Rick Rieder (BlackRock) sees the Iran/Strait of Hormuz reopening as a major de-risking event that lowers headline inflation and reduces the need for central bank hikes. He highlights massive cash on sidelines ($9T in money markets) being unlocked by the SpaceX IPO and positive news, driving explosive equity moves. He expects the Fed under Kevin Warsh to use balance sheet tools rather than rate hikes to manage long rates and housing, and sees a K-shaped economy where the top 10% drives consumption while 75% struggles.
explicit
implicit
RUT
implicit
Metals
inferred
BlackRock
9.5
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Rick Rieder 9.5
Asset Manager $10500.00B
Rick Rieder 9.5
6/15/2026 10:33:39 PM
dxy
Rieder expects the Fed to use balance sheet tools rather than rate hikes, and sees ECB having less need to hike. This suggests a relatively stable USD environment without strong directional pressure.
ndx
Rieder describes the market move as 'pretty explosive' and says the peace deal + cash unlocking is 'quite positive' for equities. He notes if rates aren't going higher, equity NPV is a big deal.
wti
Rieder says the peace deal lowers headline inflation stress and reduces need for central bank hikes, implying lower oil prices are a key transmission mechanism. The deal reopening Strait of Hormuz directly pressures oil down.
yields
I don't think long rates are going very far.
| 5/28/2026 3:47:04 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.85% | +0.43% |
| 5/25/2026 9:32:15 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.40% | -0.40% |
| 5/14/2026 2:29:36 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 5/6/2026 1:45:59 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.03% | -1.01% |
| 5/6/2026 12:22:43 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.03% | -1.01% |
| 5/5/2026 11:41:02 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.15% | -1.57% |
| 5/5/2026 3:09:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.24% |
| 4/17/2026 11:36:30 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | +3.76% | -3.76% |
| 4/16/2026 1:33:28 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.13% | -1.13% |
| 3/25/2026 11:41:19 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -3.03% | +3.03% |
| 2/25/2026 4:02:13 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +6.02% | -6.02% |
| 2/17/2026 7:21:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.23% | +0.61% |
| 1/20/2026 11:06:19 AM | long term up | 61 days later | +1.90% | +1.90% |
| 1/15/2026 5:44:39 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 1/15/2026 2:13:56 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 1/12/2026 11:04:02 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +2.49% | -2.49% |
| 12/19/2025 2:04:39 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +0.43% | -0.22% |
| 12/16/2025 4:31:40 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.67% | +0.67% |
| 12/8/2025 11:08:13 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -1.67% | +1.67% |
| 12/5/2025 6:18:24 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -1.34% | +0.67% |
| 11/7/2025 10:05:12 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.17% |
| 11/7/2025 5:58:03 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.17% |
| 11/7/2025 5:48:57 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.17% |
| 10/24/2025 1:08:47 PM | medium term sharp up | 21 days later | +3.40% | +5.10% |
| 10/16/2025 3:04:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.35% | -1.35% |
| 10/8/2025 12:30:20 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.17% | +1.08% |
| 9/24/2025 2:05:49 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.58% | +0.29% |
| 9/24/2025 2:05:49 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.02% | +1.51% |
| 9/9/2025 8:32:34 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 9/9/2025 2:14:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.88% | -1.44% |
| 9/8/2025 1:12:56 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.98% | +0.49% |
| 9/5/2025 9:11:57 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 9/5/2025 5:42:22 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 9/5/2025 5:35:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +2.35% | -1.17% |
| 9/4/2025 12:38:05 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.32% | -0.66% |
| 8/12/2025 10:38:50 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -1.38% |
