explicit

inferred

inferred

inferred

explicit
risk assets up
U.S. Treasury 8.0
Government Agency
Scott Bessent 7.0
8/14/2025 7:47:16 AM
dxy
Discussion noted the U.S. dollar weakening against the G10 basket amid expectations of Fed easing and rate cuts.
5 calls
-+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
ndx
Market sentiment driven by bets on Fed rate cuts fueling risk appetite and broadening equity gains, especially in small caps and tech-related indices like Nasdaq 100.
yields
Scott Bessent called for a 150 basis point cut starting with a 50 basis point cut in September, explicitly stating 'We should probably be 150, 175 basis points lower.'
22 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
8/13/2025 11:25:02 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/13/2025 4:15:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.21% -0.10%
8/13/2025 3:45:12 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.91% +0.96%
8/13/2025 3:10:28 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/6/2025 7:18:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.14% +0.07%
Show all 5 yields results

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