Bartels sees the tech selloff as a sector rotation, not a broad market peak. Semis are overbought and due for a 20-30% correction, but the economy is strong, small caps are in a new bull market, and the consumer remains resilient. She expects the Fed under Warsh to focus on data and price stability.

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Sanctuary Wealth 6.0
Asset Manager $27.00B
Mary Ann Bartels 9.5
6/24/2026 12:29:08 AM
dxy
The US dollar is starting to break out.
ndx
The selloff is primarily a tech/semiconductor issue. Tech is extraordinarily overbought. This is a correction.
5 calls
+18
more right than wrong, with meaningful gains
5/28/2026 2:36:54 PM medium term up 20 days later +0.24% +0.24%
5/11/2026 8:32:50 PM medium term up 20 days later +4.99% +4.99%
9/24/2025 3:01:03 AM medium term up 20 days later +1.43% +1.43%
8/28/2025 9:00:49 PM long term up 60 days later +11.09% +11.09%
7/18/2025 3:28:55 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +0.76% +1.14%
Show all 5 ndx results
rut
Small caps are in the early stages of a new secular bull market.
2 calls
-6
slightly worse than random
5/28/2026 2:36:54 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.07% +2.07%
3/2/2026 8:34:28 PM medium term up 20 days later -4.38% -4.38%
yields
Bartels notes the market is pricing in higher rates based on the dollar and Warsh's comments, and the 2-year yield shot up.

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