We are seeing war risk premiums on the rise now. Both Brent and WTI moving on up in tandem.
Strait of Hormuz closure, Iranian targeting of Gulf energy infrastructure, Qatar LNG supply disruption creating immediate supply shock
4 calls
+20
more right than wrong, with meaningful gains
Getting latest on fighting across Middle East, asking about oil price impact
Kelly Evans
Dan Murphy
Security situation in Gulf deteriorated with Iranian drones hitting US embassy, UAE air defense intercepting missiles, Strait of Hormuz de facto closed
Iranian state media threatening vessels, insurance market saying lane not open despite Pentagon claims
Dan Murphy
War risk premiums rising, both Brent and WTI moving up in tandem
Qatar Energy LNG supply completely offline due to drone strike - 20% of world's LNG supply gone in 48 hours
Dan Murphy
Operation could last month or more, Wall Street looking at $80 Brent and wondering how soon impacts global economy
UAE and Qatar pressuring Washington for diplomatic off-ramp
Asking about Brent vs WTI prices and natural gas spike
Kelly Evans
Dan Murphy
Risk premium in both Brent and WTI, real risk is oil price shock
Strait of Hormuz critical choke point offline, Iranians directly targeting Gulf energy infrastructure
Dan Murphy
Gulf sovereign capital (trillions) concerned about impact beyond oil - want safe haven for people and capital, not long-running war
PIF, ADIA, Mubadala, QIA watching markets and direction of conflict