Jeffrey Christian of CPM Group discusses the recent decline in gold and silver prices due to investor selling, particularly from ETFs. He expects a volatile consolidation phase for gold between $3,800 and $4,800, and for silver between $60 and $85-$90, before prices rise again later in the year. He dismisses claims of a COMEX silver shortage and notes bearish sentiment for platinum and palladium. He also comments on elevated inflation data and the expectation that the Fed will hold rates steady.

explicit
NDX
RUT
Oil

explicit
USD
CPM Group 3.0
Trade Association
Jeffrey Christian 9.0
6/12/2026 11:29:14 PM
metals
Palladium very similar in fact even more bearish in terms of its technical movement and in terms of the market expectations.
24 calls
+15
more right than wrong, with meaningful gains
6/2/2026 10:33:52 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -4.41% +2.20%
5/21/2026 6:30:43 PM medium term up 20 days later -8.21% -8.21%
5/19/2026 11:14:02 PM medium term up 20 days later -9.50% -9.50%
3/26/2026 10:36:06 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +8.71% +4.36%
3/17/2026 8:10:23 PM long term up 61 days later -3.12% -3.12%
2/2/2026 9:12:01 AM short term sharp down 6 days later +1.02% -1.52%
1/27/2026 11:28:44 PM medium term up 20 days later -21.66% -21.66%
1/23/2026 11:34:16 PM long term up 60 days later -22.49% -22.49%
1/2/2026 11:05:46 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +24.33% +12.16%
12/29/2025 6:58:39 PM long term up 62 days later +19.88% +19.88%
12/19/2025 11:20:49 PM short term up 7 days later +0.39% +0.39%
12/9/2025 9:56:43 PM long term up 61 days later +25.27% +25.27%
12/2/2025 10:26:11 PM long term up 61 days later +19.34% +19.34%
10/21/2025 9:30:46 PM long term up 61 days later +18.75% +18.75%
10/14/2025 12:02:53 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -0.74% -1.11%
9/19/2025 9:15:26 PM long term sharp up 60 days later +10.10% +15.15%
9/12/2025 9:25:11 PM short term up 7 days later +2.06% +2.06%
9/9/2025 9:15:19 PM short term up 5 days later +1.78% +1.78%
9/5/2025 7:05:22 PM long term up 60 days later +12.34% +12.34%
8/26/2025 8:08:07 PM medium term up 20 days later +8.84% +8.84%
8/22/2025 8:43:34 PM short term up 8 days later +5.10% +5.10%
8/13/2025 5:13:42 PM medium term up 20 days later +6.88% +6.88%
8/8/2025 8:04:49 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -0.25% -0.38%
8/5/2025 7:24:42 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later +0.66% +0.99%
Show all 24 metals results
yields
If we were going to do anything we would fade it to the high side. We don't think that interest rates will change, but if they do change, we would expect an increase rather than a decrease because of the inflationary issues.
3 calls
-3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
5/29/2026 11:17:45 PM short term up 7 days later +1.72% +1.72%
12/9/2025 9:56:43 PM short term down 5 days later +0.43% -0.43%
12/2/2025 10:26:11 PM short term down 5 days later +2.83% -2.83%
Show all 3 yields results

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