Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari states the Fed's job is to get inflation back to 2%, but it's complicated by supply shocks (tariffs, energy, data center investment). He penciled in one rate hike by year-end, changing from a prior cut. He notes the labor market is 'treading water' and not driving inflation, which is instead supply-driven.

explicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals

implicit
Federal Reserve
9.0
Central Bank
Neil Kashkari 8.5
Central Bank
Neil Kashkari 8.5
6/26/2026 9:43:11 PM
dxy
A hawkish pivot (from a cut to a hike) and cautious outlook on geopolitical risks (Iran) would typically support the US dollar in the near term.
yields
In June, I've changed that to one rate hike by the end of the year.
IDC's Nabila Popal states Apple will inevitably raise iPhone prices due to rising memory costs, with the only questions being when and by how much. She now expects a $200 increase on Pro Max models, up from a prior $100 estimate, citing strong upgrade demand from Apple Intelligence features and low price sensitivity among premium buyers.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
IDC
6.0
Market Research Firm
Nabila Popal 7.5
Market Research Firm
Nabila Popal 7.5
6/26/2026 9:43:11 PM
ndx
Higher memory costs leading to price hikes on consumer hardware (Apple, Microsoft) could dampen consumer demand, creating a cautious near-term outlook for tech hardware and related NDX components.
Bloomberg Intelligence's Robert Schiffman downplays the significance of paper losses on SpaceX's $25 billion bond offering, calling it a 'near-term anomaly.' He notes the bonds are investment grade, trade tighter than Oracle, and the losses are overstated. The broader AI valuation narrative is not at risk.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg Research
7.0
Financial Media
Robert Schiffman 7.0
Financial Media
Robert Schiffman 7.0
6/26/2026 9:43:11 PM
ndx
Schiffman's dismissal of the bond losses as a 'near-term anomaly' and his view that the broader AI valuation narrative is not at risk suggests a sideways, non-panicked outlook for tech markets in the medium term.
Nvidia's VP of Robotics states that while the physical hardware for humanoid robots is largely ready, the industry is still waiting for a breakthrough in AI 'brains'—a general-purpose, accurate model. Nvidia has been working on the Jetson platform for over a decade to provide the necessary compute, but the 'ChatGPT moment' for robotics has not yet arrived.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Nvidia
1.0
Information Technology
Deepu Talla 9.0
Information Technology
Deepu Talla 9.0
6/26/2026 9:43:11 PM
OpenAI is considering delaying its IPO until 2027, potentially going public after rival Anthropic. The decision reflects current market volatility and a strategic preference to stay private longer. SoftBank shares fell on the news, and Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, which are leading both IPOs, also saw declines.
Yields

implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bloomberg
7.0
Financial Media
Bailey Lip Schultz 4.0
Financial Media
Bailey Lip Schultz 4.0
6/26/2026 9:43:11 PM
ndx
The discussion of market volatility and 'summertime jitters' as a factor in IPO timing implies a near-term volatile outlook for tech-heavy indices like the NDX.