Anastasia Amoroso argues the oil price decline is driven by weaker demand (especially jet fuel from Asia) rather than supply relief, with inventories not as low as feared. She sees potential for further oil price drops into 2027 as producers maximize output. On AI, she views the shift from hyperscalers to memory/component plays as a natural evolution, but warns memory has become consensus. She disagrees that lower energy prices are disinflationary, noting consumer spending didn't change much when gas prices spiked. She questions why the Fed is perceived as hawkish given one-off factors in inflation data.
Yields

implicit
RUT

explicit
Metals
USD
Partners Group 8.0
Private Equity $109.00B
Anastasia Amoroso 8.5
6/26/2026 7:31:32 PM
ndx
Sees AI investment cycle as natural evolution with ROI on spend, but warns memory has become consensus. The shift from hyperscalers to component plays is logical but creates new risks.
wti
We might actually end up with even a further drop in oil prices into 2027
3 calls
+30
reliable positive edge across multiple calls
Ed Ludlow discusses Micron's earnings, noting that while higher memory pricing is good for Micron, it means higher costs for end markets like consumer electronics, potentially creating inflationary pressure. He also analyzes OpenAI's IPO delay, attributing it to broader capital market dynamics including competition for finite investor pools from SpaceX, Alphabet, and SK Hynix, rather than just OpenAI-specific issues.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg 7.0
Financial Media
Ed Ludlow 4.0
6/26/2026 7:31:32 PM
ndx
Ed Ludlow describes tech jitters returning, with memory pricing creating inflationary pressure on consumer electronics. The IPO market faces capital constraints with multiple large offerings competing for finite pools.
Sarah Hunt warns of more summer volatility as markets seek clarity on Fed policy. She highlights that Micron's 85% margins signal potential goods inflation from technology, which is historically unusual. She notes that the Mag 7 are not acting as they had before due to massive spending, and if selling continues without dip-buying, it could translate into economic impact. She questions how continued capex increases will be funded given that funding sources have shifted from cash flow to debt to equity.

implicit

explicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Alpine Saxon Woods 1.0
Other
Sarah Hunt 7.5
6/26/2026 7:31:32 PM
ndx
I'm a little concerned about volatility because those kind of questions make it easy for things to move faster or further in one direction
1 calls
+6
slightly better than random
yields
Worries about AI-led goods inflation from technology components becoming more expensive, which would put upward pressure on yields. Questions how continued capex will be funded.