it alone on many things, having done executive actions since day one.

What is your take on how President Trump is viewed halfway through primary season?

Shery Ahn / Heidi Stroud-Watts

Lanhee Chen

Trump continues to dominate the Republican Party, defeating incumbents who opposed him. However, his approval rating is lower than when he took office, making it challenging for Republicans to hold the House.

Republicans will likely retain the Senate but face a very challenging campaign for House members.

What is top of mind for the American public? Cost of living crisis? Interest in China rivalry or Middle East?

Shery Ahn / Heidi Stroud-Watts

Lanhee Chen

Economic issues, especially pocketbook issues and cost of living, dominate American voters' concerns. Energy costs are a deep concern impacting Republican political fortunes.

The US-China relationship is in a period of relative quiet. Public interest is always focused on economic issues ahead of elections.

The energy crisis and US destruction in the Middle East have frayed alliances. What are you hearing from partners in the region?

Shery Ahn / Heidi Stroud-Watts

Lanhee Chen

Many US allies are questioning how America views strategic relationships. The American public has turned inward, thinking less about what happens outside borders, which is fraying important geopolitical relationships.

There is still value and appreciation for alliances with places like Australia and Japan, but the intensity and awareness of their importance is lower than 10-15 years ago.

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