Tom Lee argues the entire rally since April is explained by a $10 Q1 earnings beat ($40 annualized), adding 800-1000 S&P points. He sees a three-phase market: rally to 7700, then digestion until October due to a new Fed chair, energy shocks (petroleum shortages), and IPO unlocks (SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic) pressuring stocks like a bear market. Post-midterms, he expects a strong rally in 2027 with some of the best returns ever.
explicit
explicit
RUT
explicit
Metals
USD
Fundstrat
6.5
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee 8.5
Market Research Firm
Tom Lee 8.5
5/29/2026 12:52:02 AM
ndx
post midterms, I think we rally strongly in 2027... some of the best returns we've ever seen
| 5/6/2026 11:28:50 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.93% | +4.93% |
| 5/2/2026 12:03:26 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 4/28/2026 12:59:26 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +6.00% | +6.00% |
| 4/9/2026 12:21:52 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +9.30% | +9.30% |
| 1/21/2026 11:11:31 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.24% | +0.62% |
| 11/14/2025 11:23:51 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +3.34% | +1.67% |
| 11/10/2025 10:53:49 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.87% | -2.87% |
| 10/6/2025 2:52:07 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +3.95% | +3.95% |
| 9/15/2025 11:21:47 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.90% | +2.90% |
| 8/22/2025 6:28:53 PM | short term up | 8 days later | -0.83% | -0.83% |
| 8/13/2025 3:51:26 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.88% | -1.88% |
| 8/4/2025 10:55:29 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +2.21% | +3.31% |
| 8/4/2025 4:19:52 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.21% | +2.21% |
wti
energy shock... shortages of petroleum products and lubricants
yields
bond market is pricing in a hike now instead of easing
| 10/31/2025 10:27:18 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.10% | -0.05% |
| 9/8/2025 2:07:52 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.98% | +0.49% |
