Nasdaq's rally is AI-fueled but concentrated, with 'circular financing' a key risk. If AI demand falters, Mag 7's outsized gains could reverse. Broadening into industrials is occurring, but dependent on sustained AI CapEx. Lower yields (sub-4% 10yr) are key for broader market gains, enabling IPOs and investment banking, benefiting names like DELL and JPM.

explicit

implicit
Oil
Metals
USD
Charles Schwab 7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Brian Mulberry 7.0
5/12/2026 4:00:57 PM
ndx
Mulberry acknowledges strong AI-driven earnings and demand fueling the Nasdaq rally, but warns of concentration risk from circular financing, implying a cautious near-term outlook rather than a bearish one.
rut
Mulberry expects lower yields to enable more IPOs of smaller companies, benefiting the Russell 2000.
yields
Goal is to get the 10-year Treasury back below 4%.
84 calls
+2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
5/11/2026 7:00:43 PM short term up 6 days later +3.59% +3.59%
5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM short term up 6 days later +3.59% +3.59%
5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM short term up 5 days later +1.62% +1.62%
5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM short term down 7 days later -0.81% +0.81%
4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.76% +3.76%
4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.47% +3.47%
4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM short term down 5 days later -0.86% +0.86%
3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -0.16% -0.24%
3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -0.16% -0.08%
3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM short term up 5 days later -2.73% -2.73%
3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +0.32% +0.16%
3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.16% -1.08%
3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM medium term up 21 days later -0.85% -0.85%
3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM short term down 5 days later +1.76% -1.76%
3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM short term up 6 days later +3.14% +3.14%
2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +4.64% +2.32%
2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.26% +1.63%
2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM short term up 7 days later -1.80% -1.80%
1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM long term cautious up 60 days later +5.39% +2.69%
1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM short term up 5 days later -0.94% -0.94%
1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM long term cautious up 60 days later -1.12% -0.56%
12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM short term up 5 days later -1.17% -1.17%
12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM short term up 5 days later -0.48% -0.48%
12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.53% +0.27%
12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM short term down 6 days later +0.48% -0.48%
12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.03% +0.51%
12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -1.34% -0.67%
12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.03% +2.03%
11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +1.44% -0.72%
11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -2.30% -1.15%
11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM short term up 5 days later +1.67% +1.67%
11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.66% +0.99%
11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.32% -1.16%
10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.10% -0.05%
10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM short term up 6 days later +3.09% +3.09%
10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.73% -1.36%
10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM short term up 7 days later +2.73% +2.73%
10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.53% -0.76%
10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM short term down 5 days later +1.11% -1.11%
10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.86% -0.43%
10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM short term down 5 days later -1.35% +1.35%
10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.48% -0.74%
10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.48% +0.74%
9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.36% -0.68%
9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +0.34% +0.17%
9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.22% -0.11%
9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.38% -1.69%
9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +2.91% -1.45%
9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.70% -1.35%
9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM short term sharp down 7 days later -0.30% +0.44%
9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.92% +1.96%
8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM medium term down 20 days later -3.13% +3.13%
8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -2.91% +1.45%
8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.26% +2.63%
8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM short term down 8 days later +0.05% -0.05%
8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.52% -0.26%
8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM long term cautious down 60 days later -5.20% +2.60%
8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.82% +0.91%
7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM short term up 5 days later -3.76% -3.76%
7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.45% +0.73%
7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.85% -1.42%
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