Geopolitical unwind dominates: Iran opens Strait of Hormuz, crude plunges 9.5%, dollar and yields fall, futures surge. Software leads recovery (Microsoft +13%, software ETF +13%) but still down 20% YTD. Market remains headline-driven; focus shifts to Mag 7 earnings and Fed speakers (Warsh hearing key). Short-term momentum up, but macro uncertainty persists.
explicit
implicit
RUT
explicit
Metals
explicit
Cboe
7.2
Financial infra
Kevin Hanks 3.0
Financial infra
Kevin Hanks 3.0
4/17/2026 4:30:02 PM
dxy
the dollar is lower
Stated as a concurrent market reaction to the de-escalation of Middle East tensions.
| 1/28/2026 4:30:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.20% | -1.20% |
| 1/27/2026 4:30:16 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.20% | -1.20% |
| 12/15/2025 4:30:49 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.14% | -0.14% |
| 11/13/2025 4:30:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.97% | -0.97% |
| 9/22/2025 4:31:02 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.67% | -0.67% |
| 9/2/2025 4:29:04 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.70% | -0.35% |
| 8/11/2025 4:30:15 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +0.07% | +0.11% |
| 8/8/2025 4:30:21 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
ndx
Describes 'momentum now is to the upside here with futures' and details a powerful recovery in key Nasdaq software/tech components (Microsoft +13%, software ETF +13%), driven by the geopolitical unwind. Focus on imminent Mag 7 earnings reinforces short-term focus.
| 1/27/2026 4:30:16 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.09% | -1.09% |
| 11/20/2025 4:30:30 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.11% | +4.11% |
| 9/3/2025 4:46:40 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.88% | +0.88% |
| 8/15/2025 4:30:33 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -1.22% | +0.61% |
| 8/13/2025 4:30:09 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.88% | -1.88% |
| 8/8/2025 4:30:21 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.80% | +0.80% |
| 8/7/2025 4:45:01 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.01% | +1.01% |
wti
crude oil is lower... crude oil now I've got it down 9 and a half%
Linked directly to geopolitical unwinding: Iran opening Strait of Hormuz, Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, lessening Middle East tensions.
| 1/5/2026 4:30:22 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +4.15% | +4.15% |
| 12/15/2025 4:30:49 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +4.96% | -4.96% |
| 11/21/2025 4:30:39 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.82% | -0.41% |
| 11/13/2025 4:30:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.08% | +1.08% |
| 10/23/2025 4:30:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -2.49% |
| 10/22/2025 4:32:31 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.65% | -1.33% |
| 10/16/2025 4:30:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.67% | -0.83% |
| 10/13/2025 4:30:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.30% | +1.15% |
| 9/10/2025 4:47:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.45% | -1.72% |
| 9/2/2025 4:29:04 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.67% | -2.67% |
| 8/19/2025 4:30:52 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +2.52% | +1.26% |
| 8/8/2025 4:30:21 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.84% | +0.84% |
yields
10-year yields are lower
Stated as a concurrent market reaction to the de-escalation of Middle East tensions.
| 4/8/2026 4:30:28 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.86% | +0.86% |
| 1/28/2026 4:30:17 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.11% | +1.11% |
| 1/7/2026 4:30:00 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.63% | -1.63% |
| 12/15/2025 4:30:49 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/12/2025 4:30:30 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | -0.41% | +0.41% |
| 12/10/2025 4:30:47 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.19% | +0.19% |
| 12/5/2025 5:02:00 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.24% | +0.12% |
| 11/21/2025 4:30:39 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.44% | -0.72% |
| 11/20/2025 4:30:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.60% | +0.80% |
| 11/13/2025 4:30:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
| 10/30/2025 3:30:44 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/27/2025 3:30:54 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +3.09% | -3.09% |
| 10/24/2025 4:31:10 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.73% | -2.73% |
| 10/16/2025 4:30:21 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.15% | -1.07% |
| 10/14/2025 4:30:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 9/17/2025 9:12:08 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.39% |
| 9/5/2025 5:15:08 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 9/4/2025 4:38:20 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.32% | +1.32% |
| 8/7/2025 4:45:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.10% | +0.55% |
| 8/1/2025 4:42:53 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +1.74% | -2.61% |
| 7/25/2025 4:30:13 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -1.79% | +0.89% |
| 7/24/2025 4:45:08 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.23% | -0.23% |
