implicit
NDX
RUT

explicit
Metals

implicit
Apollo 7.8
Asset Manager $671.00B
Torsten Slok 9.0
3/3/2026 6:19:39 PM
dxy
Notes Europe is harder hit due to energy dependency, and the ECB may need to be more hawkish. This relative vulnerability and potential policy divergence could support the dollar.
wti
This is a stagflationary impulse... Prices go up Explicitly states the shock causes prices (i.e., oil/energy) to rise.
4 calls
+39
reliable positive edge across multiple calls
1/8/2026 11:05:50 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +4.91% -2.45%
yields
Argues the stagflationary shock creates upside inflation pressure from an already high starting point (3% core PCE), which should put upward pressure on yields, especially as the ECB/BoE have a more hawkish inflation-only mandate.

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