implicit
implicit
explicit
implicit
implicit
dxy
Notes 'dollar index creeping just a bit higher' at 98.77, with euro weakening. Implied by safe-haven flows amid geopolitical uncertainty.
metals
Suggests lower rates from war-induced growth slowdown would be 'supportive for many of the metals here, specifically the gold market.' Notes gold up 9.3% YTD and silver ETF flows positive.
ndx
States 'US equities look to, in my opinion, start to weaken here again' due to geopolitical risks and growth slowdown concerns. Notes NASDAQ down 50 points overnight.
rut
Notes 'Russell down 17' overnight, consistent with broader equity weakness due to geopolitical concerns.
wti
crude oil futures... look to be holding higher for longer and some of the back months starting to turn higher
Cites geopolitical risks (ceasefire violations), Goldman Sachs forecast of $100/barrel average through 2026 if Straits closed, and current price action at $99.
| 4/2/2026 2:04:17 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -15.36% | -15.36% |
| 3/31/2026 2:11:17 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +12.28% | +6.14% |
| 3/26/2026 1:05:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.48% | +0.48% |
| 3/19/2026 5:20:35 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.14% | -8.14% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.94% | +1.97% |
| 3/17/2026 9:12:11 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -8.50% | +4.25% |
| 3/12/2026 1:26:16 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.42% | -3.63% |
| 3/9/2026 1:01:05 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +18.06% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +40.40% |
| 3/2/2026 2:15:55 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +21.92% | +32.87% |
| 2/19/2026 2:13:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.46% | -1.46% |
| 2/4/2026 2:35:05 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.06% | +1.06% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.82% | -1.82% |
| 1/23/2026 11:38:42 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.49% | +2.49% |
| 1/22/2026 11:27:23 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.50% | -1.75% |
| 1/21/2026 11:13:16 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +5.10% | +5.10% |
| 1/14/2026 2:13:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.94% | +0.97% |
| 12/19/2025 5:07:19 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | +2.57% | -2.57% |
| 12/15/2025 10:17:24 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +4.96% | -4.96% |
| 12/15/2025 10:16:24 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +4.96% | -4.96% |
| 12/9/2025 10:33:41 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.81% | +2.81% |
| 11/12/2025 10:49:45 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.49% | -1.75% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.49% | -1.75% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.50% | -1.50% |
| 10/13/2025 2:05:40 PM | long term cautious down | 62 days later | -3.20% | +1.60% |
| 10/10/2025 2:00:52 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.41% | +1.70% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.09% | +1.09% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.17% | -1.08% |
| 9/10/2025 11:06:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.45% | +3.45% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.45% | -1.72% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.58% | +0.29% |
| 9/3/2025 1:52:44 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.34% | +0.67% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.67% | -2.67% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.06% | +0.03% |
| 8/13/2025 11:46:56 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.52% | +2.52% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.52% | +2.52% |
| 8/5/2025 2:05:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.61% | +0.61% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.73% | -0.73% |
yields
Describes 10-year yield rebounding after overnight crash, settling around 4.28%. Fed expectations show high probability of unchanged rates near-term, with potential cuts not priced until September.
