Tuttle advises caution near all-time highs, citing stagflation fears and divergence between equity rallies and rising oil/rates. He's aggressively buying oil and gold miner dips, viewing them as structural plays on supply shocks and monetary debasement. Recommends EQT and CF as specific long ideas. Market ignoring fundamentals; enjoy the rally but hedge.
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Tuttle Capital Management
7.0
Asset Manager $0.75B
Matthew Tuttle
8.0
Loves gold miners... used selloff to buy aggressively... still likes sector... use dips to add.
Positive on gold miners as hedge/play on monetary debasement, but has trimmed profits showing measured bullishness.
ndx
Says 'stocks shouldn't be up here,' 'stagflation fears will flow into equities,' 'enjoy it while it lasts,' and recommends hedges - implies near-term caution/downside risk.
wti
Buying oil dips aggressively... oil at $90 a barrel... infrastructure damage creates lasting uncertainty.
Bullish on dips due to structural supply concerns from war damage.
yields
Rates are going up... bond market is telling you something.
Explicitly states rates are rising contrary to political expectations, signaling market concerns.
Asks for broader market view amid rollercoaster price action and green day.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Market making highs despite geopolitical uncertainty; oil over $90, rates up, stagflation fears - advises caution despite green day.
War/ceasefire news volatile, but market ignoring fundamentals.
Asks what investors should trust: current rally or problematic oil/rate signals.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Can't ignore rally but real tell is oil and bond markets; stagflation fears will flow into equities; different world at $90 vs $60 oil.
Enjoy rally while it lasts but keep head on swivel with hedges.
Asks specifically about concerning signals in rates.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Rates going up despite political pressure to lower them; bond market signaling something important alongside oil market.
If inflation was tame and rate cuts expected, rates would be lower.
Asks when these headwinds will materialize since market seems to ignore them.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Timing is difficult; would use green days for profit-taking and down days for adding positions if nimble.
Otherwise, set portfolio for post-crisis environment.
Asks how he's positioning in oil given uncertainty.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Buying oil dips aggressively; favorites like OXY down 3-6% are gifts; infrastructure damage creates lasting uncertainty.
Was in oil pre-war, not adding on uptrend, but buying dips in ETF.
Asks about gold exposure - physical or miners.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Loves gold miners, especially Franco-Nevada (royalty company); used post-war selloff to buy aggressively; trimmed profits but still likes sector.
Gold was ramping on monetary debasement trade pre-war.
Asks about other disrupted sectors: LNG, fertilizer, helium.
speaker1
Matthew Tuttle
Loves natural gas (EQT) and fertilizer (CF); buying dips on CF as US-based with cheaper input costs but rising fertilizer prices.