BofA raised 2030 global AI capex forecast to $1.7T (5x in 5 years). China AI capex to grow from $90B to $330B by 2030. Bottlenecks in glass fiber, copper foil, power equipment (transformers, gas turbines). Power demand to triple in 5 years. Oil: Brent forecast lowered to $70; demand destruction in China is ~3% structural (EVs, chemicals), 6-7% cyclical may return. Gold under pressure from strong USD and rate hike expectations.

implicit

implicit
RUT

explicit

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explicit
Bank of America 8.5
Investment Bank $3040.00B
Matty Zhao 9.0
6/25/2026 10:06:04 AM
dxy
Our house view is US to have 75bp rate hike over next 12 months and USD quite strong.
6 calls
-1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/9/2026 10:15:04 AM short term up 5 days later -0.32% -0.32%
4/17/2026 3:01:43 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -0.11% +0.06%
1/27/2026 1:16:36 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.74% -0.37%
10/6/2025 9:17:34 PM medium term up 20 days later +0.20% +0.20%
9/17/2025 4:38:45 PM long term cautious down 60 days later +2.30% -1.15%
9/3/2025 5:31:38 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.57% +0.85%
Show all 6 dxy results
metals
Gold is more about rate hikes and strong USD. In the near term, clients are concerned on gold. From a rate cut perspective, probably losing momentum to the upside.
8 calls
+31
reliable positive edge across multiple calls
2/11/2026 2:09:22 PM medium term up 20 days later +4.05% +4.05%
1/7/2026 1:57:49 PM medium term up 20 days later +18.94% +18.94%
12/9/2025 3:07:36 PM long term up 61 days later +20.77% +20.77%
10/24/2025 9:17:59 PM long term cautious up 60 days later +16.46% +8.23%
10/6/2025 9:17:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.63% -0.32%
9/12/2025 2:50:23 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +1.47% +2.20%
9/4/2025 9:08:44 PM medium term up 20 days later +4.14% +4.14%
9/3/2025 5:31:38 PM short term up 5 days later +1.97% +1.97%
Show all 8 metals results
ndx
BofA's massive AI capex forecast ($1.7T by 2030) and identification of structural bottlenecks imply sustained demand for AI hardware, supporting the Nasdaq and chip ecosystem for years.
wti
We lower our Brent oil forecast to about $70 for the second half and next year. We expect a surplus next year. Demand is quite weak, down around 10% in China, with some permanent damage.
11 calls
-22
consistently off direction or weak follow-through
6/17/2026 2:04:47 PM short term down 5 days later -4.43% +4.43%
5/18/2026 11:03:01 PM short term up 5 days later -10.36% -10.36%
5/18/2026 7:04:25 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -10.36% -15.55%
4/28/2026 8:52:26 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.43% -0.22%
3/19/2026 6:22:02 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -8.14% -12.21%
3/16/2026 5:06:11 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -8.40% -12.60%
2/11/2026 2:09:22 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +18.81% -9.40%
12/9/2025 3:07:36 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.87% +0.44%
10/24/2025 9:17:59 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -0.42% -0.21%
10/6/2025 2:28:34 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.50% +1.75%
9/15/2025 10:19:56 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -2.91% -1.46%
Show all 11 wti results
yields
Expectation of 75bp Fed hike over 12 months implies upward pressure on yields.

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